2018 Stock Prediction

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,387
11,176
113
So the stock market was down 800 points today and no bump? Only 3% today but still a decent sized move. I guess we'll have to wait a little bit for the panic.
 

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,387
11,176
113
Sharp plunges are a good thing if you have money to put to work. There is always something that is a good or at least decent buy.
 

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,387
11,176
113
One day plunges are pretty unusual. I'd wait for at least Day 3 of sharp pullbacks to make a move.
 

CyArob

Why are you the way that you are?
Apr 22, 2011
32,469
13,389
113
MN
I'd been waiting for a day like today. Time to get some high dividend shares.
 

SoapyCy

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,760
113
grundy center
I mean I think since you're young you're prolly ok.

I always assumed it that the "cash portion" was your 6 month emergency fund. Not going to sell anything now-was thinking if dumping 1,000 shares of SIRI a month ago at $7 and didn't, now it's down to about $5.25.
 

dmclone

Well-Known Member
Oct 20, 2006
20,872
5,044
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50131
I've been keeping about 25% of an IRA in cash for about 6 months. It's actually pretty stupid because I don't have any kind of plan on when to put it back into the market. I'm sure as hell not putting it back on a 3% drop. I guess if we had a 20% drop I'd probably start moving some back. I guess this is the issue with trying to catch a falling sword.
 

SoapyCy

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,760
113
grundy center
I've been keeping about 25% of an IRA in cash for about 6 months. It's actually pretty stupid because I don't have any kind of plan on when to put it back into the market. I'm sure as hell not putting it back on a 3% drop. I guess if we had a 20% drop I'd probably start moving some back. I guess this is the issue with trying to catch a falling sword.

It's interesting when people say they'll buy now when this drop brought us back to the levels from about a month ago.
 
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Reactions: Cyclone06

Gunnerclone

Well-Known Member
Jul 16, 2010
69,562
69,611
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DSM
It's interesting when people say they'll buy now when this drop brought us back to the levels from about a month ago.

There haven’t been many buying opportunities in 2018. If you’re bullish then might as well put a little powder in the barrel in a 3% drop. And there were plenty of individual securities that dropped more than 3% today.
 

SoapyCy

Well-Known Member
Oct 10, 2012
20,023
9,760
113
grundy center
Another 545 pt drop on dow today. Anyone making any moves?

I'm a long-term investor so no selling for me. I know the ratios are still high (ba-dum!) but I'm looking at some pot stocks. Probably the MJ ETF (no fee at Vanguard).

Otherwise just the typical dollar cost averaging I do every week.
 

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,387
11,176
113
Well we got Day 2. I bailed from my SPY put options a little too early today (it was down 300 or so). I have a lot of cash in my IRA and will be looking at buying something probably over the weekend and on Monday. I want to see where it closes tomorrow.
 

ArgentCy

Well-Known Member
Jan 13, 2010
20,387
11,176
113
I'm a long-term investor so no selling for me. I know the ratios are still high (ba-dum!) but I'm looking at some pot stocks. Probably the MJ ETF (no fee at Vanguard).

Otherwise just the typical dollar cost averaging I do every week.

I think this is a good strategy. However, if you want to juice returns I think what I'm going to start doing is this. Take some off the table when you start feeling good about things and add extra to your dollar cost averaging when you feel sick.
 

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