That's infinitely more likely than all of FBS banding together to the benefit of the bottom 50-70 brands and reducing the Top 20 brands per school take.
And terrifying for Big12 / ISU.
Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)
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And terrifying for Big12 / ISU.
Overall revenue, probably.
Per team revenue for the big boys? Probably not. Which is why its unlikely.
You are basically on the "Unionize!" train, and I just don't see where the big brands will ever get on board. They'd rather have $1 and everyone else have a dime, than have $2 and everyone else has $1.50. Much rather.
That train of thought isn't going to fly with the Feds as CFB seeks an anti-trust exemption.
Man I still cast believe your whole plan relies on the federal govt doing something. There are many reasons why this plan isn’t happening but that’s gotta be the biggest
Not trying to Cave this, but there’s nothing about our current climate that screams pro-Union or anti-trust. Who knows what it looks like closer to 2030.
But Cody Campbell is buddies with Donald Trump! A man known for being completely consistent and getting things done!
If you think that's the case, you better tell your Fox Puppet Boy, Pettiti, and Sankey to halt their ongoing lobbying efforts in DC to codify House and seek an anti-trust exemption to enforce it along with other rules (e.g. transfers).
And if there are massive widespread cuts to non-rev sports because the ESPN/Fox Puppet Boys won't play ball on media rights pooling and if additional ESPN/Fox realignment manipulation produces more relegation and financial destruction to impacted schools, there will be Fed intervention.
yeah there won’t be fed intervention, if anything the current admin will just punish schools more and yell at them for putting themselves in bad financial straights, the bootstraps ya know?
I think it’s fair to say there’s never been a bigger Overton window in that regard. Anything is possible, and that’s inherently bullish change
Are Washington State University and Oregon State University still operating as universities? Do they still have intercollegiate Athletics programs?
The coastal elites don’t share your view. It has nothing to do with USF- this is coming from Stanford/ND scuttlebutt. USF is simply to keep ACCN in market in FL, as well as a cheap band aide until 2031. That’s logical, although perhaps they just sit at 11 until the Big 12 deal expires
It would depend on the deal the Big 12 could get, but as we saw with the PAC, getting a deal is difficult if schools are waiting to see if P2 invites are coming, or in the case of the 4C, even just an invite from ACC
The 4Cs, if the P2 are not expanding, would absolutely prefer to play with Cal and Stanford for the same money as Big 12. TCU and KU would probably follow at that point
Kurtz is an absolute moron, dont give him the clicks, its not worth wasting your time.
I mostly agree, the only thing that might be an issue is change.
Things Change as time goes on. School values change. The most valuable teams being already taken etc.
So if a school in question, increases their value, or everyone valued above them has already been taken off the board, then it is possible a school that wasnt a choice pick before, could become one.
I still agree it is a long shot and all the cards would have to fall in line for them, but it could become possible as things change.
If the Big10 ends up at 24 teams, then teams like: TCU (#5 MSA), ASU (#10), CU (#19), KU (#31) & Utah (#46) from the Big12 could be options. They fit the Big10's profile having schools in major metro areas.
But I also feel like any school the Big10 adds will need to be a consistent borderline Top 25 football program before the next round of realignment. KU does have an advantage that it is a basketball Blue Blood that draws national TV eyes. Unfortunately, if Yormark's vision of growing MBB TV revenue becomes a reality, then it increases KU's value to Big10 or SEC.
Their ADs are already greatly diminished of what they used to be in terms of revenue streams and coach/athlete retention despite their windfall from PAC legal settlements. Oregon St is projecting a 44% decline in athletic revenue for fiscal year 2025. Both schools have lost their FB coaches and star QBs. Wazzu lost their MBB HC. Oregon St lost almost all of their Elite 8 WBB roster. JP used the word "destroyed" relative to both schools.
If ISU was relegated in similar fashion, JTS attendance would eventually be cut in half and it would be the single most devastating thing to hit ISU and Ames outside of a natural disaster.
And if 6 or more ACC and/or B12 schools are facing the same fate later this decade due to ESPN and Fox manipulation, there will likely be Fed intervention and that is also coming from JP.
I get it, using history as a forecast is what we do when we lack information
It was even more logical to ask why would the BIG add two schools they just passed on
The BIG once shunned Nebraska too. Only to later take them when their brand had diminished and on the verge of losing AAU
What the BIG decided previously in a different era isn’t meaningless , but it doesn’t have much predictive value. Just like with Oregon and UW, not including KU could be a “not right now” sentiment than a “no, never”
There have been so many changes in the last 5 years, and many more to come, that it’s increasingly likely blue blood basketball starts to be included in realignment decisions, as well as an an alliance between top basketball only conferences and P2
And I think the SEC is as much in play for KU as BIG. UNC, Duke, KU, and UK all in the SEC would give the SEC a lot of say in CBB monetization. Given the likely amount of the new TV deal, that easily could mean hundreds of millions more for SEC
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