Rutgers 2011 Results

Cycsk

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Aug 17, 2009
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What can we tell from the Rutgers 2011 results:

Won 48-0 v. North Carolina Central
Lost 22-24 at North Carolina
Won 38-26 v. Ohio
Won 19-16 in 2OT at Syracuse
Won 34-10 v. Pitt
Won 21-20 v. Navy
Lost 14-16 at Louisville
Lost 31-41 v. West Virginia
Won 20-17 in OT v. South Florida
Won 27-12 at Army
Won 20-3 v. Cincinnati
Lost 22-40 at Connecticut

The most obvious comparison is with both of us playing at Connecticut. How do you think we would have done at Connecticut at the end of the season? I think we would have destroyed them once our defense really got ramped up.
 
They played the best of the BE very close. Kinda of like us playing the best of the B12 close.


However, B12 >>>> BE, so ISU >>>> Rutgers.

Perhaps the biggest difference is seen in the scores of our losses. We got blown out by Texas and Missouri. They didn't get blown out by anyone. Their worst point loss was in last game against UConn. They played close in losses to other bowl teams such as North Carolina, Louisville, and West Virginia.
 
FYI, Rutgers fans called that UConn game their version of our Missouri game. Can't compare results that easily.
 
FYI, Rutgers fans called that UConn game their version of our Missouri game. Can't compare results that easily.


I know, but I just wanted to spend some time thinking about who they have played and how they did.

Did they have any games against teams who were Top 10 at the time they played?

When I look at their schedule, I really see our #2 toughest schedule in the country. Man, did we have a tough schedule!
 
I honestly think we do really well with that schedule. As good, if not better than Rutgers.


The toughest games would be @ North Carolina, @ Louisville, v. West Virginia, v. Cincinnati. I could see us winning at least two of them. If we lost one of the others, then we would be 9-3 with their schedule.
 
However, B12 >>>> BE, so ISU >>>> Rutgers.

Perhaps the biggest difference is seen in the scores of our losses. We got blown out by Texas and Missouri. They didn't get blown out by anyone. Their worst point loss was in last game against UConn. They played close in losses to other bowl teams such as North Carolina, Louisville, and West Virginia.

According to the Sagarin rankings ISU and Rutgers are similar (43 vs 49). If their season is any indicator this game will be close. We will have to play well to win.
 
According to the Sagarin rankings ISU and Rutgers are similar (43 vs 49). If their season is any indicator this game will be close. We will have to play well to win.

? Iowa is 43. ISU is 29. 21 in the BCS component.
 
According to the Sagarin rankings ISU and Rutgers are similar (43 vs 49). If their season is any indicator this game will be close. We will have to play well to win.
? Iowa is 43. ISU is 29. 21 in the BCS component.

My eyes playing tricks on me. Must have blended reading Iowa and Ohio State above them.

Anyway the predictor rating has them close ISU at 47 and RU at 44.
 
According to the Sagarin rankings ISU and Rutgers are similar (43 vs 49). If their season is any indicator this game will be close. We will have to play well to win.



Don't know how all this works, but I have to think our big losses really hurt us. Rutgers only loss over 10 points was the last game at UConn (lost by 18). We lost to Texas by 23, Baylor by 23, Missouri by 35, A&M by 16, and Oklahoma by 20.
 
sorry but the Big East is a joke. ISU goes 9-3 at worst with that schedule, and more than likely 10-2 or 11-1 with a small chance at going undefeated. Im not saying that because i think ISU is really really good or anything, its more about how bad the big east was this year. Does ANY team on that schedule scare you?? I honestly think any team in the big 12, other than kansas and texas tech, would have had a legit shot at winning the big east this year.
 
Don't know how all this works, but I have to think our big losses really hurt us. Rutgers only loss over 10 points was the last game at UConn (lost by 18). We lost to Texas by 23, Baylor by 23, Missouri by 35, A&M by 16, and Oklahoma by 20.

As in the previous post I made a goof. But the margin of victory does hurt ISU that is why the Predictor is close since that takes in account the MOV. However the ELO-Chess only takes in account victories which has us rated high. We are ranked 21 there. So basically it shows us our wins are of higher quality than RU but the butt kickings brings us down. However the way we finished the season which gets over looked is probably a better indicator of the team.
 
Don't know how all this works, but I have to think our big losses really hurt us. Rutgers only loss over 10 points was the last game at UConn (lost by 18). We lost to Texas by 23, Baylor by 23, Missouri by 35, A&M by 16, and Oklahoma by 20.
And all of those but Missouri were top 25 teams when we played them. Rutgers has only played one top 25 team (WV @ home) and lost by 10. Texas, Baylor, A&M at the time, and Oklahoma are all better teams than WV has been this year.
 
Rutgers at home is no picnic. They destroyed Pitt at home, something that our closely defeated little sisters in I.C. couldn't come close to doing (reminder: they were getting blown out, became the one-time anti-O'Keefe, and narrowly won).

Is Pitt any good? Obviously no.

Is UConn? Also, no. That is a terrible, mistake prone game to end a season on. We can hope that the mistakes of that game sort of fester into overcorrection for them, but with Schiano, I would not count on that.

Our effort at UConn was obviously superior, but we all need to keep in mind that UConn is a thug dumpster. Not a festive, good-natured place to play. So we played ugly and won, and Rutgers played very ugly and lost.

The problem is that UConn's defensive line had the skill to hold the run and produce sacks. That's the one part of UConn that is superior to our counterpart.

In other words, we may not be able to do to Rutgers what UConn could. Our defense may have to beat them at their strength (WR) not at their weakness (line).

Turnovers have been timely this year, when they've come for us, but I would not say that we are exactly proficient at winning the turnover battle! Not like UConn is.

UConn is interesting in that their offense is so anemic, even though the defense tends to get lots of turnovers and forceouts.

So, as well as UConn played Rutgers, we won't (necessarily) be able to follow that same map toward success: that map emphasized areas that are away from, not within, our defensive strengths.