Rank likelihood -- # wins for ISU

[FOREVERTRUE]

10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0

Bingo we have a winner!

 

[VeloClone]

I find myself at a total loss for who on our schedule some of you think we’re most likely to lose four times to.

Probably someone in the Big 12.

 

[cygrads]

6 - oline is too young with too few starts so we are held back once again.

 

[Pope]

We're gonna be great folks! Just ask my favorite college football announcer, Tim Brando!

 

[Proton]

7
6
8
5
9
4
3
10
2
1
0

 

[HFCS]

7
6
8
9
5
4
3
10
2
1
0

*assuming a complete schedule

 

[HFCS]

We're gonna be great folks! Just ask my favorite college football announcer, Tim Brando!

It's not that crazy. We're already ranked something like 15th to start the year among teams that are actually playing.

It'd be like picking us ranked 10-15th any other year.

 

[CyTwins]

7
8
6
9
10

 

[NorthCyd]

We're gonna be great folks! Just ask my favorite college football announcer, Tim Brando!

So we lose to OU in the championship game and barely miss out on the playoffs. I'll take it. Still in a BCS bowl

 

[cyatheart]

I think 8....split with Texas, ou, osu, and ksu...win the rest

 

[TedKumsher]

I find myself at a total loss for who on our schedule some of you think we’re most likely to lose four times to.

The funny guy in me just has to tell you ISU doesn't play anyone 4 times this season.
But to move on . . . you think it is more likely that ISU goes undefeated than they lose any 4 games? Pick any 4 of Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, K State (yuck), Louisiana (early season collapse) and one ISU shouldn't lose.

 

[surly]

I find myself at a total loss for who on our schedule some of you think we’re most likely to lose four times to.

OU, oSu, Texas, K-State would be the four.

For me, ISU goes at worst 6-3, at best 7-2 in the B12.

 

[Aclone]

The funny guy in me just has to tell you ISU doesn't play anyone 4 times this season.
But to move on . . . you think it is more likely that ISU goes undefeated than they lose any 4 games? Pick any 4 of Texas, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, K State (yuck), Louisiana (early season collapse) and one ISU shouldn't lose.

I can see people arguing that we’re “likely” to lose to OU, OSU and UT.

There’s a chance that we lose one against K-State or Louisiana—but that doesn’t make it likely. Just like there’s a good chance that we beat at least one of OU, OSU or UT.

Thus where the “likely” comes in.

 

[yowza]

6 - 4

 

[cyclones500]

1. 7
2. 6
3. 8
4. 5
5. 9
6. 4
7. 3
8. 10
9. 2
10. 1
11. 0

 

[flycy]

We win every game we play. Book it

Hey, this isn't about Nebraska.

 

[TedKumsher]

I can see people arguing that we’re “likely” to lose to OU, OSU and UT.
There’s a chance that we lose one against K-State or Louisiana—but that doesn’t make it likely. Just like there’s a good chance that we beat at least one of OU, OSU or UT. ...

Regarding your "likely" argument -- in a (simplified) nutshell, ISU has 3 chances to beat one (or more) of OU, OSU, or UT. But ISU has 7 chances to lose to one (or more) of the rest of the teams.

Historically, even recently, 6 conference wins is a difficult accomplishment (it would tie the ISU record that has only happened once). Add in COVID-19, a tough first game (where ISU recently has struggled) and that's where 6 wins (4 losses) becomes some people's most likely scenario (including mine). Clearly teams can win-games-they-shouldn't, but they can also lose-games-they-shouldn't.

Predictions are opinions, and I don't think 6 wins is unreasonable. I wouldn't mind seeing your list . . . I presume your most likely is either 7 or 8 (maybe 9?). Where do you go from there?

 

[TitanClone]

6-3

TCU doesn't play a game this year

 

[Clonefan32]

Ok, so I'm operating under the belief like last year we will play mostly close games. This year, I think we win more of those than we lose:

7
8
6
5
9
4
10
3
2
1