Only problem with Chicago is you probably ate in the Purdue bracket then, and that’s essentially a home game for them.
2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
The guys at Fox are smoking something.
Iowa and Nebraska as a #4 seeds???? above Auburn, Texas Tech, KU, Florida, St. John's, UNC . . .
Iowa and Nebraska as a #4 seeds???? above Auburn, Texas Tech, KU, Florida, St. John's, UNC . . .
His model is 'if the season ended today' with no projection. He's not that far off with those parameters.
Definite possibility. Or perhaps Michigan - not as much "home court" as Purdue, but similar assessment applies.
Even so, I'd take Chicago w/ Big Ten opponent "risk" vs. placement in DC. We seem to get shipped East a LOT even with top-4 seeding.
With MSU looking tough, it's nice to know that there is no regional in Ann Arbor this year.
I would take this in a heartbeat.
www.warrennolan.com
Plus, I really like his site as you bounce between different tabs easily.
Iowa State Men's Basketball Predicted Results Scores & RPI | WarrenNolan.com
2026 Iowa State Cyclones Men's Basketball Predicted Results for Every Upcoming Game and Predicted Final RPI, Strength of Schedule, and Quadrant Wins
Plus, I really like his site as you bounce between different tabs easily.
. Yeah, I think we’d all take that prediction. Win at Kansas, at Baylor, at TCU, at OSU…. Finish with 3 losses. That’s in the running for best ISU regular season of all time.I would take this in a heartbeat.
Iowa State Men's Basketball Predicted Results Scores & RPI | WarrenNolan.com
2026 Iowa State Cyclones Men's Basketball Predicted Results for Every Upcoming Game and Predicted Final RPI, Strength of Schedule, and Quadrant Wins
Plus, I really like his site as you bounce between different tabs easily.
Still #4 in KenPom, but up to #9 offense and #6 defense, making us and Duke the only teams in the Top 10 for both
That was our third straight 99 game score on Torvik, which is impressive. As is the 164 raw offensive efficiency (143 adjusted is off the charts too)
Both Jefferson and Kelderman had 200+ Offensive Ratings scores per Torvik in that game, which is basically perfect.
That was our third straight 99 game score on Torvik, which is impressive. As is the 164 raw offensive efficiency (143 adjusted is off the charts too)
Both Jefferson and Kelderman had 200+ Offensive Ratings scores per Torvik in that game, which is basically perfect.
I like to think of this thread as more highbrow than most and thus containing less commentary. But what’s crazy is—IMHO—the defense could still be better, and we know if nothing else Otz & Co. can coach defense. So to pair that with potentially his best offense since becoming HC, which practically no one saw coming?? It’s extremely early, and guys are already hurt, but I’m just enjoying the ride
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Gained 4pts in kp NetRtg from before Vegas and now less than a point behind Duke.
I'm a little confused but in a good way maybe. It predicts us finishing 14-4 in the league and 27-4 overall...meaning they think we beat Purdue and Iowa? But the percentage for beating Purdue is below 40%.
It hasn't mattered because the offense has been so good and the competition hasn't been supper high end, but we've missed Lipsey on the defensive end.
It will be interesting to see how we integrate Lipsey on the offensive end once he comes back, because it has been so good since he's been out. Part of it is coincidence/timing, but part is that other guys have had to step up on offensive in has absence and have been playing great. During the first five games Lipsey's usage was way up from what it had been previously in his career.
I'm really confused how it can project us at 19-4 the rest of the way, including 14-4 in the Big 12. That means zero non-conference losses.
Yet it projects a 38% chance of beating Purdue. What am I missing?
edit: just noticed Dahlia posted basically the same question
The only thing that is surprising, based on odds, is the final predicted record is 27-4 (14-4 in Big 12), yet it only gives us a 38% chance to beat Purdue. That final record prediction says we beat Purdue.
ISU loses the game to Purdue, but then Purdue is discovered to have committed recruiting violations with the transfer of Oscar Cluff, so they have to forfeit the win against the Cyclones.
