***Official 2024 Weather Thread***
- Thread starter wxman1
- Start date
Not going to be great.
I've gotten a couple notices that insurance companies are staging catastrophe teams just outside the warned area so that they can respond first thing in the morning. I don't recall that happening in the 13+ years I've been doing this.
The probability of hail greater than 1" is 45%! Those people are about to go through hell.
Shaping up to be a really eventful and dangerous year. They're also forecasting a record 33 named tropical storms with 16 being hurricanes (5-6 Cat 4 or 5) due to record high ocean temps everywhere in the Atlantic, Gulf, etc.
Last year when eastern Iowa had one they got pummeled, it looks like south of Iowa City there was an EF3-4.
Tornado outbreak of March 31 – April 1, 2023 - Wikipedia
That was the only one we've had since 2021 (before today).Last year when eastern Iowa had one they got pummeled, it looks like south of Iowa City there was an EF3-4.
Tornado outbreak of March 31 – April 1, 2023 - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
From that wikipedia page, here is the SPC Day 1 outlook overlaid with the actual tornado warnings and data. They nailed that forecast.
In the latest sounding coming from Norman, looks like the cap has eroded.
They way they're firing off the dry line, rapidly growing, and getting "sheared" (clearly i am not a wx major) instantly is textbook material.
T-Storm boxes are lining up just west of Lincoln Nebraska. Hope it will fall apart before it gets here?
The Iowa/Nebraska border is usually my point of reference. Anything that starts to build near Lincoln or Omaha is likely to peak halfway down I-80 before breaking apart in Des Moines.
It’s when the storms start popping up east of Atlantic that I begin to worry.
Dangit now I'm hungry for tacosTornado watch until 3 AM.
