NFL: ***2022 NFL Season Thread***

Derek Carr has been benched
He's not a bad quarterback. Not elite by any stretch, but serviceable, and can get you to the playoffs. He can't cover all of the warts on that franchise, though. I can think of a few franchises that he'd fit well with. New England, Tennessee, both New York teams, etc.

The Raiders have to be looking at a pretty substantial rebuild. Davante Adams isn't going anywhere for at least another year, and they'd be upside down in dead money if they cut Chandler Jones, but beyond that there aren't many players of worth that are untouchable.
 
I don't doubt TO is in shape, dude has always been a specimen, but he's also a headcase.
I'd kick the tires on someone like Edelman if he hasn't been concussed to death yet.
I just don't think anyone you could sign this late in the season is going to be the missing piece to a super bowl run. Especially if they haven't played all year too and in TO's case a LONG time you still have to learn the playbook and develop some chemistry with the team while getting into game shape. Even for a fit 30 something year old that is a big task in a short period of time. TO is nearly 50, even with the baggage that comes with him there are a lot of other factors someone his age has working against him
 
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He's not a bad quarterback. Not elite by any stretch, but serviceable, and can get you to the playoffs. He can't cover all of the warts on that franchise, though. I can think of a few franchises that he'd fit well with. New England, Tennessee, both New York teams, etc.

The Raiders have to be looking at a pretty substantial rebuild. Davante Adams isn't going anywhere for at least another year, and they'd be upside down in dead money if they cut Chandler Jones, but beyond that there aren't many players of worth that are untouchable.
It's crazy to look back on how loaded the AFC West looked going into the season to see how bad Denver and Las Vegas turned out. I was worried Wilson with that roster in Denver was going to make them a dark horse pick to challenge KC for the division but that trade will go down as possibly the worst in their franchise history given how may draft picks they lost in the deal. Will set them back several years not being able tonl draft quality replacements. The Raiders have always been a poorly managed franchise but with Adams thought it would at least make them more competitive than they have been.
 
The Raiders aren't even particularly bad, just kinda unlucky. They're 4-8 in 1 score games. A couple of those are failed 2pt conversions from tying it up to outright wins. They've only been blown out once. Their point differential is only -2. They have coughed up at least 3 big half time leads and have lost on some basically last second plays. To be fair, they've also won a couple that way too.

They're a middling team that the coin has come up tails a few more times than heads. Not like say the Vikings who are 12-0 in one score games and only have +5 point differential. That team really doesn't scare the rest of the contenders because teams like Dallas, SF, and Philly ain't blowing a 33pt lead to Kirk Cousins.
 
The Raiders aren't even particularly bad, just kinda unlucky. They're 4-8 in 1 score games. A couple of those are failed 2pt conversions from tying it up to outright wins. They've only been blown out once. Their point differential is only -2. They have coughed up at least 3 big half time leads and have lost on some basically last second plays. To be fair, they've also won a couple that way too.

They're a middling team that the coin has come up tails a few more times than heads. Not like say the Vikings who are 12-0 in one score games and only have +5 point differential. That team really doesn't scare the rest of the contenders because teams like Dallas, SF, and Philly ain't blowing a 33pt lead to Kirk Cousins.
Cousins will get his 30 points any game, it's more that DAL/SF/PHI will score 40. Defense sucks bad.

Cousins doesn't get nearly enough credit for that 12-0 in one score games. His stats this year have been excellent, and it's not "stat padding in garbage time". 12 one-score games indicates there isn't any garbage time. Run game also sucks balls, so...it's one dude performing for the rest of the team.
 
Cousins will get his 30 points any game, it's more that DAL/SF/PHI will score 40. Defense sucks bad.

Cousins doesn't get nearly enough credit for that 12-0 in one score games. His stats this year have been excellent, and it's not "stat padding in garbage time". 12 one-score games indicates there isn't any garbage time. Run game also sucks balls, so...it's one dude performing for the rest of the team.
Cousins has 2 extreme outlier games, and a third well above the rest bolstering his stats. Right now, he's basically Derek Carr of last year with an offense that doesn't put the ball on the ground as much and has a defense that is better at taking it away. They're +6 in turnovers and the defense ranks 8th in takeaways. That's typically how you win more one score games than not.
 
Cousins has 2 extreme outlier games, and a third well above the rest bolstering his stats. Right now, he's basically Derek Carr of last year with an offense that doesn't put the ball on the ground as much and has a defense that is better at taking it away. They're +6 in turnovers and the defense ranks 8th in takeaways. That's typically how you win more one score games than not.
That same defense which ranks 31st in yards allowed and 28th in scoring allowed? Turnovers are more luck than skill. Stats are skill. Even Cousins is averaging less than a pick a game, that helps the margin.

Cousins is leading a passing offense sitting at #6 in the league in yardage and #7 in scoring...with the 28th-ranked rushing attack. Believe he has 8 game-winning drives this season as well. Those were Carr's numbers last season?
 
He's not a bad quarterback. Not elite by any stretch, but serviceable, and can get you to the playoffs. He can't cover all of the warts on that franchise, though. I can think of a few franchises that he'd fit well with. New England, Tennessee, both New York teams, etc.

The Raiders have to be looking at a pretty substantial rebuild. Davante Adams isn't going anywhere for at least another year, and they'd be upside down in dead money if they cut Chandler Jones, but beyond that there aren't many players of worth that are untouchable.
Don’t disagree… but at one point a couple years ago there was an analysis of his passes. As of then he had the shortest average yard per pass attempt, and by a huge margin. He also passed a lot so was racking up yardage almost only based on screen, slant, and short out routes. Not sure if that’s changed since then.
 
That same defense which ranks 31st in yards allowed and 28th in scoring allowed? Turnovers are more luck than skill. Stats are skill. Even Cousins is averaging less than a pick a game, that helps the margin.

Cousins is leading a passing offense sitting at #6 in the league in yardage and #7 in scoring...with the 28th-ranked rushing attack. Believe he has 8 game-winning drives this season as well. Those were Carr's numbers last season?
But turnovers are often the difference between playoffs or the coach getting firwd.

Actually they're pretty close. Carr in 20221 4800/26/14 with no one close to JJ on his team. Took fewer sacks. 28th ranked rushing attack. Bottom third defense. Fewer takeaways by his defense and a -9 TO differential. Offense scored 3 fewer points per game and defense gave up about a half point more.

So yes, Cousins is basically 2021 Derek Carr with the addition of an all-world receiver and more opportunistic defense.

Carr this year has the NFL's leading rusher, a top 5 receiver, score more per game, give up less than last year but still are negative in the TO department. Carr really isn't any worse than last year but the defense has failed them at some of the worst times and coaching hasn't done him a ton of favors. Consequently he's benched cause Raiders gonna Raider.
 
But turnovers are often the difference between playoffs or the coach getting firwd.

Actually they're pretty close. Carr in 20221 4800/26/14 with no one close to JJ on his team. Took fewer sacks. 28th ranked rushing attack. Bottom third defense. Fewer takeaways by his defense and a -9 TO differential. Offense scored 3 fewer points per game and defense gave up about a half point more.

So yes, Cousins is basically 2021 Derek Carr with the addition of an all-world receiver and more opportunistic defense.

Carr this year has the NFL's leading rusher, a top 5 receiver, score more per game, give up less than last year but still are negative in the TO department. Carr really isn't any worse than last year but the defense has failed them at some of the worst times and coaching hasn't done him a ton of favors. Consequently he's benched cause Raiders gonna Raider.
Mark Davis will probably sign Johnny Manziel
 

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