Historically it's really ****ing good for ISU basketball.
2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
Historically it's really ****ing good for ISU basketball.
I never said I was confident they would get a 3 seed, I just laid out the scenarios. You are being very emotional about this.
I sure hope we get 3 more wins! It's pretty likely it will be KState in KC by the way. Even if we finish 1-2, we will still be in the 4/5 game unless TCU or Oklahoma State win out. It is very difficult to win 3 games in a row in the Big 12. TCU has two road games left and Ok State has Kansas State and Baylor next followed by a road game in Lubbock.
Load up the Torvik page for Iowa State and click this --
Or just the direct link here --
https://www.barttorvik.com/teamcast.php?&team=Iowa+St.&year=2023
Ok, let's revisit on Selection Sunday then and we'll see who was right. I predict 4 more wins minimum, you say 3 for a 3 seed.
Baylor is juuuust leaky enough on D that ISU may have a chance there.
I have no idea what to think of the last two home games. ISU should be able to get more movement in the backcourt vs. OU.
I'm confident in a 3 or 4 as long as we win the 2 home games. You have to also factor in what other teams who we are competing with did too.
Xavier lost at home to Villinova
Tennessee has now lost 2 (just like ISU) including getting blown out by UK (a bubble team)
Indiana lost to MSU (LOL), will likely lose to Purdue next and could lose to Iowa
Baylor and KSU might be switching the 2 and 3
My committee prediction for this Saturday (pending Bama, Houston and UVA games tonight). The nice thing for ISU is that the 4 seeds are from such weak conferences.
| 1 | Alabama (No. 1 seed -- South Region) |
| 2 | Houston (No. 1 seed -- Midwest Region) |
| 3 | Purdue (No. 1 seed -- East Region) |
| 4 | Kansas (No. 1 seed -- West Region) - could make a case for overall but I don't see them changing |
| 5 | Texas |
| 6 | Arizona |
| 7 | UCLA |
| 8 | Kstate |
| 9 | Baylor |
| 10 | Virginia |
| 11 | Iowa State |
| 12 | Tennessee |
| 13 | Marquette |
| 14 | Gonzaga |
| 15 | Indiana |
| 16 | Miami |
I'd guess we've fallen from #11 to #14 on the seed list since Saturday fwiw
Who would have passed us though? Those who could have passed us also lost or are so far behind us in metrics that it's hard for them to gain ground while we lost to 2 top teams.
Losing in East Lansing is funny now? What alternate reality are you living in now?
No Big 10 teams besides Purdue should feel confident about winning a game there.
Because MSU isn't even a shell of what they used to be. Iowa should have beat them there, that should tell you all you need to know.
Feel free to modify my list to what you think
Miami and Marquette will be ahead of ISU by selection Sunday, most likely Gonzaga also.
My prediction is simple we need 4 more wins in any combination to get a 3. Anything less than that and we are a 4 or 5.
Yeah honestly if we do 2-1 with the loss being at Baylor, our next loss will also be to a team ranked above us. Because the committee ranked us that high to start, it’ll be hard to drop us much.
The normal update has arrived. I don't buy that #7 seed, though.
I could see #4-5 and maybe stretch to #6 but #7 would require losing all three games.
I could see #4-5 and maybe stretch to #6 but #7 would require losing all three games.
Question… how do they rank us #21 but have us at a 7 seed? Wouldn’t that put us at a 6?
Kansas State and Marquette for sure. Maybe Gonzaga due to our metrics taking a hit from the Texas game.
I think we overall agree on the process here. These games don't happen in a vacuum like some seem to think.
Miami 27 net, 7-4 Q1, 3-0 Q2, 6-1 Q3, 7-0 Q4
Marquette 13 net, 5-5 Q1, 5-0 Q2, 5-1 Q3, 7-0 Q4
ISU 18 net, 8-9 Q1, 2-1 Q2, 1-0 Q3, 6-0 Q4
Miami still has work to do to make that big of jump. Marquette I could see jumping us. But the committee stressed that strength of opponents is a big factor and we have that going for us.
Just win the 2 home games. Don't care if it's ugly. Hopefully we can get a 4 or 6 but obviously would be fine with a 5 too but that matchup is always scary
