I have Nova going quite a ways - E8 or even F4, even though I don't tend to trust 6 seeds for deep runs (*hope ISU proves me wrong there*) --
It's a gut feeling, it appears Villanova started to get in sync later in the season, maybe gravitating a little toward its preseason projection.
I thought I heard yesterday that no defending national champion (Villanova) has made it past the Sweet 16 the year after they won the title. But I might be wrong.