JJeff Injury Updates

[t-noah]

Either way I can't see a world where he's anywhere near 100% regardless of that two extra days rest. Tweaking it is guaranteed. I've had multiple severe ankle sprains. They hurt for a year.

True that. Ankle sprains are no fun. Jefferson's looked pretty serious.

Many people minimize the significance of ankle sprains, I think because BB players have had them and get them frequently, often coming back to play after just a few days.

Of course, there are many factors involved regarding prognosis for return, including severity (grade) of sprain, past sprains, etc. I think the first severe sprain is often the hardest to deal with due to the pain and swelling. Perhaps, guessing, muliple sprains are sometimes easier to recover from, get back to 'passable' function.

 

[dosry5]

Disagree. You never know if there’s going to be a later on so live in the moment.

Just like bowl games?

 

[Spanky]

In Highland school, I had a severe low ankle sprain. Trip to ER and crutches. Missed the game that night. No therapy but ice and ibuprofen and I was at practice Monday with a brace and tape wrapped. Just depends how severe.

...

 

[iseedit]

He's good for 4 fouls in two minutes.

But in those 2 minutes he'll have 5 rebounds....

 

[GP4ISU]

We absolutely had this Heise and Toure for Arizona in KC and we still lost. It was our absolute A+ game as well as Arizona's absolute A+ game. It could have gone either way, which means our top game is just as good as anyone in the country.

And before you say Heise could have been more aggressive against Arizona, what would that have replaced?

Justin Jefferson was 60% on two point shots against Arizona. In St. Louis, Heise is shooting 66% on two point shots. Not a lot of different and I'd wager a lot of money that Heise driving to the bucket against Arizona would have been FAR less effective than it was against Tennessee State and Kentucky.

Heise is 5-9 from 3 in St. Louis. Jefferson was 3-7 against Arizona. Heise has been better, but against Kentucky, Heise was 1-4. There is no clear evidence indicating that Heise should have shot more 3's against Arizona.

Heise only played 23 minutes against Arizona. Maybe he should have played 36 like he did against Kentucky. Who's minutes to you reduce? Jefferson who ahd 21 points on over 50% shooting? Milan wo had 28 points? Toure who played exceptionally? Lipsey who only scored 8 points, sot terribly, but had 7 assists and 3 steals? No, absolutely not.

Justin Jefferson plays for the Vikings.

 

[isufbcurt]

Just like bowl games?

Yes!

 

[Xerxes_]

I honestly think we’re still going to the final 4.

TN doesn’t scare me. UK beat them both times. They’re not a great O team.

Neither TN or Mich have faced a D like ours. MI apparently relies heavily on one guard to handle most of their dribbling. We can disrupt that.

I think Hyzee will give even AZ more fits than JJ did. That will be the dog fight.

I think Houston has the other side. Duke looks very beatable and I think Mi St / Ucon winner takes that bracket, but Houston can beat either of them baring major injury or an off nite/hot opponent.

It’s gonna be a B12 final. Houston vs ISU or Az

Michigan played Duke. Duke is #1 in defensive efficiency

 

[Cyhig]

Michigan played Duke. Duke is #1 in defensive efficiency

True. But ISU also plays a very different defensive style than Duke

 

[beentherebefore]

Doesn't it seem as though the MRI results are taking way longer than one would expect, or did I just

 

[Tailg8er]

Doesn't it seem as though the MRI results are taking way longer than one would expect, or did I just

I didn't really expect them to tell the public the results. Keep it all a mystery & make the opposition prepare for both possibilities.

 

[drmwevr08]

He's good for 4 fouls in two minutes.

Hockey goon style. Put em in there to beat em up until they foul out.

 

[Cyclonepride]

Doesn't it seem as though the MRI results are taking way longer than one would expect, or did I just

I read somewhere that they wouldn't comment on it until the team is in Chicago. Keeping it a mystery for as long as possible is to our advantage.

 

[iowastatefan1929]

CW on the CW and Blum podcast claims he knows nothing, and no one knows anything, I dont believe that, someone knows something and of course they are gonna keep Tennessee guessing.

But in the spirit of Bilbo Baggins, here is a riddle that has the answer you seek:
It has no roots, yet towers high,
It has no wings, yet fills the sky.
A bird may pierce it, a mountain reach,
But it holds no tongue and has no speech.
If you seek the truth of a thing not known,
Where the seed of doubt is freshly sown,
Look not to the earth or the heavy prayer—
For the answer, my friend, is...

 

[KennyPratt42]

But in those 2 minutes he'll have 5 rebounds....

If my math is correct he is averaging 16.3 rebounds per 40 minutes and 8.4 fouls per 40 minutes. On 76 minutes played so a super small sample size. Feels like he is going to see some action against Tennessee to both keep Buchanan and Pleta out of foul trouble and to fight on the boards.

 

[Kinch]

We are real fortunate that we play the last game on Friday night. JJ needs all the time to heal he can get.

 

[Klubber]

FWIW: I was really encouraged by Toure's aggressive takes to the rack recenlty. That spin move in the lane in the second half vs UK was a work of art! While he hit some nice threes, his driving offensive game will be more sustainable and have higher probability of success, so I'm hoping TJ and staff are scheming new ways to get Toure running down hill.

I'm super impressed by Toure's overall performance this post season (especially as a freshman). He came in really struggling on offense. And under the brightest lights so far this season, he's found his mojo again and is shooting like he did earlier this season. And he's staying out of foul trouble as well. Hopefully Batemon can get it going Fri as well.

 

[Clone5]

As others have said we could really use Jefferson in this game with Tennessee's front court but I see no way that is going to happen.
Either way, we shouldn't expect to hear anything from the program about his status as they will want to keep Tennessee in the dark for as long as possible.

 

[David Freshman1982]

I still say you tackle this weekend w/o JJ and see if our guys and our system w/o him can get us to the Final 4. Then, with an added week, maybe JJ can help us win a natty.

 

[cowgirl836]

I have no insider information or medical training, but here are my thoughts.

• If the MRI results were good news, that likely means the risk of him making it worse are minimal. If there was a high risk of him making it worse (like a partial tear to a complete tear), then I don't think the MRI results would be good news.
• If there is a high risk of playing making it worse, then I'd bet that Jefferson is done for the whole tournament.
• If the risk of making it worse is minimal, then I believe pain management is the ONLY thing that will keep him off the court completely.
• If Jefferson suits up, then he will start and he will play. There will NOT be a situation where he suits up but only plays if we need him. That'd be asinine. Dropping him into the middle of a game when Iowa State is struggling is NOT going to help Iowa State win.
• If he can tolerate the pain and suit up, then he will start. If his mobility impacts his effectiveness (lateral quickness, can't drive and finish, can't hit a shot), then his playing time will be reduced. Maybe he only gets a couple spurts in the 1st half and 1 last spurt to start the 2nd half.
• If he plays well, then his minutes will be close to normal.

Game predictions

1. If Tennessee protects the ball and dominates the offensive boards and Iowa State shoots normally or worse, Iowa State loses.
2. If Tennessee protects the ball, dominates the offensive boards and Iowa State shoots out of their mind, Iowa State wins..
3. If Tennessee turns over the ball a lot and dominates the offensive boards and Iowa State shoots normally or better, Iowa State wins
4. If Tennessee turns the ball over a lot, dominates the offensive boards and Iowa State is ice cold (30% overall), Iowa State loses.
5. If Tennessee turns the ball over a lot, Iowa State minimizes 2nd chance points and Tennessee shoots a normal percentage, then Iowa State wins in a blowout.

If Jefferson does not play or is ineffective, the Probability of those 5 outcomes would be 35, 5, 45, 5, 10.
If Jefferson plays, then the probabilities are 25, 5, 35, 5, 30

Roughly that equates to a 60% chance of winning without Jefferson and and 70% chance of winning with a near normal Jefferson.

#hedidthemath

 

[Nor'MidWester]

Instagram fed me this and had almost had a heart attack.... but it's just an paid sponsorship. Didn't realize they were getting sponsored by CVS, Raising Canes, etc. good for them.