2022-2023 MBB computer projections thread

[Gunnerclone]

I agree... Although we have to root for KU here if we want to stay in the title hunt? ******* gross.....

I don’t mind that we aren’t involved in it lol.

 

[JustAnotherTimeline]

I actually think Kansas wins rather handily.

Sharps will probably pound Kansas here at -4. Public will take Texas at +4.

I'll take KU by more than a possession.

 

[bawbie]

Win out at home should be our base case. If we can get to +3 in the Floyd standings, then we can talk about the conference title race.

Updated Floyd Standings:

UT +3
ISU +2
BU, KSU, KU, and TCU +1
OSU +0
WV -2
OU -3
Tech -4

Baylor is the hottest team in the conference and just got Big Jon back. They are the team to beat right now. The biggest unknown is TCU as they are currently missing Miles and Lamkin. If they are out for a couple more games, their record might start to slip. But if they get healthy, they are really tough.

Baylor might have the hardest schedule remaining with road games @TCU, @KU, @KSU, and @OSU. Home games also against Texas and us to close the season. That is 6 Quad 1-A games to finish the year.

Love this view of the schedule



By looking at this, watch out for KSU, they have the easiest schedule left. UT has its toughest 3 road games left (Lawrence, Waco and Ft Worth)

 

[dahliaclone]

Sharps will probably pound Kansas here at -4. Public will take Texas at +4.

I'll take KU by more than a possession.

GD is going to go off tonight I think. His last few games shooting...

at Iowa State 1-4 from three 7 pts total
vs Kansas State 1-3 from three 9 pts total
at Kentucky 1-5 from three 13 pts total
at Baylor 2-5 from three
vs TCU 2-8 from three
at Kansas State 1-8 from three
vs Iowa State 5-9 from three

He hasn't been 'on' from three since we played in Lawrence. Since that game he's only 8-33 from distance (24%). He's due.

 

[dahliaclone]

Love this view of the schedule



By looking at this, watch out for KSU, they have the easiest schedule left. UT has its toughest 3 road games left (Lawrence, Waco and Ft Worth)

Yup I said Saturday that KSU is still in the driver's seat with their schedule.

 

[madguy30]

I actually think Kansas wins rather handily.

I keep waiting for them to get into their 2nd half of conference mode but maybe they just don't have it this year.

 

[tomar1]

Does it predict which 4 games we will lose? And since we only have 3 more road games, what game(s) at Hilton do they predict us to lose?

Seems to me that we should be a bit better than they are predicting.

4 road games left

 

[Cytasticlone]

Love this view of the schedule



By looking at this, watch out for KSU, they have the easiest schedule left. UT has its toughest 3 road games left (Lawrence, Waco and Ft Worth)

Ok, this is technically off topic... but WTH is that yellow line for? The black squares take care of the irrelevant boxes. The yellow line is... useless? Am I missing something? It bugged the heck out of my when I saw it earlier in the year too.

 

[CydeofFries]

Ok, this is technically off topic... but WTH is that yellow line for? The black squares take care of the irrelevant boxes. The yellow line is... useless? Am I missing something? It bugged the heck out of my when I saw it earlier in the year too.

Yellow line is supposed to be like an "expected win" line. Games above it you would expect the team to lose, below win.

 

[exCYtable]

This would have been so much rosier if we had just hung on against Tech. Still right in the mix though.

 

[Cytasticlone]

Yellow line is supposed to be like an "expected win" line. Games above it you would expect the team to lose, below win.

Thank you! I figured there had to be a reason for it when Gookin recreated the chart and still included it.

 

[dahliaclone]

This would have been so much rosier if we had just hung on against Tech. Still right in the mix though.

Three league losses by a total of 7 points all on the road. Although I do think we lose Wednesday by the largest margin so far this year for us in league...hope I'm wrong. They're just playing much better and we rarely play well there.

 

[ClonesFTW]

I went from wanting to pummel Kansas into the dirt Saturday to rooting for them tonight, the ole B12 emotional roller coaster.

 

[Halincandenza]

I think KU will give them everything they've got, but I have no idea what they're going to do with the Texas bigs.

Agree and it’s gotten even worse for KU because now they only have two healthy bigs after Ejiofor and Clemence injuries. KU is going to have to go off from three if they are going to win.

 

[allfourcy]

GD is going to go off tonight I think. His last few games shooting...

at Iowa State 1-4 from three 7 pts total
vs Kansas State 1-3 from three 9 pts total
at Kentucky 1-5 from three 13 pts total
at Baylor 2-5 from three
vs TCU 2-8 from three
at Kansas State 1-8 from three
vs Iowa State 5-9 from three

He hasn't been 'on' from three since we played in Lawrence. Since that game he's only 8-33 from distance (24%). He's due.

Nothing like a **** going off.

 

[cyclones500]

GD is going to go off tonight I think. His last few games shooting...

at Iowa State 1-4 from three 7 pts total
vs Kansas State 1-3 from three 9 pts total
at Kentucky 1-5 from three 13 pts total
at Baylor 2-5 from three
vs TCU 2-8 from three
at Kansas State 1-8 from three
vs Iowa State 5-9 from three

He hasn't been 'on' from three since we played in Lawrence. Since that game he's only 8-33 from distance (24%). He's due.

Probably no coincidence KU has gone 2-4 since ISU at Phog. I don't think he's "the guy" but definitely seems to be X-factor. Would like to see his stats prior to ISU@KU.

 

[dahliaclone]

Probably no coincidence KU has gone 2-4 since ISU at Phog. I don't think he's "the guy" but definitely seems to be X-factor. Would like to see his stats prior to ISU@KU.

They can be very lethal...but they need GD to be a consistent scoring threat besides Wilson and he's not been that recently.

 

[Gunnerclone]

I went from wanting to pummel Kansas into the dirt Saturday to rooting for them tonight, the ole B12 emotional roller coaster.

It’s a big Catch 22. KU winning helps us in the standings right now, but over the course of the past 3 decades I’ve learned that you don’t want KU to get rolling and end up nipping the league at the end. Seems like every year they have a stretch where everyone says “this KU team is DIFFERENT” and then they end up winning the league anyway.

 

[dahliaclone]

Probably no coincidence KU has gone 2-4 since ISU at Phog. I don't think he's "the guy" but definitely seems to be X-factor. Would like to see his stats prior to ISU@KU.

If my math is right, for the season he's 55 for 131 from three which is 42%...very good.

But take away all games from ISU at KU on and he's a stunning 42 for 89 from three for 47%.

 

[alarson]

It’s a big Catch 22. KU winning helps us in the standings right now, but over the course of the past 3 decades I’ve learned that you don’t want KU to get rolling and end up nipping the league at the end. Seems like every year they have a stretch where everyone says “this KU team is DIFFERENT” and then they end up winning the league anyway.

I'll take a former big 8 member winning to Texas winning if it comes down to it