NO FANS AT CYCLONE GAMES?

Oh, you're serious... OK well for starters. One is inside and has recirculated air for ventilation. It's cold outside where COVID-19 lives longer on surfaces. Your immune system is weaker in winter months than during the summer. Should I go on?

https://www.rochesterregional.org/news/2020/05/coronavirus-spread-outside

"Researchers from Harvard Medical School, MIT, and other institutions found a reduction of coronavirus transmission in average temperatures above 77 degrees. The study found that each additional 1.8-degree increase in temperature resulted in an additional 3.1% reduction in the virus's reproduction number (called R-naught, the average number of new infections caused by one infected person)."

That said, the virus can still spread outside, but it's incredibly more safe. Same reason why the flu is much less of an issue in the summer vs colder months

Sorry, are you saying that there wouldn't be fans at MBB, or that the season wouldn't happen? I thought you were saying that you thought they would cancel the MBB season if there are no fans at football games.

I'm well aware of the reasons why being outside in warmer weather reduces your chances of contracting COVID based on everything we know regarding transmission.
 
unless you all got tested you have no idea who had no symptoms and potentially gave it to others.

there’s still such ignorance around this.


And those tests would be worthless a day after having been taken, because you could have been exposed in the intervening time.
 
Iowa State could absolutely survive a year of not having gate revenue. Priorities will be reevaluated and certain projects on the horizon will certainly be delayed but it would by no means bury the athletic department. We are lucky to have JP during these times.
I found the 2018 ISU Athletics revenue (income) statement. This is for all sports. The numbers, rounded to the nearest 1M, in order were:
Media Rights 28M, contributions 21M, ticket Sales 16 M, NCAA and Conference Distributions 12M, other 4M, student fees, parking and concessions, licensing all 2M and Bowl game 1M.
 
So, I was hoping someone would bring that up and it is a good point, but it doesn't hold water when you are talking about such a relatively small amount of the total.

People are talking about cutting programs because of a loss of revenue. There are more than enough available funds in the 1.3 billion to squeeze out a year of athletics at ISU. They have enough available resources to fund both for a year if they need to.

Athletics is a roughly $90 million dollar budget. If you think they're going to give up ~7% of the endowment to fund athletics, I'm not sure what to tell you.

I'm not even sure the endowment is that high. It was $1.1B at the close of last fiscal year and the market is roughly in the same place today. So that ~7% is more like 8%.

Now, if there truly are no athletics in 2020-21, some sizable chunk of expenses also vanish for the year, which reduces the burden. No travel costs, no gameday operations costs, etc. So the real dollar amount is less than $90M. Still, are they going to give up, say, 4% of the endowment to pay Matt Campbell and Steve Prohm not to coach? Of course not.

I don't know what percentage of the endowment is locked in due to donor restrictions, but I'm guessing you don't either. It's just not as simple as looking at a large dollar amount and saying "there's enough there." Nor does any of this address whatever shortfalls there might be on the (much, much, much larger) academic and research side of the university.
 
I read the other day a doctor with the CDC saying that a vaccine was at least a year away. So for the next year at least this virus is going to be affecting our day to day lives.
How much it affects us will vary from person to person and from job to job, but its still going to be there until they come up with a vaccine.
If they play the games this fall without fans, at least ISU will be getting their share of the TV revenue, which should be enough to get them through the year with other cost savings measures.
I don't like it, but if we can at least watch the games on TV, then we will have something.
We have purchased our 4 season tickets for FB, right now we are on the fence about actually going to the games or rolling those seats over for the 2021 season. A lot will depend on the next 75 days.


At the end you are correct. It's way too soon to make a decision for 2 months from now. We need to proceed as if football is happening with Jamie's plan for reduced capacity. Contracts will for sure have clauses on stuff like food and drinks that can be voided if fans aren't allowed. Un-elected county officials luckily don't have the final say
 
You keep framing this in terms of personal risk, when this is about community risk. When someone at low risk attends the game and gets infected, they may not die or be seriously affected, but when they go to other places, essential places like the grocery store, people who didnt attend the game are affected by those poor choices. You're looking at things in an inherently selfish way.

What 'can't be argued' is that the health experts are saying having fans is a bad idea. The science is pretty clear on this.

I agree with everything you're saying here. But the reality is, there will be football in the fall. There will probably be fans. The cases are going to explode in the fall when students come back already. For the record I'm not sure I'll be in the stands in the fall if fans are allowed.
 
Sorry, are you saying that there wouldn't be fans at MBB, or that the season wouldn't happen? I thought you were saying that you thought they would cancel the MBB season if there are no fans at football games.

I'm well aware of the reasons why being outside in warmer weather reduces your chances of contracting COVID based on everything we know regarding transmission.

My apologies for any confusion. This is why real conversations need to happen in person. But I was speaking about fans. However, I think an argument could be made to cancel basketball again if we aren't comfortable with having some crowd at outdoor football games
 
Sorry, are you saying that there wouldn't be fans at MBB, or that the season wouldn't happen? I thought you were saying that you thought they would cancel the MBB season if there are no fans at football games.

I'm well aware of the reasons why being outside in warmer weather reduces your chances of contracting COVID based on everything we know regarding transmission.
It would appear any benefits of heat are more than offset by people’s actions - at least based on Florida, Texas and Arizona (hot places). I might be wrong, but I think the models used a 2% drop in cases, per one degree centigrade (1.8F) temperature increase. I assume that was based upon some prior history. Hard to tell if that is true as we have changed a lot of other variables. But outdoors definitely better than indoors.
 
Iowa State could absolutely survive a year of not having gate revenue. Priorities will be reevaluated and certain projects on the horizon will certainly be delayed but it would by no means bury the athletic department. We are lucky to have JP during these times.

Cyclone Sports Properties will have to adjust their strategy..instead of someone winning chic fil a for a year....it'll be convincing them to pony up to "save the cyclones" lol
 
So you think, after a single year of having no fans, that ISU would violate Title IX and cancel all non-revenue generating sports, which is everything other than MBB and Football?

This is a bit crazy.

Yeah, you have to have 14 sports to be D1. I could see us cutting some though and it would 100% be the right move.
 
Athletics is a roughly $90 million dollar budget. If you think they're going to give up ~7% of the endowment to fund athletics, I'm not sure what to tell you.

I'm not even sure the endowment is that high. It was $1.1B at the close of last fiscal year and the market is roughly in the same place today. So that ~7% is more like 8%.

Now, if there truly are no athletics in 2020-21, some sizable chunk of expenses also vanish for the year, which reduces the burden. No travel costs, no gameday operations costs, etc. So the real dollar amount is less than $90M. Still, are they going to give up, say, 4% of the endowment to pay Matt Campbell and Steve Prohm not to coach? Of course not.

I don't know what percentage of the endowment is locked in due to donor restrictions, but I'm guessing you don't either. It's just not as simple as looking at a large dollar amount and saying "there's enough there." Nor does any of this address whatever shortfalls there might be on the (much, much, much larger) academic and research side of the university.

It is interesting to think about the endowment and unrestricted funds in the endowment. I think some of it should be invaded for purposes of the University and trying to maintain programs and budges, but probably not for athletic purposes. In my opinion this is an appropriate time to use a portion of the endowment, particularly given the loss of some on-campus housing revenue, apparent decrease in enrollment which will be coming and loss of events and conferences which surprisingly bring-in a significant amount of good rental and other revenue to the University. I hope universities and colleges all across the country are considering this right now.
 
My apologies for any confusion. This is why real conversations need to happen in person. But I was speaking about fans. However, I think an argument could be made to cancel basketball again if we aren't comfortable with having some crowd at outdoor football games

I mean, I completely agree, if they don't allow fans at the football games, I don't see how you can justify having fans at the basketball games either, because by any measure it's more dangerous indoors for hours at a time.

Perhaps the medical experts would be slightly more comfortable if you reduced capacity and required masks for everyone at all times -- because then you're reducing the chances of a big outbreak by a lot, which is the concern with crowds. However, it's incredibly naive to think that people would follow a mask order for a football game (they won't), and that ISU could reasonably enforce it.

I'm not sure if the data is out yet regarding crowds inside wearing masks for long periods.. it'd be great if it was as effective, but I'm not sure we know yet.
 
COVID cases don't matter. Hospitalizations, patients admitted, LTC facility outbreaks matter. Staying home and banning large gatherings was intended to not overwhelm the healthcare system. We accomplished that. Look at the data. We have incredible capacity in Iowa for patients.

View attachment 72953

https://coronavirus.iowa.gov/pages/rmcc-data

We accomplished that in one wave, yes. Now we will simultaneously be having 60k descend back on a community and live in close quarters, partying and going to bars. (While we're throwing around anecdotal evidence, I can tell you how the patio looks every weekend at AJ's Ultra Lounge.) The same students will be interacting with the community; they don't live in a bubble. They interact with people who interact with people - and not all healthcare workers are wearing masks when out in the public. So you take the same population and introduce mass sporting events in close quarters, and think that the 17 ICU beds in all of Story County will handle a huge upsurge?

And again, you're totally just avoiding the economics discussed in a verified study. Analogously - do you think it will be cheaper for ISU Athletics if there's a huge outbreak due to a football game and they get sued by thousands of fans, players, and workers? And all of this is for a grossly reduced attendance with the current plan - donors have already donated.

No, I just won't be going to football games to care for a newborn who I want to protect. I will still go shopping for food, get a haircut, go to work when it re-opends (supossed to be July), and go out to eat.

View attachment 72955

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109867/coronavirus-death-rates-by-age-new-york-city/

https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page

Here is data from the hardest hit areas of our country. Us young people need to move on. Unfortunately, I won;t get to introduce my kid to his/her great grandparents for awhile because we want to protect them. But our life will move on to a new normal

...You do realize that the entire city of NYC closed down, right? And most of it is still closed? If everyone 45 and younger lived in a bubble, great - but we don't. It's incredibly selfish thinking. "We'll be fine, so just do it anyway!"
 
Cyclone Sports Properties will have to adjust their strategy..instead of someone winning chic fil a for a year....it'll be convincing them to pony up to "save the cyclones" lol

It may be time for an ASPCA style commercial with Brock begging for donations and Sarah McLachlan playing the background.
 
Yeah, you have to have 14 sports to be D1. I could see us cutting some though and it would 100% be the right move.

The problem is what mens sport can Iowa State cut to remain in compliance with title IX?
 
Athletics is a roughly $90 million dollar budget. If you think they're going to give up ~7% of the endowment to fund athletics, I'm not sure what to tell you.

I'm not even sure the endowment is that high. It was $1.1B at the close of last fiscal year and the market is roughly in the same place today. So that ~7% is more like 8%.

Now, if there truly are no athletics in 2020-21, some sizable chunk of expenses also vanish for the year, which reduces the burden. No travel costs, no gameday operations costs, etc. So the real dollar amount is less than $90M. Still, are they going to give up, say, 4% of the endowment to pay Matt Campbell and Steve Prohm not to coach? Of course not.

I don't know what percentage of the endowment is locked in due to donor restrictions, but I'm guessing you don't either. It's just not as simple as looking at a large dollar amount and saying "there's enough there." Nor does any of this address whatever shortfalls there might be on the (much, much, much larger) academic and research side of the university.

The idea that the Foundation money would be used to support athletics is just absurd.
 
I agree with everything you're saying here. But the reality is, there will be football in the fall. There will probably be fans. The cases are going to explode in the fall when students come back already. For the record I'm not sure I'll be in the stands in the fall if fans are allowed.

I think, realistically, there will be football and fans. The right move for ISU would be to hold all classes virtually, but they are refusing (currently) to make that call because they fear it will affect tuition income. They're making decisions entirely fiscally currently. Which I understand, but find irresponsible.
 

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