So glad to hear someone else praise JoJo, I loved that movie man. Hit me like a ton of bricks, too. Unfortunately, don't think it has the legs to beat out the big dogs this year, but love I Taika and his direction, I don't think I've seen anything he's associated with and not laughed or enjoyed it wholeheartedly.
To your second point, though, that is why I asked. I can certainly seeing the voters go "oh, ha! Look, how fun, they did a movie in the place we all know and love, AND its a period peice." So to that point, I completely agree that it could win because of that. I was not in love with The Irishmen, it was good, the acting was as good as you'd expect, and it was well directed, the story was just a bit 'meh' to me. It picked up at some parts and I kept trying to get myself to fully engage, but I couldn't, don't know why really.
Your comment on the streaming service and subtitle aspect is interesting, never really thought about it too much. But I don't think that that will hold Parasite back with Roma somewhat breaking through that phase in 2018. Or maybe that is my wishful thinking hoping the academy has changed... (unlikely)