Spot on.A couple stat things about Purdue:
They tend to play a slower pace than we have this year. They don't get out and run - even the game at Alabama was only 69 possessions, and Alabama plays at a crazy pace. With a PG like Smith, it'll probably be hard to get them uncomfortable, but if we can get them "sped up" it would definitely be to our advantage.
They don't force many turnovers and don't turn the ball over much.
They also don't get to the FT line much, but keep the other team off the line.
Both things work to our advantage, I think. It's probably not a game where we force 18 turnovers, but if we can get them into double digits it'd be good. And of course we need to limit the unforced turnovers.
Defending Smith in the pick and roll is always the key. I've very curious to see what we try. I think the inclination with our defense would be to try to ice the screen, or hedge really hard with the big - but that tends to get us into scramble situations where we are vulnerable to the corner or weak side 3.
Their bigs (Renn, Cluff and Jacobsen) don't shoot the 3, so that seems like you can play more drop coverage on the pick, and try to trap Smith in the lane.
So much of this game is going to come down to the Milan / Loyer matchup - and I think they will be defending each other. They are similar players too, and the stats are amazingly similar this year. Loyer has gotten to the line a bit more, but Milan has the height advantage and the mid-range/fade away. Lipsey/Smith and Renn/Jefferson are the bigger headline matchups, but Milan/Loyer is the one I'll be watching.
The Milan - Loyer matchup has the most bang for the buck as threes certainly cause high variance in outcomes.
You brought up the slower pace and that is true, it shows their efficiency as they have a top offensive rating.
The Alabama game, they combined to shoot 64 threes.
That is SIXTY-FOUR.
43 for Bama and 21 for Purdue.
It really is the most important stat. That and not allowing them offensive rebounds.
With our doubles and switches, Purdue is an excellent passing team with a Ton of experienced talent. They will get open looks.
Houston slowed the game down with them in the NCAA last year. (Yes I know two different teams) and Houston won 62-60.
I do see us trying to play more aggressive on both sides of the ball because of you try to play them straight up at Mackey Arena, it probably doesn’t end well.
