2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread

David Jablonski (Cox Media Group) has us 5th, after UA, Nebby, Mich & Vandy. I think that's the lowest. Most have us #2. A good number have UConn 2 and us 3.
Well, I guess at least he doesn't have Purdue ahead of Iowa State...

For the record, Michigan is still NET 1, UA still NET 2, while ISU is NET 3. Vandy is NET 7 and kNU is NET 11.
 
If we lose at KU, I bet any amount of money that we drop much further.

I might be slightly less cynical than you.

Assuming a "respectable" L in Lawrence and a W in Ames against Cincinnati.

We'll drop, but I'm sure the voters will still respect Phog Allen and KU on the brand alone.

So, it would be down a little but not like a stone.
 
I might be slightly less cynical than you.

Assuming a "respectable" L in Lawrence and a W in Ames against Cincinnati.

We'll drop, but I'm sure the voters will still respect Phog Allen and KU on the brand alone.

So, it would be down a little but not like a stone.
Saturday's game is @Cinci, but that makes the argument even stronger. A respectable loss to the beakers and then beating the paper bags on the road wouldn't drop us much further than 5 IMO

Either way, easiest thing to do is send Bill Self sashaying back to the locker room with a L
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Bigger question- which coach voted Michigan #1 in their poll?
Equally impressive that some "coach" has Iowa State 18 and Arizona 13, in case you needed some support in ignoring that thing


Edit: Its the highest/lowest of the season. Point stands, SID poll sucks
 
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Equally impressive that some "coach" has Iowa State 18 and Arizona 13, in case you needed some support in ignoring that thing

I read that as the lowest vote received for the entire season. Not sure though, the write-up isn't exactly clear.
 
I read that as the lowest vote received for the entire season. Not sure though, the write-up isn't exactly clear.
Yep you right, still think the SID poll isn't worth paying attention to
*The highest and lowest ranking each team has held during the designated season.
 
I think we are in uncharted territory for an ISU team.

Every win will increase the pucker factor. Some more than others. It really illustrates how amazing Indiana's feat in '76 was.
I like to think of things like this to partially relax my pucker-level: suppose the wheels fall off and we lose every remaining "A"-level game, that's 21-10 in the regular season; pretty damn good floor! Now every win out of that bunch brings us up from that floor.

I find it helps to think of it that way rather than like we're already at the top and every loss knocks us down.
 
Here's another NET update:

Iowa State NET 3
16-0, 13-0 NC, 3-0 Conf
Home 10-0, Away 2-0, Neutral 4-0
NET SOS 62, RPI SOS 91
KPI 10, SOR 3, WAB 6, BPI 5, POM 3, T Rank 6

Q1 5-0
..Q1a 1-0 (A 7 Purdue +23)
..Q1b 4-0 (H 19 Iowa +4, N 26 St John’s +1, A 49 BU +10, N 47 Creighton +18)
Q2 4-0
..Q2a 1-0 (N 67 Syracuse +31)
..Q2b 3-0 (H 60 OSU +12, H 70 WVU +21, N 83 Miss St +16)
Q3 0-0
Q4 7-0
(H 238 Grambling +40, H 253 Long Beach +31, H 291 EIU +25, H 311 HCU +28, H 340 Stonehill +39, H 342 FDU +38, H 348 Alcorn +64)

Notes:
  • RPI SOS is starting to look respectable. Looked glaringly bad before (150+)
  • ISU resume looking even better with 9 combined Q1 and Q2 wins.
  • Syracuse clear up to a Q2a win.
  • ISU no longer has a Q3 win – all have moved to Q2.
Remaining games:
7 Home, 8 Away
Q1 9 (3H, 6A)
Q2 5 (3H, 2A)
Q3 1 (1H, 0A)
Q4 0

Upcoming schedule (next 10):
(Q1 6, Q2 4, Q3 0)
Tu 1/13 Q1a @ 22 KU
St 1/17 Q2a @ 95 UC
Tu 1/20 Q2a 37 UCF
St 1/24 Q1b @ 62 OSU
Th 1/29 Q2b 70 CU
Sn 2/1 Q1b @ 72 KSU
St 2/7 Q2a 49 BU
Tu 2/10 Q1b @ 42 TCU
St 2/14 Q1b 22 KU
M 2/16 Q1a 12 UH