Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
I think the Big 12 would be just as good from a per-team standpoint BUT the ACC would lure them with concessions and extra shares so they could trigger the renegotiation of their bad contract.
They can't afford to do that, it allows NC and Va to go to the big ten and Miami and others to go to the SEC. They they will have less.
 
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iahawks

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FYI. Here in Denver, it is NOT a huge CU market. Denver is definitely pro dominated. Very minimal coverage on CU or CSU.
I was in Boulder a few weeks and you would barely even know that CU is there and we were only a few miles from the campus.
 
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isucy86

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We have some "friends" tell AZ AZST CO and UT that we want to add teams and we're only taking 2.
Not sure if you mentioned 2 from a posturing perspective or we only want 2.

If you look at current Big12 revenue on a school basis, it is all pretty even (within $15M) once you exclude UT & OU.

Same goes for the 3 new Big12 schools if they had Big12 TV contract vs. AAC.

Pac12 AD revenues for CU, UU, ASU, UA, Cal & Stanford are all in the same range as the existing Big12 members. So if those 6 teams are available- all 6 are no brainers to add to Big12.

That would get us to an 18 team conference. Then I think we sit tight for a decade to see if the ACC GOR implodes.
 

awd4cy

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Truth be told, I didnt watch much of the football or basketball season this past year. This constant carousel and consolidation of conferences has sucked all the fun out of college sports for me. I don't know if I want to watch any of it anymore.
Honestly agree. That combined with NIL are terrible. I’ve just found other things to do on Saturdays in the fall. Usually the best weather of the year so no loss.
 

BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
I was in Boulder a few weeks and you would barely even know that CU is there and we were only a few miles from the campus.
Our money did not go down when we lost them. We can have them whenever we want. This all is in Oregons and Washingtons lap.
 
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BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
Not sure if you mentioned 2 from a posturing perspective or we only want 2.

If you look at current Big12 revenue on a school basis, it is all pretty even (within $15M) once you exclude UT & OU.

Same goes for the 3 new Big12 schools if they had Big12 TV contract vs. AAC.

Pac12 AD revenues for CU, UU, ASU, UA, Cal & Stanford are all in the same range as the existing Big12 members. So if those 6 teams are available- all 6 are no brains to add to Big12.

That would get us to an 18 team conference. Then I think we sit tight for a decade to see if the ACC GOR implodes.
Just because a team is making that much now does not mean they are worth that much. USC was the big dog in that conference. Taking UCLA kills the LA market for the PAC (if it was there to begin with is another question). CU does nothing for us, same as UT, they are there if we want them. Only reason we take a PAC 12 team quickly is to kill it off. They very well may be rallying the troops to hold a ten team league like the big 12 did.
 
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HFCS

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Hard agree. I see 24 per conference as the landing spot more than 20. Though, that is with the idea being that 30-40 of those will break away down the road and leave the Vanderbilts and Northwesterns behind.

Until then, the current P5+ND+the Big 12 call-ups gives us 69 teams split between essentially 3 conferences.
This will become much more of an issue when schools are allowed to pay athletes directly. Don't think for a minute that won't happen, it's coming. That will create a massive gulf in talent between the B1G/SEC and everyone else.

Like how the Iowa Energy does?

Regional pro minor league sports aren’t popular.

Yeah they will pull away…and in the long run real top flight pro sports will be what gains fandom as a person who would’ve been an ISU or KSU fan just becomes a KC Chiefs only fan.
 

isucy86

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Just because a team is making that much now does not mean they are worth that much. USC was the big dog in that conference. Taking UCLA kills the LA market for the PAC (if it was there to begin with is another question). CU does nothing for us, same as UT, they are there if we want them. Only reason we take a PAC 12 team quickly is to kill it off. They very well may be rallying the troops to hold a ten team league like the big 12 did.
If we were eager to take Houston, UCF and Cincy. The Big12 will be falling all over itself to add any Pac12 team other than Oregon State & Washington State.
 

Rods79

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Ideally, the B1G needs to take two more from the Pac10. Otherwise them smug SOBs might salvage their conference as is instead of looking to the Big12. Also, watching what the ACC does. They've been aggressive in the past (Snagging Big East teams quick, Offering ND what they want, Signing a long-term deal and GORs... they could do something unexpected like try to coax the biggest brands in the Pac10/Big12 to form the first conference of 20 and try to renegotiate their ESPN contract. If the B1G is throwing out Geography, not sure why the ACC wouldn't.

If $100m per team in the B1G is true, I don’t think there’s much chance of sitting back and saving the PAC. The remaining top teams aren’t going to want to be 75% behind in revenue for 10+ years. I think the only way to add value for them now is to get creative and get aggressive (and hypothetically adding Kansas and Boise State to fill the 2 voids ain’t gonna cut it).

I also think the ACC has near zero leverage. The wolves are on the outside and the moment they open the gates I think it’s over…too much chaff over there.
 

SEIOWA CLONE

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Just because a team is making that much now does not mean they are worth that much. USC was the big dog in that conference. Taking UCLA kills the LA market for the PAC (if it was there to begin with is another question). CU does nothing for us, same as UT, they are there if we want them. Only reason we take a PAC 12 team quickly is to kill it off. They very well may be rallying the troops to hold a ten team league like the big 12 did.
They were talking a lot about market size and the rest of it last night on ESPN Sat college sports, and I do not know if anyone knows just how important being in a large market is anymore.

Look at Houston, top 5 market in the US, but they have few fans, does having Houston in the league really add any more money or not? Same could be said about LA, SF and most of the West Coast teams, large markets with few fans.
As we move more into streaming does it really matter if the team is in LA or Ames, when you have to purchase Hulu or Amazon to get it, then I am not sure it really matters. How much of a money grab is getting the state of California to the B10, its was great with Rutgers 8 years ago, but are those numbers the same today?
 
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cyfan92

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I wouldn’t entirely dismiss the TCU rumor if someone in b10 position of power thinks they need foot in Texas. Top prize is off the board, A&M is freaking weird anyway and TCU has best market and least baggage of the rest.

It’s a long shot but not crazy. I don’t think academics or academic affiliations matters on the slightest anymore. If we hadn’t added BYU the Pac would be on the phone with them 100%, religious affiliations won’t matter either.

I'd love for TCU to get picked off by the SEC or Big 10. Opens up a spot for a better program. They give you a physical presence but no eyeballs. Baylor is far better at football and MBB. Yes, there is baggage and they sometimes stink to deal with. But I'd rather have Louisville, Pitt, Va Tech, Oregon, Washington than TCU
 
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Beernuts

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Someone needs to be the leader of these "misfit toys" universities (including ISU). Form one unified conference from coast to coast. We need to recognize who we are and that there are a bunch of universities in a similar situation. The remainder Big 12, Pac 10 and ACC should work together. instead of begging for the scraps from the big 10 / sec....but that will take a clear voice and leadership, and I don't know who that is.

It is disgusting what college football is becoming...thanks ESPN and greedy university presidents / donors.
 

isucy86

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Because we were at 8. 8 was death. 12 is stable. We are in two totally different scenarios. Can't compare the two.
But is 12 stable? Is 12 enough inventory to make the Big12 attractive to a streaming player like Amazon, Apple+, Peacock, etc.

IMO a platform like Apple or Amazon would put more per school value in an 18 team Big12 vs. 12 team Big12.
 
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BCClone

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Not exactly sure.
But is 12 stable? Is 12 enough inventory to make the Big12 attractive to a streaming player like Amazon, Apple+, Peacock, etc.

IMO a platform like Apple or Amazon would put more per school value in an 18 team Big12 vs. 12 team Big12.
It is considered a conference at minimum. NCAA has said that 10 is the minimum to have for a conference. So, yes 12 is stable enough to survive which was our goal at the time. We now have opportunities, we don't need to find a way to survive. The PAC 12 is standing at the edge like we were for so long. Big question is, are the 3-6 teams in the PAC with 10 as valuable as the 3-6 teams in the Big 12 when we were at 10?
 

awd4cy

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Someone needs to be the leader of these "misfit toys" universities (including ISU). Form one unified conference from coast to coast. We need to recognize who we are and that there are a bunch of universities in a similar situation. The remainder Big 12, Pac 10 and ACC should work together. instead of begging for the scraps from the big 10 / sec....but that will take a clear voice and leadership, and I don't know who that is.

It is disgusting what college football is becoming...thanks ESPN and greedy university presidents / donors.
And yet espn is losing money hand over fist. They really do suck.
 

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