I was thinking the same thing after Sat night when he only completed 33% of his passes.
Arizona State Matchup
- Thread starter werdnamanhill
- Start date
I’m seeing the line move to ASU -2.5. How does Tyson being out move the line towards ASU?
I liked this until I read that last paragraph. I think this will be very close unless one team makes mistakes that the other doesn't.
I'm optimistic that we'll be able to put together a couple of those 5-8 minute FU drives we've put on people before (and almost did against KSU, but ended with a turnover on downs and then a FG instead of TDs).
Guess it depends on the book. It was -2.5 earlier today on DK. Now it's -2.
Curious what others think. After the Iowa game I thought our FG's/PAT's were set for the next 4 years but after that miss Sat night and the bad miss against Tech (?? might have the wrong game) it's looking more like kicking as usual at ISU. Maybe he's wearing out being a rs freshman in his first season kicking or maybe it's the cold weather but I hope the game doesn't come down to needing a FG to win.
Im not as familiar with the latest version of QB advanced stats, but the original one would give huge penalties for INTs and also huge benefits for high completion percentage even if they were all 5 yard slants.
First and foremost, as with most games - limit turnovers and we have a great chance to win this.
Skattebo is good and will challenge our defense, but I'm encouraged with our effort against K-State. We're getting healthier and more experienced at LB and it's showing.
On offense - we need an accurate Rocco and a serviceable running game.
None of the above are givens, but it's well within our ability to make it happen.
Skattebo is good and will challenge our defense, but I'm encouraged with our effort against K-State. We're getting healthier and more experienced at LB and it's showing.
On offense - we need an accurate Rocco and a serviceable running game.
None of the above are givens, but it's well within our ability to make it happen.
It can move down to ASU-6 for all I care. I think ISU will win regardless of what Vegas thinks
Also, we have fresher bodies at LB as they didn't take a full season worth of pounding.
Our receivers dropped a lot of passes that were catchable. I believe Hanson dropped a TD pass that hit his hands. Yes, I would agree that the cold weather had a huge impact making the ball slippery.
If I did this right, this is a link to all of the official NCAA football stats and how the Big 12 teams match up. You might need to select the Big 12 from the dropdown in the top left.
stats.ncaa.org
NCAA Statistics
He's at 76% on field goals for the year, which is below average but isn't awful. I believe his miss on Saturday was his first miss inside of 40 yards, which is pretty good. (He's 4-8 from 40-49 yards and 2-3 from 50+ yards.) I don't think that miss vs. Tech should affect your opinion too much, since that was really bad weather and was 50+ yards. But I agree that he hasn't been as good as many might think, since the game-winner against Iowa sticks out so much.
Still though, for a freshman kicker, I feel pretty good about where he's at and his development over the next few years.
I also hope this, but only in the sense that I hope it's because we're up two scores
I trust Konrardy though, and think his future outlook at the position is great. The miss vs KSU was his first miss inside 40 all season (now 13/14 for 93%). He seems rock solid between the ears too, never stringing together bad kicks or games like we've seen from some kickers in the past.
I'll be fine in that scenario if a miss means overtime. If a miss means we lose then I'll be chugging beer aggressively.
I've done a bit of analysis earlier in the season. Konrardy is acceptable as far as the last 10 years go. Contreraz and Mevis were better kickers overall, but KK is atleast as good as Assally.
KK is 54% from beyond 40+, but under 40 he's only missed one time.
Did some perusing of ASU opinions.
Many seem very confident. They say we can't stop the run (valid-we are 15th in conf. Vs the run) and that we've played poorly the last 5 games, even though we've won them.
Many seem very confident. They say we can't stop the run (valid-we are 15th in conf. Vs the run) and that we've played poorly the last 5 games, even though we've won them.
