As I’ve always said, just get in the tournament. Would love as good of a seed as we can get, but outside of the 1’s and maybe 2’s, the parity it college hoops has made seeding more irrelevant. And yes the numbers and historical data says otherwise, but my point is every year we see teams make runs from 6 seeds and lower. Just keep getting into the tournament and eventually that hot streak can find you. I feel we are one of those schools where we will have that Elite 8 /Final Four run soon from a non top-4 seed.
2023-2024 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
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- bracketology cyclones net quad rankings
Let's give UCF a little credit (if only because my wife has a degree from there).
I thought they'd be bad. They're proving to be quite pesky.
You don't beat Kansas and Texas in one week by accident.
Sellers is a very good guard. Not an outside shooter but does everything else well (sort of like Brockington did for Iowa State two years ago). That game down in Orlando is not going to be a gimme.
I’d take that all day err day
I'd still be thrilled with 8-9 conference wins which would be solidly in with yesterday's game.
11...yikes.
Had posted this last year I think, but shows odds for each seed and how its changed over time. Has other conferences as well if interested. But up to 2nd now through yesterdays games!
https://bboilercbb.github.io/conferences/B12/index.html
https://bboilercbb.github.io/conferences/B12/index.html
Why does it say "Projected record: 11-7" when we are 3-2 and, if I'm reading right, it looks to be projecting us to go 11-2 in the remaining Big 12 games?
we’re obviously going to lose more than 2 more games but it’s more a “projected to lose 2 games” via the computer model.
The model is saying that we’d be favorite against those team via KenPom.
Some of those win percentages are right around 50%. So even though it is a projected win, still pretty much a toss up.
I'm a little surprised the have us beating the Beakers, hope we do. Those win percentages seem high but that would be a great season for us
Why would you be surprised it has us beating Kansas at home?
When they've already lost at UCF and WVU. Two less than stellar CBB teams this season.
I've watched us lose to many times 8 on 5. I expect every game with KU to be a battle.
Again, why would you be surprised it is projecting us to win AT HOME against Kansas?
I don't know how or why, but if you take the games between 40-60% win probability and go 50/50 on those that comes out to their final record projection. Kind of makes sense, those games are too close to call, just depends upon which team is better that day. I like our last 5 games as W, so if we can get to 18-8 (7-6), I think we end up 23-8 (12-6).
We're approaching 'KU just doesn't have it this year' season and it's usually about this time that they phase into a very different looking team.
I’m not saying we absolutely won’t lose, but the poster thinking it’s weird we are favored in that game is what makes no sense. Hilton is tough, and we are a good team. Easy to see why the computers like us in that game.
