2026 investments

I read too many message boards on how Tesla was bankrupt and never going to succeed, and missed out on buying it at $17. If I would have spent $5k on Tesla stock, it would be worth $176,000 today.

Lately with my investing (play money), I've been using the reverse reddit/message board strategy, which has worked out pretty well so far.
All investors have the "fish that got away", mine was investing in Exxon, a year or two before the Exxon Valdes incident, instead of tech stocks,
 
I read too many message boards on how Tesla was bankrupt and never going to succeed, and missed out on buying it at $17. If I would have spent $5k on Tesla stock, it would be worth $176,000 today.

Lately with my investing (play money), I've been using the reverse reddit/message board strategy, which has worked out pretty well so far.


i've been browsing r/stocks feels like its a bunch of people shilling their bags
 
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Im more of an S&P guy rather than a meme stock guy, but Spacex does have the potential to be fun if you’re a gambler.
 
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Does SpaceX have a significant competitive advantage? Yes - they are the #1 launcher, like 80% lower cost than #2. And its not something easy to catch up with, like phone app software - serious "moat".

But the valuation... everything has to go right and come true for like 25 years for the valuation to make sense. It's like buying Boardwalk and Park Place, but paying $10,000 for it (in monopoly money).

I think SpaceX can be an incredible success, and yet be a terrible investment.
 
Does SpaceX have a significant competitive advantage? Yes - they are the #1 launcher, like 80% lower cost than #2. And its not something easy to catch up with, like phone app software - serious "moat".

But the valuation... everything has to go right and come true for like 25 years for the valuation to make sense. It's like buying Boardwalk and Park Place, but paying $10,000 for it (in monopoly money).

I think SpaceX can be an incredible success, and yet be a terrible investment.
SpaceX plays chess while others play checkers. They by far have a much broader vision than its competitors

That said in 6 months a lot of stock will be sold

I will look to buy then
 
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That's what I assumed, because the fundamentals of SpaceX from what I've seen are horrible.

I was thinking that Musk was having trouble getting buyers of his IPO since he wanted it to be listed in the S&P Index as a way to force index funds to buy shares.
Think back to the 90s, you are describing every internet company and search engine that was out there.
 
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CNBC reporting $160. This would be a very good open. It's not a hyperbolic run up then massive pull back next business day.


Some of the recent IPOs have been out of control

Edit: now down to 158. Now 150
 
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It could be that, or it could be Google.
It's multiple already assumes it's going to be the next Google or better. I'd be a little wary of future iterations of the federal government that is not so friendly to the industry as a whole or the company and stop giving them fixed cost contracts on the downside with cost-plus on the upside.
 

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