2018-2019 computer projections thread

herbicide

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This team reminds me of the 2014-2015 team -- the Bryce Dejean-Jones experience.

The more I think about it the more I agree with this. While this season's team is better defensively, they still pretty much live and die on their shooting.
 

Sigmapolis

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The more I think about it the more I agree with this. While this season's team is better defensively, they still pretty much live and die on their shooting.

I was at the game in Brooklyn against South Carolina. Took a train up.

We went 1-18 from three -- I did not know that was possible.

The only make was with around 2:00 left as Naz finally woke up a little.

Even then, we still only lost by four... 60-64 to be precise.

We just clunked open look after open look. It was maddening.

That was the most frustrating college basketball game I have ever seen live.
 
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cyclones500

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If I remember right, that team also finished the regular season and conference tournament having to make double-digit second-half comebacks in nearly every game. They were down 17 to Kansas in the Big 12 Championship game. In hindsight, the wheels were pretty wobbly to finish out that season - and finished with the abomination that will not be mentioned.

When I think back to that team, there did seem to be an element of "playing with fire" or "tempting fate" with all those comeback wins. ... Was that same season with the 22-point rally at home vs. OU?

Thing about it is, majority of those comebacks were vs. tournament-level teams. Living dangerously to dig big holes too often, eventually things won't go your way. Puzzling to me was the UAB loss wasn't a case of falling way behind to an underdog and having the luck run out. We simply looked stiff and stagnant.
 

cyclones500

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Looks like we benefited from Nevada, Louisville, and LSU losing. The 4th team we jumped was Kansas... That can probably be mostly attributed to our own numbers improving without us playing by way of San Diego State picking up a massive win over Nevada. It also didn't hurt our NCAA tourney seeding to have Villanova take a loss. They're projected as a 5 seed right now. Overall about as good of night as you can ask for without playing a game.

An example and reminder that pecking-order doesn't occur in a vacuum. Our position obviously would be better if we had closed at BU/vs. KSU or hadn't laid an egg vs. TCU. But other teams can lose games, too.

Think about parallels with a team near our seed territory: LSU. Last week, won at UK, this week, lost at home to UF.
 

every_yard

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Dropped one spot in the NET rankings (14 to 15). I think it’s likely we will finish the season somewhere between 12 and 19. When you look at our resume compared to others in the 4 to 6 range, I would put us right on the 4/5 line (probably still a 4 right now).
 
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Sigmapolis

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Stopped the slide a little bit here...

upload_2019-2-26_10-27-42.png

Barttovik gave us a 98 for the game last night.

I know many of us are down on Oklahoma, but that is still a good team.
 
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Sigmapolis

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Yeah, OU has talent, and had two good wins in a row and looked to be gaining some confidence.

James is really good. They have pieces around him. They are basically a discount K-State/K-State without a functioning Dean Wade -- they play good defense, but they lack a versatile big man/hybrid guy to facilitate their offense and struggle to score.

Given there are only 90 wins to go around in the Big 12 slate, with the conference this good, there are going to be good teams that are the "odd man out." WVU and OSU are deservedly bad, but Oklahoma has a good squad on the short end of that stick.

I could see a case for James for first-team AC and, if not that, certainly second-team. He is basically their Barry Brown who, again, does not have a Wade to run with him.
 
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every_yard

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Something I dont understand about his site, he has us as a 5 seed in both the Tourneycast and T-Ranketology. I dont get why they think we are a 7 seed then.

I think the image is from teamrankings and you are referring to Barttorvik. With that being said, on teamrankings, they have a disclaimer that they are still using RPI logic.
 
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NoCreativity

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I think the image is from teamrankings and you are referring to Barttorvik. With that being said, on teamrankings, they have a disclaimer that they are still using RPI logic.

Ah, gotcha, for some reason I was thinking all of them were taken from Barttorvick.
 

Sigmapolis

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Prepare yourselves for ISU to be everyone’s first round upset pick.

Or to catch a little fire and go deep.

tenor.gif
 

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