Bracketology 2024

Drake has the same # of Q1 wins as Iowa, even though Iowa has had 11 Q1 chances and Drake has had 4.

Drake is 24-6 and Iowa is 18-12. Drake is 9 spots higher in NET than Iowa.

The committee 100% should (but often doesn't) reward teams like Drake over average P6 teams.
Especially since Power 6 teams for the most part(hate to say it but this includes Iowa State) refuse to play teams like Drake .
 
While getting a 2 seed would be great, I don't think it matters a ton if we end up with a 3 as long as we land in Omaha (which does seem the way most of these are leaning). Very little difference in match ups, the 2-3 would by chalk still play in S16, and the team could use the "slight" of a 3 seed for a bit more motivation.

Hoping we get the 2 but not too broken if it's a 3.
Yeah, an "advantageous 3" in the midwest would be better than a "low 2" out in the East playing UNC/Duke/UConn in their backyards...
 
The Alabama, Illinois, and San Diego St. losses yesterday make it feel like a 3 seed is our floor if we win at least one of the next two.

The Marquette game tonight will play a factor in the 2 vs 3 seed situation. If Marquette beats UConn it feels like they will have a 2 seed locked up. If they lose, particularity by 10 or more, we likely move ahead of them if we can beat BYU.

Agree.

There's a good bit of separation between the last 3 and the 4's (Alabama, Illinois, San Diego St, Auburn).

Marquette, ISU, Baylor, KU, Duke, Creighton all in competition for those final 2 seeds. It would be tough to see any falling to the 4 line though at this point.
 
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Yep, I welcome the chance to methodically dismember Nebby in front of their home fans (if they can actually get past the first round)
Absolutely, I don't care if it's against the anointed one. We are in a much better spot now than we have been in a very long time having a balanced team with a huge chance for a run. I don't see any teams posing that much of an issue to ISU in that bracket versus a Creighton in MW/East scenario. Bama is a fraud. I think we'd easily be the best team in that region. I think it would actually be a cool storyline where TJ beats one of his mentors and I would like Arizona as the 1 seed over any of the others.
 
If it is 8 vs 9 on the s-curve, I agree it doesn't matter much. But if we end up in the same region as the top 2 seed, likely Arizona or Tennessee, that feels a fair bit different than a team like Creighton as a 3 seed. Playing in Omaha likely comes down to finishing ahead of either Kansas or Baylor, but a 2 seed virtually assures that being the case.
I think we're in really good shape for Omaha.
  • I believe we're ahead of Kansas on the S-Curve for sure. And possibly still ahead of Baylor. If we win tonight I'll feel better about being ahead of Baylor
  • Baylor is definitely ahead of Alabama now though. Their closest locale is Memphis, which will have Houston and either Baylor/Alabama (or Auburn, but I don't think they're a threat to pass Baylor at this point). Given Bama's blowout loss at Florida yesterday, I think Baylor is in really good shape to secure Memphis which takes them out of the running for Omaha
At this point, I see us and Kansas in Omaha, with us being the higher seeded team. The one wrench that could be thrown in is if Creighton passes Marquette on the S-Curve AND both Marquette and Kansas finish ahead of us on the S-Curve, then Marquette and Kansas would earn Omaha.

For that to happen, I think we'd need to lose 2 of our next 3 (or all 3) with one being in the B12 tourney, Kansas beats Houston, and Creighton win the Big East tourney. That's unlikely to happen, but you never know...

I should also add, I think right now ISU fans' top priority from a seeding perspective is to stay out of the East region. Which is not as likely as snagging Omaha
 
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Yeah, an "advantageous 3" in the midwest would be better than a "low 2" out in the East playing UNC/Duke/UConn in their backyards...
It seems we are essentially battling KU and Baylor for Omaha. 2 of 3 will get to Omaha. If we win tonight and KU loses at Houston this weekend, Omaha should be ours.
 
The Alabama, Illinois, and San Diego St. losses yesterday make it feel like a 3 seed is our floor if we win at least one of the next two.

The Marquette game tonight will play a factor in the 2 vs 3 seed situation. If Marquette beats UConn it feels like they will have a 2 seed locked up. If they lose, particularity by 10 or more, we likely move ahead of them if we can beat BYU.
Marquette is without one of their best players, they may get killed tonight and lose this weekend too.
 
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