For some reason, I doubt that the woes we continue to have with shooting ourselves in the foot will just magically disappear. I think we can "contain" RG3, but our offense hasn't shown we can win in a shootout (which is what it would take). Yes we put up 44 on Iowa, but in regulation that 24 is our highest output of the season (20, 24, 24, 14). I'd guess somewhere around 38-24 in favor of Baylor.
You underestimate the garbocity that is Baylors D. They make UNI look like the '85 bears.