Totally fair, 5 years is a long way out to predict anything
Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
- Thread starter ISUcyclones11
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That doesn’t bode well for the B10 and any expansion plans they have keeping in mind that Fox owns 61% of BTN and as long they maintain that majority stake, they essentially remain the B10’s rights holder even with the current TV deals with CBS and NBC expiring in 2030.The NFL deal is likely to impact realignment. I’ve wondered if Fox’s threats against SBA (streaming) is to get Amazon to buy them
Sports media analysts skeptical NFL will secure new TV deals before 2029-30 opt-outs
Sports media reporters Andrew Marchand and John Ourand are skeptical the NFL will strike new TV deals before its 2029-30 opt-out.awfulannouncing.com
Finally, Marchand goes to Fox. The network’s CEO Lachlan Murdoch has recently backpedaled on his prior excitementabout renewing its NFL deal early, saying publicly he believes Fox is already paying market price for the league. Moreover, Fox and the Murdoch media empire have been one of the primary voices pushing the narrative that taking NFL games off of broadcast television may jeopardize the NFL’s antitrust exemption. Not coincidentally, the Justice Department recently opened an investigation into that very matter.
Then there’s the fact that Fox is a much smaller company than the other four NFL broadcast partners, and thus less equipped to stomach a massive increase in rights fees, and the network might be more willing to hold out until 2029-30.
“Fox is sitting there and they do not want to spend that money,” Marchand said. “You look at their market cap, it doesn’t really make sense for them to spend too much more money.”
The sense that I’m getting is that Fox is willing to say, ‘We have you under contract through the out after the ’29-30 season, who knows what’s going to happen with media over the next four years, we’re willing to roll the dice. And we think when it comes time to renegotiate in ’29-30, are we going to merge with somebody? Is somebody going to buy us? Or are you really going to be willing to test the antitrust exemptions that are coming from Congress and take our package and possibly give it to a streamer or allow streamers to get more?'” Ourand added.
I think the next step is consolidation, not expansion. I think TV media rights is a bubble personally, but at the very least they’ve hit a point of diminishing returns.
Exactly. Which is why I don't think any current Big 12 schools will have an invite, unless something dramatically changes their current valuations.
They've vetted all of these schools and concluded that they didn't add anything. If they knew these schools added something, they would have been added whenever they were available in order to maximize the revenue produced.
They aren't sitting there going "yeah, Utah will grow our bottom line but let's just wait until 2030 to add them with the ACC schools". No business, especially one as blood thirsty for every extra cent as the Big 10, operates that way.
It’s most likely not, Yoder is known for these kinda things big would be cool if it was true. Endowment funds have very tight rules on their usage and there isn’t a rule in place if the endowment does exceptionally well that they can make rapid adjustments.
Also it’s not clear from the disclosures if Michigan still has the full position or not as it’s from court docs dated awhile ago. Still excellent investment call
The only real question is if any profits are earmarked for NIL
There’s many avenues to do that
Not with endured funds and the school can’t pay NIL anyways, only rev share
Oh now Nebraska wants fairness. They can **** off!
I think he's saying that Nebraska fans judging Rhule need to be fair because the top of the Big 10 has way more money than they do.
Would make sense if Nebby were knocking on the door of the top of the B1G but they're not even close, they've finished behind Rutgers 2 of the last 3 seasons and last season improved to 10th. It's not like Iowa, Illinois, Minnesota, Washington, who all finished ahead of Nebby, are working with way more money or more money at all.
What it means is a lot of small colleges with small endowments are gonna go away. Which I think we already knew.
Funnily enough, this reminds me of whats-his-names big consultancy report showing how Stanford and Texas and Florida and Rice were all awesome and belonged in the same conferences, since they were so academically superior and well-endowed.
You probably are referring to this guy (Tony Altimore).
Who's X photo is this, 20-25 years back.
What a dweeb.
