NFL: ***Official Week Ten Thread***
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<a href="https://t.co/SpqzM8X0aL">https://t.co/SpqzM8X0aL</a></p>— Adam Hoge (@AdamHoge) <a href="">November 11, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
<a href="https://t.co/SpqzM8X0aL">https://t.co/SpqzM8X0aL</a></p>— Adam Hoge (@AdamHoge) <a href="">November 11, 2019</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
demoncore1031
Well-Known Member
demoncore1031
Well-Known Member
It was bad, but not all that surprising. The Colts have been in a bunch of one possession games this season, playing up and down to the level of competition. Throw in the fact that the Dolphins have been mostly competitive since September, the Colts rolled with Adam Vinatieri even though he's no longer reliable, T.Y. Hilton was out, and they were playing with Hoyer at QB, and it's not that big of an upset. Miami isn't as bad as we thought. Check the game logs. Since they switched to Fitzpatrick at QB they've still been bad, but not historically so.
The Colts were 10.5 point favorites earlier last week and if I was a betting man I would have bet big on that one.
Kind of a new analytics thing, but the math actually says it's the right thing to do, when down 14. You have a little less than 50% chance of getting a 2 point conversion (probably not exact math but I think that's what I read when researching this), so if you get the two point conversion, then you'll be down 6 and only need an XP to win if you score again. If you don't get it the first time, you have to go for 2 a second time to force OT. I'm not sure if I totally agree with it yet but it's definitely becoming a new thing. It's happened a few times in college football the past month
