Bracketology 2015...

On the topic of 2 seed possibility:

Suppose ISU wins out, shares title with KU at 14-4 (assuming that additional loss is at OU), Kansas gets 1-seed in conference tournament, defeats the 8/9 winner, then 4/5 (Baylor, OSU, West Virginia) and Iowa State beats 7 Texas, 3 OU and 1 KU for Big 12 tournament championship — it's possible both teams would get a 2 seed. (Also dependent on other movement in D-1, of course).

It's not a 2/3 either-or (KU's computer numbers are high, and Big 12 computer numbers are high).

That's best-case scenario, for this discussion. Not highly likely, but that's the situation.
 
I'm expecting the 1 and 2 lines to play out like this

1 Kentucky
1 Virginia
1 Duke
1 Gonzaga

2 Wisconsin
2 Kansas
2 Villanova
2 Utah/Arizona(whoever wins the Pac 12)

We either need to win the Big 12 tournament to move up to a 2 seed or have someone else fall apart. Losing to Kansas State or TCU would end all discussion on the topic however.
 
Lunardi's latest S-curve:

2 seed = Kansas
3 = Iowa State
4 = Oklahoma
4 = UNI
5 = Baylor
5 = Maryland
5 = Arkansas
7 = West Virginia
7 = Oklahoma State
8 = Texas
10 = Iowa

Entering today's game, ISU has a 8-4 record against projected tournament teams. Still have three more left in the regular season (counting today) plus Kansas City to add to that.
 
I'm expecting the 1 and 2 lines to play out like this

1 Kentucky
1 Virginia
1 Duke
1 Gonzaga

2 Wisconsin
2 Kansas
2 Villanova
2 Utah/Arizona(whoever wins the Pac 12)

We either need to win the Big 12 tournament to move up to a 2 seed or have someone else fall apart. Losing to Kansas State or TCU would end all discussion on the topic however.

https://tnbracketforecast.wordpress.com
Well this guy certainly disagrees with you. lol
 
Lol. How does that guy have a job?

I hope that's a projected S-curve, and not current pulse. It’s a little “out there.”


Utah a 10 seed. San Diego State a 5. N.C. State 4 lines above Ohio State. Ole Miss 4 lines above WSU.


Closer inspection, it isn’t as extreme as I initially thought, but not realistic, once you get past the top 4 seed lines. That’s where it goes off the rails a little.
 
The latest bracket matrix update has us as the top 3 seed. The problem is the 2 seeds are pretty much locks at this point as we are far away from all of them. Really need some of those schools to start losing.

http://www.bracketmatrix.com/

Arizona/Utah and Kansas/ISU are kinda in the same situation. Whoever wins the conference and conference tournament will get a 2 seed. Still plenty of basketball left to play and ISU can still work their way up to a two seed.

Personally I think getting Omaha is more important than the two seed
 
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On the topic of 2 seed possibility:

Suppose ISU wins out, shares title with KU at 14-4 (assuming that additional loss is at OU), Kansas gets 1-seed in conference tournament, defeats the 8/9 winner, then 4/5 (Baylor, OSU, West Virginia) and Iowa State beats 7 Texas, 3 OU and 1 KU for Big 12 tournament championship — it's possible both teams would get a 2 seed. (Also dependent on other movement in D-1, of course).

It's not a 2/3 either-or (KU's computer numbers are high, and Big 12 computer numbers are high).

That's best-case scenario, for this discussion. Not highly likely, but that's the situation.

I agree with everything except if WVU holds off Baylor, we'd be the 1 seed in the Big 12!:smile:
 
Regarding the Palm bracket: Would they actually send Carolina to Omaha? I love the bracket. I love the idea of knocking off UNC two years in a row. That's my only question there.


On the Lunardi one, that's another nice setup. An ISU-Villanova matchup is one I've wanted to see for a couple years now.
 
Would love to hear his reasoning for putting Wisconsin in Omaha and ISU in Louisville, and not the other way around.

Pretty sure that Omaha is technically the closest regional to Madison, so it makes some sense with them and KU being seeded ahead of us. Not that it wouldn't make just as much sense to fudge it a little since Louisville or Columbus wouldn't be that much further for Wisconsin, compared to what it would be for ISU (which I think is the logic Palm is applying to his bracket).
 
Would love to hear his reasoning for putting Wisconsin in Omaha and ISU in Louisville, and not the other way around.

Wisconsin is the higher seed and Madison is ~15 miles closer to Omaha than Louisville, that's the reasoning.

It's just as likely the inverse will happen as well because Louisville is closer to Chicago/Milwaukee.
 

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