Dis the Ducks
- Thread starter JM4CY
- Start date
Borrowing from the time honored tradition of pulling stuff out of your arse and posting it authoritatively on the internet, I give you *drum roll*
Kimber45's Way Too Early But 100% Accurate And Totally Not Homer Game Prediction:
TL;DR - Oregon by 10-14.
Iowa State will get the USC version of the Ducks rather than the Cal/Beaver version. Whatever ailed the defense, whether it was scheme or motivation, got sorted out. The kids will be up for a NY6 game against a much higher ranked opponent and the coaching staff is too good to bring out a flat/lethargic squad.
Shough will play a good to very good game. I attribute some declining decision making to Shough trying to make THE play rather than just taking what the defense gives and make A play. The Ducks also have enough talent at the skill positions that they can win with a quarterback who just distributes the ball around rather than has to put the entire offense on his back. There is also not a quarterback controversy at Oregon but Iowa State will definitely see several packages for Anthony Brown. Two of those packages will be successful and the third has a 50/50 chance for a turnover.
Had Oregon played a full season I think they are a 3, maybe 4, loss team and end up in the Holiday Bowl. The roster cycle this year just resulted in an abundance of youth and lack of reps. The team still oozes talent though and, like the USC game, having two weeks to game plan and practice will pay big dividends. Had Oregon had Spring camp and not had four starters opt out they are a 1 or 2 loss team ranked #10-15.
Although they haven't had a bunch of INTs this shortened season I think Cyclone fans will come away impressed with how good the Oregon DBs actually are. Watch for Nick Pickett. Dude is an absolute hammer. The roster also includes a stable of LBs who go like 6'+/250. If these guys can play gap sound and not bite on too many fakes, for as good as your backs are, I think they hold the Iowa State rushing game to 100 yards. Or 250 yards if they revert to old form.
On the Iowa State side I see a 8-3 team from a pretty mediocre conference where both Texas and Oklahoma came out of the gate with two losses ('grats on your wins tho). If this were a normal season I think the 8-3 Cyclones would slot in around #15-17. For what it's worth, I can also see Oregon at #25 but just as easily in the "others receiving votes" column.
I expect that Oregon will play a lot of man and come after Purdy. #5 will be in your backfield a lot. Four or five sacks will end otherwise promising drives. For Iowa State to win Purdy has to play like the All America he often resembles. In this game though Oregon's defense will make him look a lot more average.
Iowa State's run defense isn't #10 any more than Oregon's is #30. This is the most intriguing part of the matchup for me to watch. I haven't heard if Verdell will be available but Dye and Dollars are both plenty good enough to break long runs through your vaunted 3-3-5 cloud thingy. For awhile I thought Oregon would run for ~150 in the Fiesta. Then I settled on an oddly specific 126 yards. Now I think it will be either 126 yards or 226 yards.
Can Iowa State win? Yes. Will they, no. Final score will be something like 38-28 or 35-24 Oregon.
Kimber45's Way Too Early But 100% Accurate And Totally Not Homer Game Prediction:
TL;DR - Oregon by 10-14.
Iowa State will get the USC version of the Ducks rather than the Cal/Beaver version. Whatever ailed the defense, whether it was scheme or motivation, got sorted out. The kids will be up for a NY6 game against a much higher ranked opponent and the coaching staff is too good to bring out a flat/lethargic squad.
Shough will play a good to very good game. I attribute some declining decision making to Shough trying to make THE play rather than just taking what the defense gives and make A play. The Ducks also have enough talent at the skill positions that they can win with a quarterback who just distributes the ball around rather than has to put the entire offense on his back. There is also not a quarterback controversy at Oregon but Iowa State will definitely see several packages for Anthony Brown. Two of those packages will be successful and the third has a 50/50 chance for a turnover.
Had Oregon played a full season I think they are a 3, maybe 4, loss team and end up in the Holiday Bowl. The roster cycle this year just resulted in an abundance of youth and lack of reps. The team still oozes talent though and, like the USC game, having two weeks to game plan and practice will pay big dividends. Had Oregon had Spring camp and not had four starters opt out they are a 1 or 2 loss team ranked #10-15.
Although they haven't had a bunch of INTs this shortened season I think Cyclone fans will come away impressed with how good the Oregon DBs actually are. Watch for Nick Pickett. Dude is an absolute hammer. The roster also includes a stable of LBs who go like 6'+/250. If these guys can play gap sound and not bite on too many fakes, for as good as your backs are, I think they hold the Iowa State rushing game to 100 yards. Or 250 yards if they revert to old form.
On the Iowa State side I see a 8-3 team from a pretty mediocre conference where both Texas and Oklahoma came out of the gate with two losses ('grats on your wins tho). If this were a normal season I think the 8-3 Cyclones would slot in around #15-17. For what it's worth, I can also see Oregon at #25 but just as easily in the "others receiving votes" column.
I expect that Oregon will play a lot of man and come after Purdy. #5 will be in your backfield a lot. Four or five sacks will end otherwise promising drives. For Iowa State to win Purdy has to play like the All America he often resembles. In this game though Oregon's defense will make him look a lot more average.
Iowa State's run defense isn't #10 any more than Oregon's is #30. This is the most intriguing part of the matchup for me to watch. I haven't heard if Verdell will be available but Dye and Dollars are both plenty good enough to break long runs through your vaunted 3-3-5 cloud thingy. For awhile I thought Oregon would run for ~150 in the Fiesta. Then I settled on an oddly specific 126 yards. Now I think it will be either 126 yards or 226 yards.
Can Iowa State win? Yes. Will they, no. Final score will be something like 38-28 or 35-24 Oregon.
I was hoping you would circle back around so I could check off the final box on my pregame checklist.
Calm down, babe. There’s still plenty of other kitchen things you could be doing.
This is only relevant if one takes the view that ONLY Oklahoma and Texas can be really good teams in the Big Xii.
FWIW, OU started out the gate with 2 losses because they lost @ Iowa State (shame on ISU for winning that game!), and Texas started out the gate with 2 losses because they lost to Oklahoma (one of them had to lose).
Just pointing out the fallacy that just because OU and Texas lose a few early games does not make the conference mediocre. It might be mediocre, but that's not the reason. If OU beat ISU in Ames, and Texas beat ISU in Austin, we would have had an OU (8-1, 7-1) vs. Texas (7-2, 6-2) rematch in the Big Xii CCG, and OU probably makes the playoff (instead of ND) with another win over Texas. The fact that Iowa State beat them both and finished (8-2, 8-1) makes the conference tougher, not weaker.
Looking forward to the Fiesta Bowl.
Let's Go State!
Beat the Ducks!
For whatever reason I don't post vote on the interwebs. I think its hard enough already to type with this wooden spoon.
But I love this site and every post on here should viewed as having an invisible "Like". Even posts by your mycrotchpants broad.
I just want to see a good clean hard fought football game on January 2nd.
Best of luck Cyclones and Go Ducks!
Thank you, that was an interesting read. I wasn’t sure about the level of hatred, or how/if being in different conferences makes a difference. Before this bowl was scheduled I knew very little about Iowa State football, outside of the story of Jack Trice, Troy Davis, and Seneca Wallace, and I’m pretty into college football and it’s trivia.
De nada. You picked a really good Trio to know about.
Let's Go State!
Beat the Ducks!
A starving man isn’t picky about the food on his plate.
There are only two certainties in this world.
First, there is no crying in Valhalla.
Second, there no disputing a Kimber45 game prediction that is presented as "100% Accurate."
Perhaps you missed that part?
You should have heard Campbell when we played Kansas
No. That posting on this site causes you to transmission.
I'm thinking about asking mycrotchpants whether lavender or turquoise goes better with my skin tone.
You might need to clarify this the U of O crowd. I don't think any of them are quite nonsensical enough.
Hope Iowa board's are receiving his broad jibberish though.
