Bracketology 2024

[jcf817]

While getting a 2 seed would be great, I don't think it matters a ton if we end up with a 3 as long as we land in Omaha (which does seem the way most of these are leaning). Very little difference in match ups, the 2-3 would by chalk still play in S16, and the team could use the "slight" of a 3 seed for a bit more motivation.

Hoping we get the 2 but not too broken if it's a 3.

I would also add not getting placed in the East.

 

[Raiders70]

Drake has the same # of Q1 wins as Iowa, even though Iowa has had 11 Q1 chances and Drake has had 4.

Drake is 24-6 and Iowa is 18-12. Drake is 9 spots higher in NET than Iowa.

The committee 100% should (but often doesn't) reward teams like Drake over average P6 teams.

Especially since Power 6 teams for the most part(hate to say it but this includes Iowa State) refuse to play teams like Drake .

 

[CascadeClone]

While getting a 2 seed would be great, I don't think it matters a ton if we end up with a 3 as long as we land in Omaha (which does seem the way most of these are leaning). Very little difference in match ups, the 2-3 would by chalk still play in S16, and the team could use the "slight" of a 3 seed for a bit more motivation.

Hoping we get the 2 but not too broken if it's a 3.

Yeah, an "advantageous 3" in the midwest would be better than a "low 2" out in the East playing UNC/Duke/UConn in their backyards...

 

[NoCreativity]

Isn't Kolek still out tonight? I wouldn't be too concerned with Marquette beating Uconn without him.

 

[CyPunch]

Isn't Kolek still out tonight? I wouldn't be too concerned with Marquette beating Uconn without him.

Kolek out. Sounds like Ighodaro will be back.

 

[CyPunch]

The Alabama, Illinois, and San Diego St. losses yesterday make it feel like a 3 seed is our floor if we win at least one of the next two.

The Marquette game tonight will play a factor in the 2 vs 3 seed situation. If Marquette beats UConn it feels like they will have a 2 seed locked up. If they lose, particularity by 10 or more, we likely move ahead of them if we can beat BYU.

Agree.

There's a good bit of separation between the last 3 and the 4's (Alabama, Illinois, San Diego St, Auburn).

Marquette, ISU, Baylor, KU, Duke, Creighton all in competition for those final 2 seeds. It would be tough to see any falling to the 4 line though at this point.

 

[Halincandenza]

Isn't Kolek still out tonight? I wouldn't be too concerned with Marquette beating Uconn without him.

Yeah, he is out. It is going to be a blowout.

 

[dahliaclone]

give me this bracket right now

https://sports131.files.wordpress.com/2024/03/bracket-030524.pdf

 

[Dirt Boy 2]

Anyone with 10 losses and only 3 Q1 wins should NEVER been in the top 10 of any metric.

It’s like they gamed the system with losses instead of wins. I’d rather game the system with wins backed up by metrics, but what do I know.

 

[Daserop]

Overseeded: Big East & SEC
Under seeded: Big 12

 

[SolarGarlic]

Okay...thanks for playing, I guess. It's gravy FOR ME. Is that difficult to understand?

Happy for you. It's a silly way of looking at things, but congrats on the great season!

 

[4theCYcle]

Yep, I welcome the chance to methodically dismember Nebby in front of their home fans (if they can actually get past the first round)

Absolutely, I don't care if it's against the anointed one. We are in a much better spot now than we have been in a very long time having a balanced team with a huge chance for a run. I don't see any teams posing that much of an issue to ISU in that bracket versus a Creighton in MW/East scenario. Bama is a fraud. I think we'd easily be the best team in that region. I think it would actually be a cool storyline where TJ beats one of his mentors and I would like Arizona as the 1 seed over any of the others.

 

[4theCYcle]

give me this bracket right now

https://sports131.files.wordpress.com/2024/03/bracket-030524.pdf

Avoiding UCONN/Houston/Creighton until the ship. That would also be a dream scenario and I would actually like seeing ISU play Purdue again to steal back that W Deonte's year should have had in 17.'

 

[SolterraCyclone]

If it is 8 vs 9 on the s-curve, I agree it doesn't matter much. But if we end up in the same region as the top 2 seed, likely Arizona or Tennessee, that feels a fair bit different than a team like Creighton as a 3 seed. Playing in Omaha likely comes down to finishing ahead of either Kansas or Baylor, but a 2 seed virtually assures that being the case.

I think we're in really good shape for Omaha.

• I believe we're ahead of Kansas on the S-Curve for sure. And possibly still ahead of Baylor. If we win tonight I'll feel better about being ahead of Baylor
• Baylor is definitely ahead of Alabama now though. Their closest locale is Memphis, which will have Houston and either Baylor/Alabama (or Auburn, but I don't think they're a threat to pass Baylor at this point). Given Bama's blowout loss at Florida yesterday, I think Baylor is in really good shape to secure Memphis which takes them out of the running for Omaha

At this point, I see us and Kansas in Omaha, with us being the higher seeded team. The one wrench that could be thrown in is if Creighton passes Marquette on the S-Curve AND both Marquette and Kansas finish ahead of us on the S-Curve, then Marquette and Kansas would earn Omaha.

For that to happen, I think we'd need to lose 2 of our next 3 (or all 3) with one being in the B12 tourney, Kansas beats Houston, and Creighton win the Big East tourney. That's unlikely to happen, but you never know...

I should also add, I think right now ISU fans' top priority from a seeding perspective is to stay out of the East region. Which is not as likely as snagging Omaha

 

[ClubCy]

I could end be very wrong but I think people are underestimating Purdue this year.

 

[clone37]

Yeah, an "advantageous 3" in the midwest would be better than a "low 2" out in the East playing UNC/Duke/UConn in their backyards...

It seems we are essentially battling KU and Baylor for Omaha. 2 of 3 will get to Omaha. If we win tonight and KU loses at Houston this weekend, Omaha should be ours.

 

[4theCYcle]

I could end be very wrong but I think people are underestimating Purdue this year.

Yeah, I definitely underestimated them the last 2 years too!

 

[jcf817]

Happy for you. It's a silly way of looking at things, but congrats on the great season!

That's a dumb way of looking at my opinion, particularly since you didn't seem to understand it.

 

[ClubCy]

Yeah, I definitely underestimated them the last 2 years too!

It’s almost like teams can be different from year to year! Does that mean we score 30 points again in the first round this year!?!

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Anyone with 10 losses and only 3 Q1 wins should NEVER been in the top 10 of any metric.

The metrics LOVE offense.