S&P 500 is now only 20% down from all-time highs in Mid-Feb. Was -40% plus only 2 weeks ago
What suggests it will get that low? I anticipate this will bounce back faster as a lot of the losses aren’t really losses but more pauses.Peak this week and then head down below 18k again. Possibly mid 15 range per several people I follow.
S&P 500 is now only 20% down from all-time highs in Mid-Feb. Was -40% plus only 2 weeks ago
If the curve does flatten, at what point do politicians get pressured to open this thing back up?
This is a massive election year and politicians won't win many votes by keeping people unemployed
It won't be a complete open up, but a gradual. The businesses that just got shut down....will be the first to open up. The first things to get shuttered (like schools and care centers) will be the last to be back up and going.
I think you will see the curve flatten and start dropping and then a timeframe of like two weeks out will be set.
Agree it should be slow. But political pressure I feel will be loud. I'm most worried about a big spike if we do open up and it ruins the summer
What suggests it will get that low? I anticipate this will bounce back faster as a lot of the losses aren’t really losses but more pauses.
But is that at all because of some actual economic change. Assuming we get back to a more normal society in May jobs will recover. It’s going to be rough but the news is coming out that we are closer to the peak than the market thought. Do I expect the market to be back to it’s all time highs in the next month absolutely not but o think there is one smaller drop left and then it will be a slow path back as we start to restart the economy.There is a massive recession just starting? This is a shock right now, but we have 15% unemployment right now and Q2/Q3 earnings are going to be a bloodbath.
If the curve does flatten, at what point do politicians get pressured to open this thing back up?
This is a massive election year and politicians won't win many votes by keeping people unemployed
I still think it will be a while, at least mid may. If you go too early, it is just going to spike again. People are going to be gun shy about being around others for a long time.
Dow will open up at 23,500. It's like this is totally decoupled from reality.