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Bracketology 2024

jctisu said:
We won’t be a four. That guy is a moron for suggesting that. A win or loss (particularly one that isn’t a bad loss) isn’t that volatile. These guys never learn that this late in the season.
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It's really quite insane. With the NET update tomorrow I'm guessing that will be a Q1 loss. 24-7 7-6 Q1 5-1 Q2 is nowhere near 4 seed material. Need VA Tech to improve just a few spots and we will have all Q1 losses
 
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ca4cy said:
I don't follow the metrics so honest question...does KU getting beat by 20 plus by Houston give them a realistic shot of jumping us?
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I don’t see a reasonable argument for putting KU ahead of ISU. ISU beat KU in their only game and finished three games ahead of them in the conference. I also believe ISU has a better record on Q1 games.
 
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Jayshellberg said:
I would rather have Marquette in Omaha with Iowa State than Kansas. However, the committee’s lovefest with KU makes me think it will be them.

Lot of moving part’s so it’s difficult to say which two high seed teams will play in Omaha. However, I am confident that ISU has earned the right to be one of the two.
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I still think we’re the top seed in Omaha right now, given KU is getting waxed in Houston. And I don’t think Creighton has surpassed Marquette yet.

As for dropping to a 4, that would be a fall of 4-5 spots on the S-curve, which is pretty steep with only the conference tournies left. It would probably require Kentucky winning out through the SEC tourney (assuming they hold on at Tennessee) and Kansas winning the Big 12 tourney, with us losing in the first round. I think we’re solidly locked in at a 3 personally
 
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jdoggivjc said:
it's proof that not all private Bracketologists are better than Lunardi and Palm, neither of whom will react that harshly towards today's L.
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Correct. It was a road loss against a decent team. We were hovering on the 2/3 line already, so at worst we will be a 3 imo even if we lose the first game in KC.
 
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SolterraCyclone said:
I still think we’re the top seed in Omaha right now, given KU is getting waxed in Houston. And I don’t think Creighton has surpassed Marquette yet.

As for dropping to a 4, that would be a fall of 4-5 spots on the S-curve, which is pretty steep with only the conference tournies left. It would probably require Kentucky winning out through the SEC tourney (assuming they hold on at Tennessee) and Kansas winning the Big 12 tourney, with us losing in the first round. I think we’re solidly locked in at a 3 personally
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Creighton isn’t eligible to play in Omaha because they are the host.
 
jctisu said:
We won’t be a four. That guy is a moron for suggesting that. A win or loss (particularly one that isn’t a bad loss) isn’t that volatile. These guys never learn that this late in the season.
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I'd still worry a bit based on that early seed reveal that made it seem like the committee was way overrating NCSOS and had us lower than most bracketologists. If the committee would have had us as a low 3 instead of a low 2/high 3 (like most bracketologists had us) coming into today, a drop to a high 4 wouldnt be huge volatility on the committee's part.
 
alarson said:
I'd still worry a bit based on that early seed reveal that made it seem like the committee was way overrating NCSOS and had us lower than most bracketologists. If the committee would have had us as a low 3 instead of a low 2/high 3 (like most bracketologists had us) coming into today, a drop to a high 4 wouldnt be huge volatility on the committee's part.
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Of course. Anything can happen, as none of us nor these Bracketology experts are on the committee. There are always a handful of strange seedlings in the tourney.
 
jctisu said:
Of course. Anything can happen, as none of us nor these Bracketology experts are on the committee. There are always a handful of strange seedlings in the tourney.
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Its funny to think about sometimes. Honestly while the bracketologists don't always get it right, a collection of them applying the committee's stated principles would probably apply them better than the actual committee does.
 
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jctisu said:
Of course. Anything can happen, as none of us nor these Bracketology experts are on the committee. There are always a handful of strange seedlings in the tourney.
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It is always hilarious the 2 or 3 teams a year where the bracketologists are like "how the hell did they come up with that seed" just hope ISU isn't one of them but I'm pretty confident we won't be
 
Cyforce said:
Opinions are like ass holes. But not sure why you think we shouldn't look at trying to earn the easiest path.
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Not sure what you are talking about. It's not about path, it's about the reality of scoring enough to beat really good teams on a neutral floor.
 
Does Drake have any chance of making it without wining the MVC tourney? as in if they win today and lost the Ship? 27-7 record.
 
jdoggivjc said:
You know, despite losing, we're having a lot of favors done for us today: KU destroyed; BU in the process of being destroyed; Duke being annihilated, Tennessee lost.
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Not so sure Baylor losing is good for us. Or Marquette (they ended up winning though)

Good that Kansas got pasted and hopefully UNC closes out Duke
 
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