*** @ Cincinnati Pregame Thread ***

[bosco]

The line movement has been crazy on this game.
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DK at 1.5 -105, I think this might get up to 2.5. Gulp.

 

[Statefan10]

The assumption also is that teams play better at home than on the road. We sucked in our only road game and Cincinnati has played pretty well on the road in two pretty hostile environments.

Fair, and who knows how we’ll do until we actually play Saturday but I like our odds with this team and Rocco leading the way.

Overall Road Record: 9-2
Conference Road Record: 7-1

 

[madguy30]

Has this become some strange coping mechanism for you? I feel like every week you're talking about betting line movement or some vegas sharp who's against Iowa State and panicking about it.

Last year's rush defense means nothing in regards to this year. You can also say Rocco is the nightmare matchup for Cincy as they've been torched by worse QBs this year.

Listen: Iowa State won AT Oklahoma in 2017 so it's pretty clear this current team will play well in another state that starts with 'O' almost a decade later.

 

[Cyrocks]

Iowa State 42, Cincinnati 24

 

[MartyFine]

 

[Aclone]

I find that I am quite appreciating the three game pods with a bye separation the rest of the year.

And yes, I’m counting the CCG as the third of the last set.

 

[Aclone]

Both were road games and Cincy is a better team, we looked great Saturday after looking like we were going through the motions for most of the game two weeks before. The bye week paid off, but it means nothing if we cannot win the next two games, both on the road.

The forecast high for Saturday in Cincy is 79 degrees. Just a bit different from what Jonesboro was.

 

[CY9008]

 

[Aclone]

Just to point out…

This game is the opening of Rocctober.

(Right thread this time)

 

[drmwevr08]

Regarding the lines, remember that Vegas doesn't care about predicting the game result. They care about balancing the betting.

 

[ISU_Guy]

The only thing that concerns me is injuries. Kicking game is probably going to rear its head soon and do we even have any dbacks left?

Because of this I think cincy moves the ball all over us.

 

[FeedBreece]

Same thing happened for Arizona. Sharps are wrong a lot.

I don’t get why people get so worked up over the ML.

 

[bosco]

Regarding the lines, remember that Vegas doesn't care about predicting the game result. They care about balancing the betting.

In part that is true but the people betting it, the ones that move the line don't like to lose money.

 

[TrulyCyclone]

In part that is true but the people betting it, the ones that move the line don't like to lose money.

Wouldn't it be crazy if we had some other game as a reference, that saw the line move against us? Maybe real recently, even. Like a week ago. I'm sure no one lost money then, these guys know what they are doing!

 

[StPaulCyclone]

You have to take it one game at a time, and each game is a test. We were lucky to get out of the Arkansas game with a victory, and will need to keep improving to keep that going. Without a doubt is was a trap game, but you cannot just forget it and what almost happened, you have to use it as a caution to keep improving and working towards your goal.

Okay but look at the participation reports, we played guys in the 2 and 3 deeps due to heat. It won’t be an issue at Cincy. My bigger concern is injuries, not the Ark State game.

 

[IASTATE07]

The assumption also is that teams play better at home than on the road. We sucked in our only road game and Cincinnati has played pretty well on the road in two pretty hostile environments.

I get calling Nebraska an away game, but it was played in KC. I wouldn't describe Cincinnati as having played well in that game though.

 

[Statefan10]

In part that is true but the people betting it, the ones that move the line don't like to lose money.

I don’t like losing money either and I suck at betting lol. This line has to do with Cincinnati just beating KU, Iowa State not being believed as legitimate, and it being played in Cincy.

And that’s all fine. There isn’t some “inside knowledge” or anything. It’s just opinions of sports fans and bettors seeing a juicy matchup ripe for an upset. So let’s spoil it for them.

 

[RagingCloner]

I don’t like losing money either and I suck at betting lol. This line has to do with Cincinnati just beating KU, Iowa State not being believed as legitimate, and it being played in Cincy.

And that’s all fine. There isn’t some “inside knowledge” or anything. It’s just opinions of sports fans and bettors seeing a juicy matchup ripe for an upset. So let’s spoil it for them.

Watch how much it will move once Orange and Williams arent on the injury report this week.

Also, browsing the UC boards, they arent counting on Corleone to be back, and Royer, their stud TE might be out again as well

 

[drmwevr08]

In part that is true but the people betting it, the ones that move the line don't like to lose money.

Nobody like to lose, but you have to be able to determine if its the masses moving a line, or smart money.

 

[RagingCloner]

Nobody like to lose, but you have to be able to determine if its the masses moving a line, or smart money.

at this point, hard to believe its smart money yet