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I think that the playoff will eventually get to 8 teams. It will just take a while until some of the other P5 conferences get left out. Big 12 last year, PAC 12 this year, next year, hopefully another conference. Once other conferences get on the bandwagon, it will change. I think when a Big 10 team or SEC team gets left out, thats when you will see the change.
If it does go to 8 teams, the first round needs to be held prior to bowl season in the home stadium of the higher seeded team.
The expenses for these things would become outrageous.
Now that the rankings are finalized, I was curious what the 8-team playoff would have looked like this year.
I think it will get from 4 to 8 before too long. Whether that means that Power 5 champions get automatically in, or if the Group of 5 gets a spot reserved, I don't know. But here is how I would do it: The quarterfinal round game would be played on the campuses of the top 4 seeds. The winners would advance into two semifinal bowl games, and the losers would be placed into two bowl games that were held open for them.
This year it would be:
#8 Notre Dame @ #1 Clemson*
#7 Ohio State @ #2 Alabama
#6 Stanford @ #3 Michigan State
#5 Iowa @ #4 Oklahoma
*I could see a world where the committee is instructed to avoid rematches. In this case, Notre Dame moves to #7 to play Alabama while Ohio State would be shifted to #8 to go to Clemson.
The four winners would advance to the Cotton and Orange Bowls to play in the semifinals. The four losers would get placed into two bowls that would be open (Rose, Sugar, Fiesta, or Peach) and the committee would pair them up to avoid rematches, match good match-ups, whatever (i.e. if the Rose were one of those games and Michigan State, Ohio State, Iowa, or Stanford lost, they'd have a good shot at ending up there; same with Oklahoma and Alabama and the Sugar Bowl).
For now we just have to bide our time until the Big Ten or the SEC gets left out of the playoff as I think that will be the biggest catalyst to move to 8 teams. Follow the money... So far, two of the Power 5 conferences have been left out in two years. It can't be that much longer.
I predict it will be 8 teams within less than a decade.
I'd like to see an 8 team playoff under the following conditions. Four mega conferences with 18 teams each. Team #1 and #2 from each conference placed into opposite sides of an 8 team bracket (doesn't have to be division winners or conference champions). In this scenario Notre Dame would take an ACC spot if still "independent".
Pros
- Every conference get 2 teams in the playoff
- Rematches from the regular season are unlikely to happen until the championship game.
- No rematches in the conference championship games. (each division of 9 teams plays 8 division games and 4 out of conference games).
Did I mention that I hate watching college football rematches?
4 mega conferences, conference championship game is first round essentially, 4 conference champs play in a playoff. Seeding for playoff is pre determined by conference before the season begins, and play ball.
take the human element out of it, the committee is total garbage and needs to go.
It's so easy. 8 teams, each P5 conference gets their champ in. 3 at large bids. Those 3 at large bids take care of an upset in the conference championship, a lower conference team going undefeated, or a conference that has two really good teams. At the very least you're making the committee only pick 3 teams instead of 4 and then they can seed it how they see fit. Have the first round kick off bowl season to get interest up. The semis can be on NYE or New Year's Day and the championship on the Monday that it is. There's absolutely no reason any P5 team should be left out with only 4 spots as it is now.
If it does go to 8 teams, the first round needs to be held prior to bowl season in the home stadium of the higher seeded team.
The expenses for these things would become outrageous.
1 million percent agree. 8 divisions with roughly equal numbers of teams in each division (8, 9, or even 10 teams). Winner of each division gets a seat at the playoff table. Those 8 divisions could be part of 4 mega conferences and the first round is the conf champ game, as you suggest.
BCS computers, mysterious committees, anything else is rigged or riggable. This way, its all decided on the field.
4 teams...........otherwise what do the conference championship games really accomplish??
Why stop at 8? Why not go to 24 teams like the FCS division??