Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

Clonehomer

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I kind of think it’s as sime as if the Big 10 wants Oregon, they’re going. If the Big 10 doesn’t want them, I think if the corners go Big 12, Oregon is out of options. I don’t think independent is viable, so unless there’s an SEC Hail Mary, I think Oregon would pout and come to the Big 12.

My guess is Oregon/Big12 is one of two extremes where there’s zero chance, where Oregon is Big 10 bound OR where Oregon doesn’t have leverage.

Personally, I'm not sold on Oregon. Once Knight passes on, will there be the same advantage from Nike? And without that, will Oregon still be the powerhouse they have been over the past decade or so? Just not sure if they're worth going outside the footprint that far. The corners seem to just fit better.
 

isucy86

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Apr 13, 2006
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With most of these I would prefer it if wasnt such a dip in per team revenue. Maybe with the OSU and WSUs of the world if Oregon and UW really wanted their in state brethren along, or their state legislatures held them hostage they could come in with several years of foregoing media $ to make it worth it. If it was that or MWC they would surely do it.

Agree, I would think that Oregon would require full payment year 1, while Oregon State would be partial year 1+.

Seems like Washington has been pretty quiet the last month. I feel like they know they are Big10 bound regardless if ND joins or not. Same goes for Stanford as they & UW could be travel partners.

The wait on ND is more about how many teams does the Big10 take from the Pac12. With Arizona State, Utah & Colorado maybe just as valuable to the Big10 as Oregon.
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Personally, I'm not sold on Oregon. Once Knight passes on, will there be the same advantage from Nike? And without that, will Oregon still be the powerhouse they have been over the past decade or so? Just not sure if they're worth going outside the footprint that far. The corners seem to just fit better.
Guessing he sets up a foundation. He would loose a few billion in taxes through his estate so he could give a couple bill away and not phase anything.
 
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CycloneSpinning

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Or maybe you take Utah and Oregon St comes with Oregon. Option anyway.

UO is def going to be looking to jump to SEC if the B1G won't have them. but what a terrible geographic fit... idk if the SEC would take them just alone like that...
Oregon is too much Kevin Durant and not enough Michael Jordan. A bunch of loser schools like that (OU and UT included). Become the best so you can beat the best instead of latching on to the coattails of the best…
 

Clonehomer

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Guessing he sets up a foundation. He would loose a few billion in taxes through his estate so he could give a couple bill away and not phase anything.

But it's more than just money. The special treatment Oregon gets for things like their infinite uniform combinations is an advantage you can't just buy.
 

jdoggivjc

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The talk of Cal being a G5 school is silly. If Cal doesn't end up in the Big10, they would definitely end up in the Big12. The only exception would be if Cal dropped FB! The TV folks will not pass up on having a school in the 6th largest TV market. Why do people think UCF & Houston were added by Big12 last summer.

If Oregon doesn't get a Big10 invite, I would also suspect that Oregon/Oregon State would be a package deal.

Cal should be in a P5 conference, but few want to put up with their bull****. The Big 10 might be willing to put up with it, but the Big 12 won't - and Cal would probably would rather eliminate all athletics before they shared a conference with the likes of BYU and Baylor.
 
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CoKane

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Cal should be in a P5 conference, but few want to put up with their bull****. The Big 10 might be willing to put up with it, but the Big 12 won't - and Cal would probably would rather eliminate all athletics before they shared a conference with the likes of BYU and Baylor.
Should they though? They play in one of the easiest places to recruit in the country and suck consistently
 
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jdoggivjc

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Should they though? They play in one of the easiest places to recruit in the country and suck consistently

When I say "should" I mean under ordinary circumstances. As you were saying, Cal is the kind of school that should be easy to have success, and they did in the early 2000s. But in the late 2010s and 2020s, not only do they not compete, the people at that school seem to treat their uncompetitiveness as a badge of honor.
 
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SEIOWA CLONE

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I am not sure- but I am open to the networks thinking it will., although not likely imo. If ESPN eventually has plans to repurpose ACCN would be the one scenario that I think SDSU for sure moves up.

And if it factored in to the death of the PAC. I personally don't see why any average PAC school wants another PAC (or Big 12 school if they join) in CA. Just another peer competing in CA, but one that has the "local" card. But, there is some narrative that they'd like to keep a presence in southern CA

Imo a viewership bump does not really matter where it comes from. That is why the BIG and SEC are so strong- BIG fans and casual viewers watch top BIG games because they are top BIG games, with only the elite having a lot of variability. They don't care where or why those fans are watching. We wont cause the same level of bump, but if SDSU games draw materially better as a member of the Big 12, because they are now Big 12, the networks will be happy. Even if that is a bunch of ISU and KSU and TT fans watching.

Getting any strong penetration on CA viewers would be discounted in the network's models I assume. If college football is fading on historic PAC schools, I just don't see non-P2 schools pulling those markets (which is why the 4 corners going to Big 12 is more value add than B12 leftovers going west imo). But it seems like it is a little like recruiting, in which people (networks) may like upside that never occurs
The B10 is strong because of the way their network is set up, they forced BTN on basic cable, allowing them to charge every household in the state that has cable or sat. tv, $1.10 per month. That is the why California is so valuable to the conference, you have millions of homes that will now be paying that much each month into the coffers of BTN. Does not matter if you watch or not, everyone with cable is now paying the rate.

The B12 does not have a network to make the same money for its member schools. We get our money from the networks and the ratings from the amount that network can charge for commercials to the programing. If no one is watching SD football, then the rates for advertisers can charge is going to be less.

B10 is based on viewership, while the B10 is based on just having a school in your state.
 

12191987

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Cal should be in a P5 conference, but few want to put up with their bull****. The Big 10 might be willing to put up with it, but the Big 12 won't - and Cal would probably would rather eliminate all athletics before they shared a conference with the likes of BYU and Baylor.

Ok, so this seems to be bandied about ‘round here a lot.

What exactly is Cal’s ********?

I have friends/co-workers/acquaintances with degrees from every Pac-12 school except ASU (I think).

Other than some (mostly) good-natured ribbing about it being dirty and a bit too proletariat by some ‘Ferd people I’ve never heard a ******* peep about Cal being an issue of any kind in the Pac-12.

Townspeople from the City of Berkeley and their griping about increased enrollment without building housing, big-oil and big-pharma funded research, etc. is another matter.
 

WhoISthis

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The B10 is strong because of the way their network is set up, they forced BTN on basic cable, allowing them to charge every household in the state that has cable or sat. tv, $1.10 per month. That is the why California is so valuable to the conference, you have millions of homes that will now be paying that much each month into the coffers of BTN. Does not matter if you watch or not, everyone with cable is now paying the rate.

The B12 does not have a network to make the same money for its member schools. We get our money from the networks and the ratings from the amount that network can charge for commercials to the programing. If no one is watching SD football, then the rates for advertisers can charge is going to be less.

B10 is based on viewership, while the B10 is based on just having a school in your state.

Sure, that’s what we tell ourselves.

But look at the ratings.

The Big 10 is strong because they dominate in ratings, have huge followings and are a top brand because of that.

BTN is a small part now. Mountain West had a network first and it went no where because they don’t have the fans like the BIG
 
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2speedy1

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Ok, so this seems to be bandied about ‘round here a lot.

What exactly is Cal’s ********?

I have friends/co-workers/acquaintances with degrees from every Pac-12 school except ASU (I think).

Other than some (mostly) good-natured ribbing about it being dirty and a bit too proletariat by some ‘Ferd people I’ve never heard a ******* peep about Cal being an issue of any kind in the Pac-12.

Townspeople from the City of Berkeley and their griping about increased enrollment without building housing, big-oil and big-pharma funded research, etc. is another matter.
Cal and Stanford dont have issues with their peers in the Pac 12 in schools that think like them. There issues are with the rest of the country, schools, and states that they dont believe, fit their beliefs, politics, academics, and are not as elite as what they believe they are.

No one thinks they have an issue with the rest of the Pac schools. It is their issue with schools, in Texas, Iowa, Oklahoma, etc, and religious affiliated schools that they turn their noses up to. This is and has been well known for many years. Their beliefs are deep seeded and are tied to many issues. Whether they are realistic or not and whether they are based in truth or stereotypes, it does not matter, they have an extreme aversion to many schools because of their affiliation or location.
 
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12191987

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Cal and Stanford dont have issues with their peers in the Pac 12 in schools that think like them. There issues are with the rest of the country, schools, and states that they dont believe, fit their beliefs, politics, academics, and are not as elite as what they believe they are.

No one thinks they have an issue with the rest of the Pac schools. It is their issue with schools, in Texas, Iowa, Oklahoma, etc, and religious affiliated schools that they turn their noses up to. This is and has been well known for many years. Their beliefs are deep seeded and are tied to many issues. Whether they are realistic or not and whether they are based in truth or stereotypes, it does not matter, they have an extreme aversion to many schools because of their affiliation or location.
Let me repeat back what I think I’m hearing:

A weird, deep-seated insecurity about being perceived as inferior by a gross caricature of an institution of which there is seemingly little-to-no firsthand knowledge/experience is manifesting as vague complaints and bizarre glee at the prospect putting them in their place.

Sound about right?
 

SEIOWA CLONE

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Sure, that’s what we tell ourselves.

But look at the ratings.

The Big 10 is strong because they dominate in ratings, have huge followings and are a top brand because of that.

BTN is a small part now. Mountain West had a network first and it went no where because they don’t have the fans like the BIG
BTN is a huge money making tool of the conference, it's what allowed them to bring in Rutgers and Maryland, not for the teams, but the markets that it services.
I doubt if the rating for the B10 are any better than the SEC is getting on a week to week basis. You want huge ratings, put a team on ABC starting at 7:00 on a Saturday night and you are going to get large ratings. Sure Ohio State or Michigan are going to bring in more that Iowa or ISU, but the latter two schools will have a large rating share.
 
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trevn

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Let me repeat back what I think I’m hearing:

A weird, deep-seated insecurity about being perceived as inferior by a gross caricature of an institution of which there is seemingly little-to-no firsthand knowledge/experience is manifesting as vague complaints and bizarre glee at the prospect putting them in their place.

Sound about right?
Welcome to the internet.
 
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2speedy1

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Let me repeat back what I think I’m hearing:

A weird, deep-seated insecurity about being perceived as inferior by a gross caricature of an institution of which there is seemingly little-to-no firsthand knowledge/experience is manifesting as vague complaints and bizarre glee at the prospect putting them in their place.

Sound about right?
Eh, no. None of that really matters to me. It is why they would not want in the Big 12, not the other way around. The only reason the Big 12 would not want them is because of lacking viewership and value. Not because of cultural issues, those are only an issue for Cal and Stanford joining with others.

Most of us think they are quirky, and annoying, and elitist, but could care less. We have witnessed their adversity towards schools like us and Baylor, TCU, Boise, BYU and heard their reasons for it etc. But most of us dont really care about that we still would go there to beat their butts if they dont hurt our pay out per year.

From many of your posts, Im starting to believe you are a pac 12 fan, pretending to be a Cyclone fan. You are very defensive of the Pac.
 

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