Bracketology 2024

So who has bought tickets for Omaha?
They are pretty expensive in my opinion but I couldn't wait any longer after last night. I only got them for 1st session so far. I'm hoping clones play early but I only live 5 minutes from arena so I planned on going to the games anyway.
 
No. We've done our part but it's still really tight between Marquette, ISU, Baylor, Duke, Kansas, Creighton.

Definitely rooting against Marquette, Baylor, and Creighton this weekend.
Baylor could lose because they are playing on the road a team with a pulse. Marquette and Creighton have to be about 90% chance to win because the Big East so far looks to have 3 really good teams, 4 Meh and forget the rest. I don't think we can afford to lose to a non-tournament team on Saturday.
 
Baylor could lose because they are playing on the road a team with a pulse. Marquette and Creighton have to be about 90% chance to win because the Big East so far looks to have 3 really good teams, 4 Meh and forget the rest. I don't think we can afford to lose to a non-tournament team on Saturday.

Marquette won't have Kolek again. They probably right the ship and win but Xavier isn't awful and it's on the road.

Creighton plays a road game against a desperate team. Villanova needs that game to punch their ticket.

It's hard to be definitive as this stuff doesn't happen in a vacuum but if we finish 1-2 or worse, I don't think we'll get a 2. If we finish 2-1 or better, we probably will get a 2 seed.
 
I could end be very wrong but I think people are underestimating Purdue this year.
Totally agree. Their guards are better this year. Played one of the most difficult schedules in the country and only has 3 losses. On neutral courts beat Tennessee, Marquette, Alabama, Gonzaga, Arizona. There only three losses were road are conference road games. 12 quad one wins and no losses outside of quad 1. Very impressive.
 
I love it but I think it's going to be hard to push Marquette out of the MW 2 seed.
I don't.

ISU is 8 to Marquette's 14 in Net.
ISU is 11 to Marquette's 14 in Kenpom.
ISU is 7 to Marquette's 9 in bart torvik.
Iowa State is 5-3 in Q1a to Marquette's 5-5
Iowa State is 3-2 in Q1b to Marquettes 3-2
Iowa State is 5-1 in Q2 to Marquette's 4-1
Iowa State is 30 in SOS to Marquette's 7
Iowa State is 329 in Non-con SOS Marquette's 17
Iowa State is 5-4 on the road to Marquette's 17

Marquette own's us on SOS, but Iowa State has been a little more successful in Q1 and Q2.

You could maybe justify Marquette by saying that if it weren't for injuries, Marquette and Iowa State would be neck and neck and then give it to Marquette based on SOS. If they go that route, I'd hope they'd give Iowa State the same benefit of the doubt to Ward's injuries.

I'm not saying Iowa State is a slam dunk ahead of Marquette, but its not hard to see how they could be.
 
Show me evidence that it has been a factor on a team's seeding. I don't think you can.

The committee chairs have absolutely called this out when they have been interviewed after the bracket is revealed. LOL this isn't some big conspiracy theory.
 
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I don't.

ISU is 8 to Marquette's 14 in Net.
ISU is 11 to Marquette's 14 in Kenpom.
ISU is 7 to Marquette's 9 in bart torvik.
Iowa State is 5-3 in Q1a to Marquette's 5-5
Iowa State is 3-2 in Q1b to Marquettes 3-2
Iowa State is 5-1 in Q2 to Marquette's 4-1
Iowa State is 30 in SOS to Marquette's 7
Iowa State is 329 in Non-con SOS Marquette's 17
Iowa State is 5-4 on the road to Marquette's 17

Marquette own's us on SOS, but Iowa State has been a little more successful in Q1 and Q2.

You could maybe justify Marquette by saying that if it weren't for injuries, Marquette and Iowa State would be neck and neck and then give it to Marquette based on SOS. If they go that route, I'd hope they'd give Iowa State the same benefit of the doubt to Ward's injuries.

I'm not saying Iowa State is a slam dunk ahead of Marquette, but its not hard to see how they could be.

The bolded is my concern.
 
I don't.

ISU is 8 to Marquette's 14 in Net.
ISU is 11 to Marquette's 14 in Kenpom.
ISU is 7 to Marquette's 9 in bart torvik.
Iowa State is 5-3 in Q1a to Marquette's 5-5
Iowa State is 3-2 in Q1b to Marquettes 3-2
Iowa State is 5-1 in Q2 to Marquette's 4-1
Iowa State is 30 in SOS to Marquette's 7
Iowa State is 329 in Non-con SOS Marquette's 17
Iowa State is 5-4 on the road to Marquette's 17

Marquette own's us on SOS, but Iowa State has been a little more successful in Q1 and Q2.

You could maybe justify Marquette by saying that if it weren't for injuries, Marquette and Iowa State would be neck and neck and then give it to Marquette based on SOS. If they go that route, I'd hope they'd give Iowa State the same benefit of the doubt to Ward's injuries.

I'm not saying Iowa State is a slam dunk ahead of Marquette, but its not hard to see how they could be.

I think Iowa State has to win out to even have a shot at jumping Marquette.
 
The committee chairs have absolutely called this out when they have been interviewed after the bracket is revealed. LOL this isn't some big conspiracy theory.

Show me examples.

I've definitely seen it used as a tiebreaker between 2 similar teams, sure, but not when there is a clear delineation between two teams.
 
Show me examples.

I've definitely seen it used as a tiebreaker between 2 similar teams, sure, but not when there is a clear delineation between two teams.
lets re-word it

the committee will look at KU beating UCONN and Tennessee as better than Iowa State beating Green Bay and Lindenwood.
 
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I think Iowa State has to win out to even have a shot at jumping Marquette.
If Iowa State wins out, they will jump Marquette for sure unless Marquette wins out (maybe).

Iowa State will likely play TCU or Cincinatti first, either one is a Q1 game. Then they'd likely play Baylor and lets say Kansas or Houston.

In that scenario, Iowa State would be 7-3 in Q1a and 3-2 in q1b and 5-1 in Q2.

If Marquette beats Xavier, 1 game in the Big East tournament and loses to Creighton in Rd 2, they'd be 5-5 in Q1a, 5-2 in Q1b and 4-1 in Q2. I think Iowa State jumps them in that scenario.
 
lets re-word it

the committee will look at KU beating UCONN and Tennessee as better than Iowa State beating Green Bay and Lindenwood.
Come on. They will look at the overall picture for both teams. Right now Iowa State compares favorably to Kansas in Q1 and Q2 and has the head to head win. Kansas's SOS is not going to put them ahead of Iowa State unless they storm through the Big 12 tournament.
 
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