Big 12 FB Media Days

Ugh. Are we back to that being the focus? That’s a downside of the program reset I hadn’t anticipated.
Yeah wtf are we even doing. like why are we talking so much about beating our instate rivals. just grow up already

:jimlad:

I cant tell if this is a serious comment or not
 
Yeah wtf are we even doing. like why are we talking so much about beating our instate rivals. just grow up already

:jimlad:

I cant tell if this is a serious comment or not
I am but let me clarify. I was referring to the fan base and that fact that sentiment was all he shared that he was hearing. For some, causals maybe, this is the number one goal and often by a margin.

It seemed like there had been a positive shift that more fans were buying into the importance and fun playing in the B12 Champ game and bowls against the likes of Clemson, Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, etc.. Some of those years we lost to the hawks, but had very successful seasons. I want to beat the hawks too, but it's not my sole focus and I put a higher preference playing for conference titles and meaningful post-season games. I enjoyed the Campbell years much more than the McCarney years and we had more national relevance which is more critical than ever moving forward. If we win that game...it was an upset, if we lose...we were supposed to. That started to change at the end of the Campbell era. If I had a chance to get in Rogers ear, conference results would be my first emphasis.

I also have the benefit of living out of state, which I get.
 
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I am but let me clarify. I was referring to the fan base and that fact that sentiment was all he shared that he was hearing. For some, causals maybe, this is the number one goal and often by a margin.

I also have the benefit of living out of state, which I get.
Yeah it is a lot easier to deal with when you don't have to live amongst them.
 
I wish their was a better metric than returning starters in this era.. Does someone have a returning proiduction stat?

6 starters from Wazzu are at ISU if my quick gemini search is correct. Add onto that a QB who kept his QB coach, Dom Overby starter the season opener last year.

Also, I for one am REALLY glad the staff went younger and is building for the future over all of this years transfers being seniors
Yep. Bill Connelly's SP+ factors in transfers for returning production and he has different factors based on position, what level a transfer is coming from, and if players are coming with their coaches. By his numbers ISU is 102 out of 138 nationally in returning production. From the P4, only UNC (103), Iowa (104), and Vanderbilt (106) have less returning production.

He specifically noted ISU as a team to regress based on returning production: "Iowa State. ISU underwent quite the roster transfusion after losing coach Matt Campbell to Penn State and replacing him with Washington State's Jimmy Rogers. Among the 55 outgoing transfers were 23 who followed Campbell to State College; meanwhile, among the 47 incoming players were 15 former Wazzu Cougars. I like quite a few of the players Rogers added -- quarterback Jaylen Raynor (Arkansas State) is experienced, slot man Omari Hayes (Tulane) should be immediately reliable and Wazzu defensive end transfers Isaac Terrell and Malaki Ta'ase are major disruptors -- but this amount of turnover will almost always produce poor returning production numbers, especially considering Rogers also brought in 15 players from sub-FBS schools."

 
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Yep. Bill Connelly's SP+ factors in transfers for returning production and he has different factors based on position, what level a transfer is coming from, and if players are coming with their coaches. By his numbers ISU is 102 out of 138 nationally in returning production. From the P4, only UNC (103), Iowa (104), and Vanderbilt (106) have less returning production.

He specifically noted ISU as a team to regress based on returning production: "Iowa State. ISU underwent quite the roster transfusion after losing coach Matt Campbell to Penn State and replacing him with Washington State's Jimmy Rogers. Among the 55 outgoing transfers were 23 who followed Campbell to State College; meanwhile, among the 47 incoming players were 15 former Wazzu Cougars. I like quite a few of the players Rogers added -- quarterback Jaylen Raynor (Arkansas State) is experienced, slot man Omari Hayes (Tulane) should be immediately reliable and Wazzu defensive end transfers Isaac Terrell and Malaki Ta'ase are major disruptors -- but this amount of turnover will almost always produce poor returning production numbers, especially considering Rogers also brought in 15 players from sub-FBS schools."


Yet, the other P4 teams (specifically looking at Vanderbilt) that have less returning production won't regress?

Also, does a players production from a "sub-FCS schools" not qualify for Bill? Doesn't appear so.
 
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Yet, the other P4 teams (specifically looking at Vanderbilt) that have less returning production won't regress?
Connelly does say that article that 2026 is a reset year for both Iowa and Vanderbilt with each having to replace 14 or 15 starters. The main difference is neither of those teams had to replace an entire coaching staff.
 
Connelly does say that article that 2026 is a reset year for both Iowa and Vanderbilt with each having to replace 14 or 15 starters. The main difference is neither of those teams had to replace an entire coaching staff.

Reset doesn't mean regress. According to Bill, Vanderbilt will 'reset' but won't regress from their 10 win season last year. Yet the over/under win total for Vanderbilt is 5.5 this upcoming year (same as ISU).

I get this is Bill's opinion, but seems like he's going out of his way take a dump on the Big 12 (via Iowa State).
 
Well, I hope not entirely. I was just chuckling about it as he was speaking during his interview. Beating Iowa should definitely not be the singular focus for our program (anymore, thankfully). However, for this season with the all unknowns surrounding Rogers' first team, it could be a unifying early season rally cry. The first test, huge chance to quiet the doubters; always great to beat Iowa.
There's never a bad time to beat Iowa and it's an attainable goal. Other than when we play them, I kind of forget about them anymore. Just another mediocre B1G school.
 
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Reset doesn't mean regress. According to Bill, Vanderbilt will 'reset' but won't regress from their 10 win season last year. Yet the over/under win total for Vanderbilt is 5.5 this upcoming year (same as ISU).

I get this is Bill's opinion, but seems like he's going out of his way take a dump on the Big 12 (via Iowa State).
I don't read his commentary that way. His commentary on Iowa and Vandy is in the "Most likely to regress in 2026" section of the article, right beneath his ISU comments. Additionally, his SEC preview has Vandy projected at 6.5 wins.
 
Yep. Bill Connelly's SP+ factors in transfers for returning production and he has different factors based on position, what level a transfer is coming from, and if players are coming with their coaches. By his numbers ISU is 102 out of 138 nationally in returning production. From the P4, only UNC (103), Iowa (104), and Vanderbilt (106) have less returning production.

He specifically noted ISU as a team to regress based on returning production: "Iowa State. ISU underwent quite the roster transfusion after losing coach Matt Campbell to Penn State and replacing him with Washington State's Jimmy Rogers. Among the 55 outgoing transfers were 23 who followed Campbell to State College; meanwhile, among the 47 incoming players were 15 former Wazzu Cougars. I like quite a few of the players Rogers added -- quarterback Jaylen Raynor (Arkansas State) is experienced, slot man Omari Hayes (Tulane) should be immediately reliable and Wazzu defensive end transfers Isaac Terrell and Malaki Ta'ase are major disruptors -- but this amount of turnover will almost always produce poor returning production numbers, especially considering Rogers also brought in 15 players from sub-FBS schools."

Any time there's a coaching change, one would expect some retrenchment and consolidation. Add in the roster turnover, and I think most of us aren't expecting Onward and Upward from the CMC years. Optimistically we can start to establish an identity, develop some players, and play well.
 
I don't read his commentary that way. His commentary on Iowa and Vandy is in the "Most likely to regress in 2026" section of the article, right beneath his ISU comments. Additionally, his SEC preview has Vandy projected at 6.5 wins.

The SEC is overrated and Vandy has a pretty good head coach. I could see them being good again.
 
I am but let me clarify. I was referring to the fan base and that fact that sentiment was all he shared that he was hearing. For some, causals maybe, this is the number one goal and often by a margin.

It seemed like there had been a positive shift that more fans were buying into the importance and fun playing in the B12 Champ game and bowls against the likes of Clemson, Miami, Oregon, Notre Dame, etc.. Some of those years we lost to the hawks, but had very successful seasons. I want to beat the hawks too, but it's not my sole focus and I put a higher preference playing for conference titles and meaningful post-season games. I enjoyed the Campbell years much more than the McCarney years and we had more national relevance which is more critical than ever moving forward. If we win that game...it was an upset, if we lose...we were supposed to. That started to change at the end of the Campbell era. If I had a chance to get in Rogers ear, conference results would be my first emphasis.

I also have the benefit of living out of state, which I get.
Remember the timing of Roger's hire and first week on the job:
  1. Hired -Dec 5 (Fri)
  2. Hawk WBB- Dec 10
  3. Hawk MBB- Dec 11 (Thu)
Plus wrestling beat the Hawks the Sunday before Rogers was hired. So obviously Cyclone fans were all-in about "Beat the Hawks"! So that was his first exposure to the rivalry- a firehose.

But he seems like an intense guy and the next game is a rivalry game!
 
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