currently favored, via KenPom, to win in our next 17 games.
2024-2025 MBB computer projections thread
- Thread starter Sigmapolis
- Start date
NGL, I'm scared of that game in Boulder.
I said that after we boat-raced them in Maui - that's going to be a really tough trap game.
The offense has had an adjusted offensive rating of 125 or higher in every game since they got to Maui (per Barttorvik). A great thing is that it's come in different ways.
In Maui, they got to the free-throw line a bunch. Against Colorado, they went crazy from three and ended up shooting well from there last night as well. A couple of games have been super efficient from two. Last night made up for the lowest two-point percentage of the season with a high offensive rebounding rate. And every game except Marquette has had a really low turnover rate.
The offense isn't super flashy (besides for Gilbert when he's finishing well or maybe when MM and Jones are both hot from three), but it can beat opponents in just about any way that's necessary. It makes it very hard for a defense to decide what to focus on stopping.
In Maui, they got to the free-throw line a bunch. Against Colorado, they went crazy from three and ended up shooting well from there last night as well. A couple of games have been super efficient from two. Last night made up for the lowest two-point percentage of the season with a high offensive rebounding rate. And every game except Marquette has had a really low turnover rate.
The offense isn't super flashy (besides for Gilbert when he's finishing well or maybe when MM and Jones are both hot from three), but it can beat opponents in just about any way that's necessary. It makes it very hard for a defense to decide what to focus on stopping.
Even if ISU hadn't played them in Maui, they're 17-48 all-time in Boulder. Since the Big XII was formed they're 3-13. That place sucks, and I'll not be surprised if they lose @lolorado again
I'd say where the SEC is today compared with the ACC and Big 10 considering how those three conferences compared even 5 years ago is pretty impressive.
That was just the 6th game under Otz where we forced single digit turnovers - and the first non-conference game:
'21-'22 - L @ Texas (9)
'21-'22 - L KState in OT (9)
'22-'23 - L @TTU in OT (8)
'23-'24 - W TCU (9)
'23-'24 - L @Houston (8)
'24-'25 - W @ Iowa (9)
'21-'22 - L @ Texas (9)
'21-'22 - L KState in OT (9)
'22-'23 - L @TTU in OT (8)
'23-'24 - W TCU (9)
'23-'24 - L @Houston (8)
'24-'25 - W @ Iowa (9)
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Hold serve in the bye games and that's a very successful non-conference slate.
2-1 in Maui, beating Marquette then a nice bonus to win in Carver.
Now onto the second season in the season.
2-1 in Maui, beating Marquette then a nice bonus to win in Carver.
Now onto the second season in the season.
Great win on the human factors.
Computers were like "meh" but we won so...
Computers were like "meh" but we won so...
Not this year man. They have a ton of high quality non con wins. The SEC is stupid good.
It's pretty tough to argue against the wins that the top 6 or 7 teams have picked up in the non con though.
The numbers do indeed back up the SEC is "stupid good" this season.
They're a clear #1 of the P5 plus the six mid-major conferences...
Compared this table to last season...
Looking at last year's noncon to this point 
It doesn't look like a step down for the big 12 (rating actually slightly higher). Just the SEC over performing
It doesn't look like a step down for the big 12 (rating actually slightly higher). Just the SEC over performing
The ACC being closer to the WCC than B1G is not something I had on my bingo card.
That's an awful league outside of Duke and, maybe, Carolina. They're very Gonzaga/St Mary's WCCish.
It's crazy how far the ACC has fallen. It's been on the decline for what 10 years now? They always have a few strong top teams but the bottom falls out after that.
Of interest - Marquette plays at Dayton tomorrow.
Would this be the first time Iowa State is favored in Phog Allen if it holds?
