Chuck Neinas said on 365 Sports (great site focusing on Big 12) that for expansion, the college must want to move. I know that is obvious. But right now, all the Pac teams would rather be in the Pac. Kliavkoff said he is getting numerous emails/texts forwarded to him. They wouldn't forward on if they were considering moving to the Big 12.
The revenue difference would have to substantial. Even if the Big 12 gets $40 million tv compared to $20 million for the Pac, I don't think they move. You have to consider travel, attendance, donations, etc.
Take Washington. Say their travel is $2 million more per year in the Big 12 for all sports. Say attendance falls 4,000 per football game playing teams with no history. Assume $175 revenue a person per game revenue x 7 games = $4.9 million per year just in football. Washington received $684 million donations in 2019. Assume just a 1% decrease and that is $6.8 million. The 1% decrease is being generous too. Just these 3 areas nets $13.7 million. So the total revenue difference gets a lot closer.
This feels like 2010. Remember when we were rumored to go to the Big East if Texas and others left? I was not excited. Far away, junior league perception, no history, and it would be a forced move. Sounds like the Pac perspective from their forums and team writers.
Only way we get any Pac teams is if the Big 10 raids 2 others.
It is not like going from the big 12 to big east in 2011.
As your notion that they’d pass on $40 million in favor of $20 million exemplifies, this is nothing but wounded pride and emotion. The Big 12 isn’t a junior league to the PAC, it’s a peer in revenue and has long been its superior in performance.
If the PAC is sticking together for less revenue and considering adding Cal St G5, Boise, 3rd most popular small religious school in Texas…it is just butthurt