Retirement Targets

I'm almost 50
My house will be paid off in 5 years. No other debt
I'd like to have 80% of my current income in retirement not counting SS or Pension
4% withdrawal rate
6% average return
I'll hit my magic number when I'm 62
Markets have been doing great the last year to year and a half so trust most remain on their targets? I have to admit the returns over the last 18 months are much better than I expected.
I'm now leaning towards 60 instead of 62. The returns have been great but inflation and 0% savings rates are concerning. Being 80% in stocks in early 50's is also concerning.
 
Interesting there has been 0 real discussion among both sides about reducing Medicare age to 60. Would be a boon to those around that age and for the younger folks who would take the jobs and move on up. Of course we find it hard to have enough employees as it is now I guess.

Who would squawk if say Medicare age was reduced to 60 but everyone, including employers had to pay 1% more in to help cover the cost? I don't know what the real % would need to be, maybe its astronomical.

Moving medicare to 60 would mean I retire on that day. Healthcare is my biggest issue or I could retire at 55 1/2 when you could start to pull from your IRA's.
 
Net worth up 44.53% this year. Huge year with respect to S&P 500 and home appreciation in a HCOL area.

I'm not sure how much of it will be wiped out by inflation and I'm extremely illiquid right now, but it's nice to see on paper that I could quite my job, sell my house, and move to SE Asia never to be heard from again.
 
Net worth up 44.53% this year. Huge year with respect to S&P 500 and home appreciation in a HCOL area.

I'm not sure how much of it will be wiped out by inflation and I'm extremely illiquid right now, but it's nice to see on paper that I could quite my job, sell my house, and move to SE Asia never to be heard from again.

 
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Eligibility for Medicare will determine when I retire.

Financially, my spouse and I have 100K+ incomes in our twenties. We have monthly budget meetings and live far below our means

Last January when I ran a model. We would have plenty for retirement by 58. But 6 years of private insurance before Medicare would not make that possible
 
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Eligibility for Medicare will determine when I retire.

Financially, my spouse and I have 100K+ incomes in our twenties. We have monthly budget meetings and live far below our means

Last January when I ran a model. We would have plenty for retirement by 58. But 6 years of private insurance before Medicare would not make that possible
Huh ? How much do you think it will cost? What do you estimate it is now?
 
Huh ? How much do you think it will cost? What do you estimate it is now?

At the rate of medical inflation, unknowns with our health status and just pure uncertainty in the future. I haven't been able to put an exact dollar amount on it.

But amassing 7 figure net worth by 58, to bleed a lot of it away before Medicare doesn't sound fun.

I've got 30 years to figure out that number before it really matters
 
At the rate of medical inflation, unknowns with our health status and just pure uncertainty in the future. I haven't been able to put an exact dollar amount on it.

But amassing 7 figure net worth by 58, to bleed a lot of it away before Medicare doesn't sound fun.

I've got 30 years to figure out that number before it really matters
Honestly, if you both make 100k+ per year and live within your means, you should be 8 figure before then. Work until you are 59.5 and pull from retirement funds. Use a high deductible and you should be fine. The plan for me and 3 kids (I’m 50) is 2k/month and that is maxing out my deductible into a flex plan
 
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At the rate of medical inflation, unknowns with our health status and just pure uncertainty in the future. I haven't been able to put an exact dollar amount on it.

But amassing 7 figure net worth by 58, to bleed a lot of it away before Medicare doesn't sound fun.

I've got 30 years to figure out that number before it really matters

I mean, hypothetically one of you could retire and/or you you could both 'soft' retire to a much less stressful job at that point just for the discounted health insurance alone.
 
That'd be the goal. Time will tell

With the numbers you just gave, 6 years of self funding medical care will be a rounding error in your net worth. If you start an HSA at age 29, and you each fund it with $3650/year for 29 years until age 58, you'll have $1.2million in there with a 10% return.
 
At the rate of medical inflation, unknowns with our health status and just pure uncertainty in the future. I haven't been able to put an exact dollar amount on it.

But amassing 7 figure net worth by 58, to bleed a lot of it away before Medicare doesn't sound fun.

I've got 30 years to figure out that number before it really matters

Yeah, I made like $25k/year and my wife made $20k/year my first year out of college. You'll be just fine as far as savings if you keep it up. With that said, I can't speak for what the rest of the world will be like in 30 years.
 
Eligibility for Medicare will determine when I retire.

Financially, my spouse and I have 100K+ incomes in our twenties. We have monthly budget meetings and live far below our means

Last January when I ran a model. We would have plenty for retirement by 58. But 6 years of private insurance before Medicare would not make that possible

What if you have 6 children though!
 
Markets have been doing great the last year to year and a half so trust most remain on their targets? I have to admit the returns over the last 18 months are much better than I expected.

The market flourished from deficit government spending. It's a recipe for an eventual crash.
 
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I am 15% cash, buying before open tomorrow. 62 years old need 200K more to feel comfortable. In my mind. No way am I set yet.
 
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Interesting there has been 0 real discussion among both sides about reducing Medicare age to 60. Would be a boon to those around that age and for the younger folks who would take the jobs and move on up. Of course we find it hard to have enough employees as it is now I guess.

Who would squawk if say Medicare age was reduced to 60 but everyone, including employers had to pay 1% more in to help cover the cost? I don't know what the real % would need to be, maybe its astronomical.
I hate this idea