This year continues to blow
2 Hurricanes could hit the Gulf this week
- Thread starter CloneGuy8
- Start date
Thankfully right now shear is impacting Marco and should keep it somewhat in check prior to landfall and stay at a Cat 1. The key with Laura is land interaction prior to it getting into the gulf. As long as it stays over Cuba, smoking few cigars, intensification will be slower. Once it gets into the gulf then it will grow quick...most models show it from a Cat 1 to a Cat 3.
Louisiana and Texas look to be main threat area right now.
Louisiana and Texas look to be main threat area right now.
I'm more curious about the rainfall levels that this will bring. Those areas are built to handle hurricanes decently well at the lower levels at least, but back to back hurricanes sounds like a lot of water being dumped on them if it hits roughly the same place
Marco is moving much faster than anticipated likely due to the strong SSW flow that pushing it farther east than initially expected and is also preventing it from strengthening too much.
Because of this, it is likely to have less affect on Laura (coming in a couple days later), which looks to have much more ideal conditions in the Gulf of Mexico as it looks to possibly become a strong hurricane that tracks to near the TX/LA border region.
Still too much uncertainty, and the track will likely change with Laura quite a bit until it creates some space between it and Cuba and develops a better circulation center (becomes stacked).
Yeah, Houston is getting massively lucky. It's coming ashore about 80-100 miles east of here and most of the predictions barely have the wind getting much above 45 mph gusts. Lucky to be on the clean side of the storm. For comparison sake, Shreveport which is 200 miles inland has roughly the same probability of getting 50 kt sustained winds as Houston.
The storm surge is supposed to be wicked as well they are talking 15-20 feet in that area and the surge pushing up to 30 miles inland.
Glad I'm not living down there any more!
Well, I was glad I moved before Harvey, but still glad I don't have to worry about this thing. Hopefully this doesn't take out too many refineries and chemical plants.
Well, I was glad I moved before Harvey, but still glad I don't have to worry about this thing. Hopefully this doesn't take out too many refineries and chemical plants.
Add in that the peak surge will be hitting during high tide. Latest eye penetration by the Hurricane Hunters showed a pressure drop of 5 millibars since last penetration. Winds on the West side of the storm (the weakest side) were up to 125 mph. Some models showing the storm approaching Cat 5 at landfall...others showing a slight decrease due to wind shear...not enough to really matter.
