2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

Halincandenza

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2018
9,434
10,262
113
I don't know how long Miles is going to be out for TCU but I think without him they are going to go on a bit of a tailspin.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: CascadeClone

cyclones500

Well-Known Member
Jan 29, 2010
38,803
26,810
113
Michigan
basslakebeacon.com
If my math is right, for the season he's 55 for 131 from three which is 42%...very good.

But take away all games from ISU at KU on and he's a stunning 42 for 89 from three for 47%.

Above 40 is impressive especially taking into account recent slump.

First couple of KU games I caught early season, I told myself, "He's going to be a pain in the a** this season, probably including against us." ... It's possible/probable he was the difference-maker in the ISU at KU game.
 

Halincandenza

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2018
9,434
10,262
113
I think one team to watch a sleeper to win the conference is Baylor. They have JTT back now and that really makes their team a lot better.
 
  • Agree
Reactions: Statefan10

Halincandenza

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2018
9,434
10,262
113
If my math is right, for the season he's 55 for 131 from three which is 42%...very good.

But take away all games from ISU at KU on and he's a stunning 42 for 89 from three for 47%.
Yeah, teams are really trying their damnedest to take away his 3 point shot lately and forcing him to drive so I think the quality of the looks he is getting has really dropped and hence the drop in shooting percentage.
 

dahliaclone

Well-Known Member
Mar 4, 2007
16,173
24,983
113
Minneapolis
I think one team to watch a sleeper to win the conference is Baylor. They have JTT back now and that really makes their team a lot better.
Agree but they have some toughies left. Arguably the toughest schedule left. They're currently 6-4 and still have road games at TCU, at Kansas, at Kansas State, and at Oklahoma State. Home games vs ISU and Texas as well. I think the winning team in the league likely has 6 losses...I don't see Baylor only losing two more. Likely 11-7 at best for them.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Halincandenza

allfourcy

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 26, 2012
6,950
2,983
113
I don't know how long Miles is going to be out for TCU but I think without him they are going to go on a bit of a tailspin.
Did I read that he was close to playing this past game but didnt? Guessing he's close, as is Lampkin. They'll probably both be back for us. Hope we don't have 3 leg kickout fouls vs. Miles.
 

Halincandenza

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2018
9,434
10,262
113
Interesting. Welp, maybe I stand corrected then. Still think KU pulls this out though.
I normally think that but it is just a bad matchup for KU. Similar to TCU. Although, like others have said, it is very difficult to win on the road on the saturday-monday turn around. I can't remember the percentage but I remember them showing a graphic before on big 12 teams and the home team wins a vast majority of those games.
 

allfourcy

Well-Known Member
SuperFanatic
SuperFanatic T2
Apr 26, 2012
6,950
2,983
113
I think KU will give them everything they've got, but I have no idea what they're going to do with the Texas bigs.
Well at least KU will maybe make it a priority since we outscored them in the paint and went inside alot. They'll bounce back with that (I think?)
 

CascadeClone

Well-Known Member
Oct 24, 2009
10,878
13,957
113
I think one team to watch a sleeper to win the conference is Baylor. They have JTT back now and that really makes their team a lot better.

I put a dab on them at +800 to win the conference a couple weeks ago. They promptly lost at Texas, but I still think they have as good a shot as anyone.
 

isutrevman

Well-Known Member
Jan 30, 2007
7,372
9,952
113
38
Ames, IA
Yup I said Saturday that KSU is still in the driver's seat with their schedule.
I just don't think they're that good. They're still #7 in the Big 12 in Kenpom. Although, there's not that a gap between them and Texas. Texas is #9, KSU is #26.

Kenpom loves them some West Virginia. #14, ahead of Iowa State and TCU. They must have lost a bunch of close games.

Iowa would be the 9th best team in the Big 12, behind OSU and ahead of OU.
 
  • Like
Reactions: CascadeClone

dahliaclone

Well-Known Member
Mar 4, 2007
16,173
24,983
113
Minneapolis
I just don't think they're that good. They're still #7 in the Big 12 in Kenpom. Although, there's not that a gap between them and Texas. Texas is #9, KSU is #26.

Kenpom loves them some West Virginia. #14, ahead of Iowa State and TCU. They must have lost a bunch of close games.

Iowa would be the 9th best team in the Big 12, behind OSU and ahead of OU.
WVU has losses to Purdue and Xavier out of conference...both great teams.

They have some close games but nothing like our three losses by 7 total points.

at KSU by 6
at OSU by 7
vs KU by 14
vs BU by 5
at OU by 1
vs TX by 8
at TCU by 4
 
  • Like
Reactions: isutrevman

JustAnotherTimeline

Well-Known Member
Jul 29, 2021
2,192
214
63
43
I normally think that but it is just a bad matchup for KU. Similar to TCU. Although, like others have said, it is very difficult to win on the road on the saturday-monday turn around. I can't remember the percentage but I remember them showing a graphic before on big 12 teams and the home team wins a vast majority of those games.

Just did a little digging. KU has won at least a share of the B12 title every year over the past 18 years, except for 2. One of those two was National Champion Baylor in 2021.

Like @Gunnerclone mentioned. They have a way of people writing them off. Then, when the pressure is on teams seem to bow to KU.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Halincandenza

bawbie

Moderator
Staff member
Mar 17, 2006
54,358
47,031
113
Cedar Rapids, IA
Ok, this is technically off topic... but WTH is that yellow line for? The black squares take care of the irrelevant boxes. The yellow line is... useless? Am I missing something? It bugged the heck out of my when I saw it earlier in the year too.
He updated it in a subsequent post, its supposed to be the line between "expected win" and "expected loss"