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IDK, I want to believe but we've been kicked in the junk so many times its hard to be confident that ISU wins with a blowout. I think it will go down to wire. I am expecting a ISU win, but by a slim margin of 3-10 pts.

Edit: I hope I'm wrong :p
 
If we tackle ok and don't turn it over. I think it's a borderline comfortable win. However, I'm extremely nervous that we struggle against teams who run well and set up play action. Example: K-state, Iowa, and Baylor last year.

Yup, you just made my stomach a little uneasy with that thought...
 
Overall Record & Sagarin 2019 Rank

Louisiana (11-3) Rank 43

Loss x 2 App State (13-1) Rank 25
Loss Miss State* (6-7) Rank 47
Win @ Ohio (7-6) Rank 82


OK, Don't get over confident but don't be overly pessimistic either. Their best win was against the #82 team.
Plus if the field is a little sloppy that probably is advantage to ISU (slows down their offense and our better defense contains them more). ISU covers 35-17
 
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The bet I placed was for UL +11.5 but I think Iowa State wins by 14 or 17.

I think our defense performs well.
 
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game will likely be determined by who can control the ball on offense. generally helps when you can run the ball effectively. Our OL is suspect which doesn't give me a ton of confidence. I'm hoping we have gotten to a point as a program where we can come out with a hard hat mentally and grind out a comfortable week 1 win.

31-20 Clones
 
We were #26 in the SP+ rankings last year.

They were #28 -- not far behind us. They were ahead of OSU, KSU, TCU, TTU, WVU, and KU in the Big 12. I seem to remember us losing a few (close) games to a couple of those.

This is not a team we can screw around with.

They were one of the 5ish best G5 teams last year.

This one makes me really wary. This is a baby rattlesnake -- do not **** with it.

Looking at this game as an outsider, particularly with us breaking in a new offense line, should scream "upset alert."
Biology question: are baby rattlesnakes more dangerous than adult ones?
 
I've seen too many ISU teams come out and lay an egg for opening games to feel at all confident about this one. I hope that an experienced QB helps that, but I'm expecting a game into the 4th quarter.
I don't even think it will require laying an egg for it to be close in the fourth. The only way we win comfortably is if we play very well.
 
Biology question: are baby rattlesnakes more dangerous than adult ones?

Yes.

The adults have learned that discretion is the better part of valor, to make noise, and, even when they bite, tend to withhold injecting much (or any) venom -- any large animal would kill them before it would take effect anyways, so they try to save it for when hunting something more appropriately-sized to be a prey item.

Baby rattlesnakes are like puppies. Easy to startle (and therefore eager to strike) and ready to give you all the death.

That is why the idiom exists... the babies look less threatening, but they are actually much more dangerous. Louisiana might be a G5 team, but they will probably be tougher than many of our B12 foes.
 
Biology question: are baby rattlesnakes more dangerous than adult ones?

My understanding is yes, baby rattlesnakes are more dangerous. This is due to their inexperience and tend to be overly aggressive, using a good offense as defense. They also don't know how to control their venom output like an adult, so you get a full dose every time when an adult can use just enough to be effective. Baby rattlesnakes are basically trained by Cobra Kai: strike first, strike hard, no mercy.
 
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Yes.

The adults have learned that discretion is the better part of valor, to make noise, and, even when they bite, tend to withhold injecting much (or any) venom -- any large animal would kill them before it would take effect anyways, so they try to save it for when hunting something more appropriately-sized to be a prey item.

Baby rattlesnakes are like puppies. Easy to startle (and therefore eager to strike) and ready to give you all the death.

That is why the idiom exists... the babies look less threatening, but they are actually much more dangerous. Louisiana might be a G5 team, but they will probably be tougher than many of our B12 foes.



Hmmm. Who knew? Always glad for your contributions.
 
My understanding is yes, baby rattlesnakes are more dangerous. This is due to their inexperience and tend to be overly aggressive, using a good offense as defense. They also don't know how to control their venom output like an adult, so you get a full dose every time when an adult can use just enough to be effective. Baby rattlesnakes are basically trained by Cobra Kai: strike first, strike hard, no mercy.
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I expected about 50/50, maybe a touch more to them, and a lot of close game calls. Not like 75% them and many by more than 1 TD.

They're probably a small but completely fanatic fanbase. Casual fan is going to be LSU or Saints in that area.
 

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