Iowa State is favored by nine over Kansas State

I expect that we get a lead, then play loose defense and let K State back in, then get a lead, then let them back in. Game will come down to the last possession. We couldn't put Baylor away, no reason to believe we can with K State. But then that's just my guess, not willing to put money on it.
 
K-State could bring their practice squad to Ames and I'd expect it to be close late in the 4th quarter.

Having said that, I think we'll win 24-21. But no way we cover 9 points.
 
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Two trends I don't like here. ISUs recent history against K-State and the tendency of Campbells teams to fade down the stretch. Let's hope we can overcome these and kick their butts, but I certainly wouldn't bet on it.
And KSUs special teams tend to be solid
 
So if K-State gets the opening kickoff and scores on the first possession we can't win? That's silly and wrong.

Not to mention the only time we've beaten KSU the last 10 years we were down 17 in the fourth quarter.

Without looking it up, i'd venture that we had early leads in all the games we lost during this last 10 years (minus the CPR beatdown)