Bracket Predictions 2025-26

C'mon ISU a 2 and Huskers a 3 is must see TV

If the committee can make it happen they will try
It's more likely that majority of the committee has either forgotten who Hoiberg is, or forgotten he previously coached at Iowa St. Or they just don't know who the coach of Nebraska is at all.
 
Totally possible we've slid down to a 3-seed, but any bracket that has ISU as a 4 should be looked at side-eyed in my opinion. The committee had us as the final 1-seed 9 days ago. To go from 4 to 13 with two "quality" losses when a lot of teams behind us keep losing as well would surprise me.

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Oh wow. You think it’s possible we’ve slid to a 3? In my uneducated opinion that’s a stretch.

I think 1 is out the window now, but given the group fighting for the last 1 seed and 2-seeds: UConn, ISU, Houston, Illinois, Purdue, Florida, Nebraska, and Kansas only UConn and Florida are lighting it up right now.

Michigan State has risen up to a 2 I think, but that’s a big leap for them to pass us after the first bracket reveal. If they did pass us (however unlikely), at worst I’d have us slid to 7th on the S-curve which is still safely a 2 seed. To me, the only thing that could bump us to a 3 is a loss at home to ASU.
 
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We have to win 3 games between now and selection Sunday to stay on the 2 line. Most likely will be home Saturday and two wins in KC.

Our combined Q1-Q2 record was 4th in the country with 6 Q1 wins last weekend... Now we are 10th and will likely finish the season .500 in Q1. Also keep in mind our best win of the year at Purdue is no longer impressive and our road performances are HORRIFIC!

Unless we can force live ball turnovers that lead to runouts, this team has a Sweet 16 ceiling
I don’t think so at all. We have to beat ASU at home, that should lock up a 2 imo.
 
It's more likely that majority of the committee has either forgotten who Hoiberg is, or forgotten he previously coached at Iowa St. Or they just don't know who the coach of Nebraska is at all.
Nah networks would be aware and don't think they don't want extra stories. They paid a lot for these games
 
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Well…a drop in the polls to an 11 or 12 spot would result in the some influence. Thats where they likely will be today.
Are you ok? We were #4 last week and lost at home to a good team. And you think we're gonna drop out of the top ten?

As a reminder...other teams play basketball every week.

#5 Houston: LOST

#8 Purdue: LOST TWICE

#9 Gonzaga: LOST

#10 Illinois: LOST

#11 Virginia: LOST

Tell me how Iowa State drops from #4 with a loss to a top 16 team to out of the top ten.
 


 
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We have to win 3 games between now and selection Sunday to stay on the 2 line. Most likely will be home Saturday and two wins in KC.

Our combined Q1-Q2 record was 4th in the country with 6 Q1 wins last weekend... Now we are 10th and will likely finish the season .500 in Q1. Also keep in mind our best win of the year at Purdue is no longer impressive and our road performances are HORRIFIC!

Unless we can force live ball turnovers that lead to runouts, this team has a Sweet 16 ceiling

I think the committee is also going to cut the Big 12 some slack with how Yormark back loaded the schedule for the top teams.
 
On the Matrix, 1 still had ISU as a 1-seed, 12 as a 3-seed, 5 as a 4-seed, although when I checked those 5, 2 of them actually have ISU as the last 3-seed.
 
Without knowing the actual matchups, I'm not sure there is that much difference between 2 and 3 seed. Biggest might be the impact on the fans regarding game locations.

I refuse to believe any 4 seed talk. Not only would a couple losses not have that much impact this late in the season, but so many of the other potential 2/3 seeds have been losing lately too.
 
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Are you ok? We were #4 last week and lost at home to a good team. And you think we're gonna drop out of the top ten?

As a reminder...other teams play basketball every week.

#5 Houston: LOST

#8 Purdue: LOST TWICE

#9 Gonzaga: LOST

#10 Illinois: LOST

#11 Virginia: LOST

Tell me how Iowa State drops from #4 with a loss to a top 16 team to out of the top ten.

SO MUCH FEBRUARY FADING.
 
If the season ended today, Matrix is telling us Iowa State would probably be a 2. The problem is they're seventh overall, and the season doesn't end today, so they could drop to a 3. I know up to this point conference tournaments have mattered very little when it comes to seeding, but given Iowa State's lack of a brand boost I'm keeping an eye on if Kansas wins out, beating Iowa State, Arizona, and Houston to win the Big 12 tournament. I think Michigan State stands no chance, but they could really shake things up if they won at Michigan Sunday. Nebraska seems to be at arm's length given their unimpressive non-con and program history. But they could win out, and would have the chance to beat Michigan State and Michigan to win the Big Ten tournament. Purdue is struggling almost as much as Iowa State, but could beat Illinois, Michigan, and Michigan State or Nebraska in the Big Ten tournament. My argument is I just don't think much is going to get sorted the next two games—Houston, Illinois, Nebraska, and Kansas play nobody—and so the committee may want to see these teams play another top team one more time
 
Without knowing the actual matchups, I'm not sure there is that much difference between 2 and 3 seed. Biggest might be the impact on the fans regarding game locations.

I refuse to believe any 4 seed talk. Not only would a couple losses not have that much impact this late in the season, but so many of the other potential 2/3 seeds have been losing lately too.

This year the biggest difference is probably going to be the potential difficulty of games during the first weekend. The potential sweet 16 games don't seem to matter as much this year unless we end up opposite of Florida. It seems ISU generally matches up fairly well with the pool of other 2 and 3 seeds. (Houston, Illinois, Purdue, Nebraska, Michigan State, Kansas, Ect.)

As a 3 you start to see some of the more competent mid majors, or at least the ones who were more consistent over the whole season. It didn't pan out last year, but think of teams like Lipscomb that are actually capable of getting an upset if things go right for them. Its a lot easier to play the super low majors that just got hot during their conference tournament. The second round also gets a lot more difficult in that you have the chance of playing another top 25ish team in the 6 seed, or you end up with one of the 11 seeds that gets hot in the play in game.

It seems stupidly obvious, but this ISU team that has shown some consistency issues could really use as easy of a first weekend as possible, which a 2 would help a lot with.
 
Playing poorly has consequences and every time ISU moved into the top 5 they lost, any time a cracked in the title race they lost, and losing a seed (or two) is the consequence. I hate it, but I have no faith in big expectations anymore. That’s just me and you may feel totally different and it’s fine, but they have been far from consistent at the time of year they WANT to be consistent.
I’ll be cheering, but I don’t expect anything.
 
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Playing poorly has consequences and every time ISU moved into the top 5 they lost, any time a cracked in the title race they lost, and losing a seed (or two) is the consequence. I hate it, but I have no faith in big expectations anymore. That’s just me and you may feel totally different and it’s fine, but they have been far from consistent at the time of year they WANT to be consistent.
I’ll be cheering, but I don’t expect anything.
I do agree that the Cyclone aren't firing on all cylinders right now, but some of that is the grind of the backloaded setup of the BIG 12 schedule. Ironically, the team that lost their best player is the one playing the best.

Last 6 games, the top 5 teams in the Big 12 are a combined 18-12
Arizona = 4-2
Houston = 3-3
TT = 5-1
ISU = 3-3
Kansas = 3-3
 
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We only dropped to #6 in the AP. I wish some would realize that there are a LOT of really good teams this year, and dropping a couple especially this late in the season isn't going to hurt us.

 

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