I'll be so glad when the COVID year is no longer a factor which gets confusing figuring out who still has the option for an extra season. Next season should be the very last of those right?
Does Heise still have a year left? I know he played 4 at UNI before this but 1 season he only played 2 games so guess that means he has a COVID year left still. Jackson has a COVID year left after this one and Jones is like Gilbert, both were freshman in 21-22 so they don't qualify for the COVID year and only get 4 to play.
Outside of losing Gilbert, Jones, and Chatfield you have to assume at least someone is likely to try the transfer portal too. Would hate to lose Watson but he'd probably be getting much more playing time at a mid-major if that is something he wants to try. Hope he stays but would not blame him if he didn't. Fish already tried the portal last year and surprisingly came back but don't see him being any more than an end of the bench guy here so maybe he tries the portal again?
Haven't seen enough of Rock yet to know how he is going to fare going forward. He definitely has the size but I don't know if he has the athleticism to be the kind of player Chatfield has been for us. He's still pretty raw and this is technically his true freshman year after he was basically a HS senior last year as a redshirt. Maybe he takes a step forward in his development this offseason and carves out more than an end of the bench role eventually. The challenge is you either got it or you don't with TJ's system. TJ locks down an 8 man rotation by late December so if you don't earn that spot before conference play you likely won't see the floor unless there is an injury or foul problems and then he goes 9 deep with someone like Watson or Nojus this year. I think finding another big man in the transfer portal will be a priority as this freshman class doesn't really have one other than Pleta that they just signed and I wouldn't expect him to contribute immediately. TJ has done a good job at plugging in the holes in the roster through the portal so I'm not worried about filling whatever needs we'll have.
Heise and Jackson are in the same situation - this is their 5th (COVID) year, but they both have a medical redshirt to play a 6th season. It seems that both are expected to take it.
as was mentioned, Gilbert and Chatfield are out of eligibility for sure - and Curtis likely is, unless something funky happens with the JUCO stuff.
Lipsey, Jefferson and Watson will be "true" 4th-year seniors in their last year.
With the transfer portal the way it is, it's pretty pointless to speculate on who stays and who leaves at this point - other than there will very likely be significant turnover.
Given next year's team will likely start the season as a Top 10 team, there will be some urgency to make sure spots are filled - specifically a backup big and an experienced combo guard. Basically someone in the Chatfield/Hasan Ward role and someone in the Keshon/Curtis role.