Recent content by NiceMarmot

  1. NiceMarmot

    Williams & Blum: More Cyclone Therapy

    Campbell staying as long as he did should speak to the strength of ISU's athletic department now instead of people using his departure to make it seem weaker than ever. Chizik left after 2 seasons of 5-19 football. It could be far worse.
  2. NiceMarmot

    **** Official 2026 MBB Spring Transfer Portal Thread ****

    Not a single person on this board would be interested in Rancik if his last name were not Rancik. I find it bizarre.
  3. NiceMarmot

    No More Sweet 16’s in Chicago

    Next year has Minneapolis and Omaha as first weekend sites and Kansas City hosting the Midwest regional. Everyone get their hopes up now.
  4. NiceMarmot

    Chicago Roll Call

    Have to assume the East region will be the late afternoon Sunday game considering the matchup possibilities there with Duke, St. John's, UConn, and Michigan State.
  5. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    My final bracket projection for this year. Due to me putting Houston at 5 overall and UConn at 6 overall, Iowa State at 7 overall is in the Midwest as the 2-seed. UConn as the 6 can go to the East, which opens up the Midwest for ISU. I think our most likely 3-seeds are Nebraska, Purdue...
  6. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    Just depends on if Duke and Michigan both win their conference tournaments or if Duke loses and Michigan wins B10. Same with if Houston wins B12 tourney and UConn loses in quarters or semis of Big East. Don't think a Big East final loss to St. John's would hurt them much.
  7. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    If we rise to a 2, other factors will determine what region we're in. If Duke is overall #1 and UConn is overall #5, UConn can't play in the East as the top 2-seed can't be in the same region as the overall 1 seed. But if Michigan is 1 overall or if Houston jumps UConn for 5 overall, then UConn...
  8. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    An update before today's game. Link to the resume comparison file. I've got Michigan State at 7, Illinois at 8, and Iowa State at 9 in the overall seed list. But Iowa State is tightening the metrics with Illinois. In the resume metrics of SOR and WAB, Iowa State is ranked 12/10 and Illinois...
  9. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    Last night was a good example of how silly it is whenever we lose a game and doomers go "We're a 4-seed now." As I always say, your results don't happen in a vacuum -- other teams lose, too. Alabama, Texas Tech, Kansas, and Nebraska all lost. As long as we don't lose our next two, there's no...
  10. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    Totally possible we've slid down to a 3-seed, but any bracket that has ISU as a 4 should be looked at side-eyed in my opinion. The committee had us as the final 1-seed 9 days ago. To go from 4 to 13 with two "quality" losses when a lot of teams behind us keep losing as well would surprise me.
  11. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    Those are predictive metrics. You have to look at the resume metrics like WAB, SOR, and KPI as well. They are 4/4/6 in those. Torvik has a good page where you can look/sort that data.
  12. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    They don't directly consider the S-curve when placing teams into the bracket OUTSIDE of the very specific example of avoiding placing the top 2-seed with the top 1-seed. The second 2-seed (6 overall) could easily end up in the top overall seed's region. From their bracketing principles, this is...
  13. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    If we are the 5th overall team (the highest 2-seed), we cannot play in the Midwest with Michigan if they are the overall 1-seed. As a reward for being the top overall seed, they never place the top 2-seed with the top 1-seed.
  14. NiceMarmot

    Bracket Predictions 2025-26

    Here's my bracket and resume comparisons headed into the weekend. I think there are some tiers developing: Duke, Michigan, Arizona Houston, UConn, Iowa State, Illinois Purdue, Kansas, Florida Nebraska, Gonzaga, Michigan State The 4/5 seed contenders of Alabama, Virginia, Vanderbilt, Texas...
  15. NiceMarmot

    2025-2026 MBB computer projections thread

    Iowa State was the 5th overall seed in the media's mock selection, and the 5th overall seed cannot be the 2-seed in the overall 1-seed's region. So Iowa State cannot go to the Midwest. Then they wouldn't place Iowa State as the 2-seed in the South due to Houston being the 1 so we go to the next...