SE Missouri St line?

[Cyinthenorth]

No doubt when the line comes out, I'll be putting money on SEMO to cover. Until ISU actually comes out the first game not looking like it's the first time they've put on pads, the game is going to be closer than we'd like.

I won't probably bet on the game, might take a look at playing the under though, based on how slow out of the gate we come out. Don't think SEMO scores much either. I predicted 38-21 in another thread earlier, but after doing a little more homework on SEMO, think it will be more like 42-10 type of game. A halftime score of something like ISU up 17-3 is what I'm thinking. If first half line is available somewhere, I'd like to at least take a sniff on SEMO depending what the number is.

 

[Cyinthenorth]

Yeah, if ISU get up by 20 Campbell will be pulling everyone, especially if the defense is crushing SEMO.

This will happen I think. The offense won't come out firing on all cylinders, but SEMO will be fortunate if they are able to naturally move the ball into ISU territory until the 4th quarter. Something wild could happen though. Turnovers, botched special teams play etc. will be SEMO's only chance to get points on the scoreboard.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

This screams 42-3, 45-3, 48-7 type of game, even with out opener struggles. This will arguably be the worst team we have played in the Campbell era.

This will be a lot like the Western Illinois game back in 2012 and that was a 6-6 CPR team. SEMO is going to have a hell of a time moving the football.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

I won't probably bet on the game, might take a look at playing the under though, based on how slow out of the gate we come out. Don't think SEMO scores much either. I predicted 38-21 in another thread earlier, but after doing a little more homework on SEMO, think it will be more like 42-10 type of game. A halftime score of something like ISU up 17-3 is what I'm thinking. If first half line is available somewhere, I'd like to at least take a sniff on SEMO depending what the number is.

Glad to see you are finally coming around

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Fuckme, isn't this horse dead yet. Please stop beating it.

The whole terrible in September/slow starts gets WAY overstated. Starting this season off with UNI has been a friggin problem for YEARS! Follow that up with a game against another really tough opponent every year and yeah things aren't always perfect right away. There's a reason Iowa has all but quit scheduling UNI....

 

[Frak]

I won't probably bet on the game, might take a look at playing the under though, based on how slow out of the gate we come out. Don't think SEMO scores much either. I predicted 38-21 in another thread earlier, but after doing a little more homework on SEMO, think it will be more like 42-10 type of game. A halftime score of something like ISU up 17-3 is what I'm thinking. If first half line is available somewhere, I'd like to at least take a sniff on SEMO depending what the number is.

I'm usually wrong on the first game, but I feel like it's going to be something like 17-10 at half and ISU ends up winning something like 31-13.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

I'm usually wrong on the first game, but I feel like it's going to be something like 17-10 at half and ISU ends up winning something like 31-13.

We will score more than 31. Even without trying to run it up we are going to score...

 

[Cyinthenorth]

We will score more than 31. Even without trying to run it up we are going to score...

From what I've gathered, their QB play is going to be wildly erratic at best. There is a very strong chance our defense scores multiple times, which will probably break this one open. Hopefully they do it earlier in the game as opposed to later. I really don't even want a competitive half of football. Just want to see the clones roll!

 

[JohnnyFive]

The spread could be -85 and I still wont be able to sleep Friday night. ISU openers are more terrifying to me than any horror movie Ive seen in the last 20 years.

 

[KidSilverhair]

In Iowa State‘s last ten openers they’ve scored:

16
14
29
3 (although the actual opener was canceled by weather after kickoff)
42 (they actually put up 41+ their first three games that season)
20
31
14
20
38

So the potential is there for a 35+ point performance, although it’s only happened twice in 10 years. On the other hand, with that Western Illinois comparison somebody made, the Cyclones only scored 37 on the Leathernecks.

While scoring 35 is in the realm of possibility, winning by 35 is much less likely.

 

[cyclones500]

In Iowa State‘s last ten openers they’ve scored:

16
14
29
3 (although the actual opener was canceled by weather after kickoff)
42 (they actually put up 41+ their first three games that season)
20
31
14
20
38

So the potential is there for a 35+ point performance, although it’s only happened twice in 10 years. On the other hand, with that Western Illinois comparison somebody made, the Cyclones only scored 37 on the Leathernecks.

While scoring 35 is in the realm of possibility, winning by 35 is much less likely.

Margin of victory in past 10 openers that ISU won … NOT factoring losses, so this goes back further than your list … 2007(!):

UNI 6
UNI 3
UNI 18
UNI 24
Tulsa 15
UNI 1
Northern Illinois 17
North Dakota St. 17
South Dakota St. 27
Toledo 2

Avg: 13.0

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

In Iowa State‘s last ten openers they’ve scored:

16
14
29
3 (although the actual opener was canceled by weather after kickoff)
42 (they actually put up 41+ their first three games that season)
20
31
14
20
38

So the potential is there for a 35+ point performance, although it’s only happened twice in 10 years. On the other hand, with that Western Illinois comparison somebody made, the Cyclones only scored 37 on the Leathernecks.

While scoring 35 is in the realm of possibility, winning by 35 is much less likely.

That was me and that Iowa State offense was NOT good...

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Margin of victory in past 10 openers that ISU won … NOT factoring losses, so this goes back further than your list … 2007(!):

UNI 6
UNI 3
UNI 18
UNI 24
Tulsa 15
UNI 1
Northern Illinois 17
North Dakota St. 17
South Dakota St. 27
Toledo 2

Avg: 13.0

Anything Pre CMC is not relevant in the discussion though...

 

[ianoconnor]

Why are the Iowa and ISU lines not on DK?

 

[1UNI2ISU]

That Western Illinois team was better than this SEMO team.

If the Valley is the SEC of the FCS, the OVC is the new CUSA.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Why are the Iowa and ISU lines not on DK?

I suspect that since they are both FCS opponents they will wait until closer to Saturday. In general most casinos/books don't like a lot of action on those games.

 

[cyclones500]

Anything Pre CMC is not relevant in the discussion though...

Probably not, and it's opponent-dependent anyway, but was curious about average margin so I checked.

 

[ClonesFTW]

Why are the Iowa and ISU lines not on DK?

FCS usually comes out Saturday mornings, some books will release Friday.

 

[BillBrasky4Cy]

Probably not, and it's opponent-dependent anyway, but was curious about average margin so I checked.

As long as I can remember, UNI is almost never a comfortable game. They always find a way to keep it close and like I said earlier, there's a reason Iowa almost never plays them anymore.... The juice isn't worth the squeeze. I personally wish we scrapped them, if you are going to schedule a FCS opponent you want it to be a SEMO type.

 

[rochclone]

Iowa State -35.5