***Official 2022 Weather Thread***
- Thread starter wxman1
- Start date
KidSilverhair
Well-Known Member
This is what they say *now.* They didn’t used to. And the particular forecasts I’m talking about from several years ago were pretty definite on the impacts from the TV guys, didn’t pan out (which I understand, weather forecasting is hard), and then were immediately forgotten by the same TV guys … who might have earned some understanding and goodwill from the viewers by explaining why their forecast was wrong.
I do appreciate the way forecasts get presented now, they do seem to outline the variances and possibilities of shifting storm tracks more than they used to. I’m not blaming the forecasters for not having the exact temperature/precipitation/storm forecast exactly right every time, I know in massive airmass systems everything is always a moving target … I just would have appreciated a mention the next day of, “I know this is what we said would happen, here’s why it didn’t.”
But by all means, continue the pile-on, I just got back from a week in Florida, so there.
**** no. I'm 36. I don't have time for broken bones.
People aren't good at evaluating information or thinking in probabilities, and we're biased toward what's right in front of our face. And then there's anchoring, where people fixate on the first thing they hear, even if it's wrong or ends up changing with further information, and every future event is evaluated against that first thing.
Figuring out how to cut through all that psychological stuff has implications far beyond weather forecasting.
We are all going to be dead in 10 days....
You need to change your CF name...and don't forget the kids.
Mowing is fine, it's the trimming that sucks
Nailed it for Fri - Sun (18th - 20th) but cold as heck next week so definitely not above normal temps to end the month for Iowa.
