Realignment Megathread (All The Moves)

Gunnerclone

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Agreed. I don't see ESPN turning down additional inventory. If only to prevent it from going somewhere else.

This is the difference with the SEC and B10. They have a partnership with their “partners”. Big 12, ACC, Pac12 we are dogs at the water bowl they put out in front of their HQs.
 
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Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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Seriously, where are your receipts? Because you are the one saying all these things can happen.
I'm completely guessing, just like you. ;) I'd love to see the contract so I know exactly whats in it.
Maybe go do some reading on how contracts work.
Agreed. Link?
No one said that ESPN would refuse to broadcast the new content. They would absolutely broadcast it. They just may not pay more for it. It depends on if they have a pro rata clause for additions. Most likely they do. otherwise it would be just like our current deal, where the money for new members comes out of the total pot, and reduces everyone elses share.
So the SEC is going to expand and give ESPN free inventory. LMAO.
We don't know the pro rata details becuase we don't know the contract. It is anyone's guess as to what might or might not happen.
ESPN would still own the content unless their is an escalator for another media partner. No one has ever said there was such an escalator for the SEC. It is very unlikely that ESPN would agree to such an escalator that would allow for other media members to gain access to their exclusive rights. At most they would have agreed to a pro rata increase.
Once again, anyone's guess without seeing the contract.
 
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Gunnerclone

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I'm completely guessing, just like you. ;) I'd love to see the contract so I know exactly whats in it.

Agreed. Link?

So the SEC is going to expand and give ESPN free inventory. LMAO.
We don't know the pro rata details becuase we don't know the contract. It is anyone's guess as to what might or might not happen.

Once again, anyone's guess without seeing the contract.

It would be some sad sack conference lawyers that didn’t put in an expansion contingency clause.

It would be sad sack corporate lawyers if they didn’t put in clauses in case of conference retraction.
 
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isucy86

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Dissolution is extremely unlikely. All espn has to do is say we won’t be paying the SEC an increased rate to add the schools. Then ESPN maintains all the rights without increasing costs. They would literally be bidding against themselves to increase spending and get nothing in return. That’s horrific business

But what would ESPN rather have:
  1. An annual ACC investment of $250M plus cost of operations/production of ACCN. The ACC then splits this 14 ways.
  2. An investment in 4 ACC teams of $250M that join the SEC. Plus, the 14 ACC games currently on ABC each fall can now be used to televise SEC or Big12 games if the ACC dissolves. The ACC dissolving also opens up 16 ESPN/ESPN2 slots for more SEC or Big12 games.
If I'm ESPN and I could add to the SEC: Clemson, Miami, Florida State and Ga Tech (or just about any other current ACC school), I would prefer that option. A pretty solid 20 team SEC.

Obviously for that plan to work, the Big10 & Big12 have to be able to add ACC teams and keep their current per school payouts. That's why ND would be a big catch for the Big10.
 
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2speedy1

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I'm completely guessing, just like you. ;) I'd love to see the contract so I know exactly whats in it.

Agreed. Link?

So the SEC is going to expand and give ESPN free inventory. LMAO.
We don't know the pro rata details becuase we don't know the contract. It is anyone's guess as to what might or might not happen.

Once again, anyone's guess without seeing the contract.
Thats fine believe what you want. The issue is you are so far into lala land guessing things that no one in their right mind would agree to.

The rest are going by actual contracts and how they work. In most everything.

I mean I can guess that Amazon is going to pick up any new adds to the Big 12 for $10 Billion dollars a year too. And then anyone that disagrees because that is just insane, I can tell them to bring links and receipts too. And say Im just as right for guessing that as anyone else, because they cant prove me wrong with links.

Dude you are so far off in space and your argument that others bring proof is just insane. You are the one that should be bringing links and receipts. Here I will give you a start. www.google.com There is your link, because none of what you are guessing is based in reality.
 

2speedy1

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But what would ESPN rather have:
  1. An annual ACC investment of $250M plus cost of operations/production of ACCN. The ACC then splits this 14 ways.
  2. An investment in 4 ACC teams of $250M that join the SEC. Plus, the 14 ACC games currently on ABC each fall can now be used to televise SEC or Big12 games if the ACC dissolves. The ACC dissolving also opens up 16 ESPN/ESPN2 slots for more SEC or Big12 games.
If I'm ESPN and I could add to the SEC: Clemson, Miami, Florida State and Ga Tech (or just about any other current ACC school), I would prefer that option. A pretty solid 20 team SEC.

Obviously for that plan to work, the Big10 & Big12 have to be able to add ACC teams and keep their current per school payouts. That's why ND would be a big catch for the Big10.
Two words..... tortious interference.

 
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Gunnerclone

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But what would ESPN rather have:
  1. An annual ACC investment of $250M plus cost of operations/production of ACCN. The ACC then splits this 14 ways.
  2. An investment in 4 ACC teams of $250M that join the SEC. Plus, the 14 ACC games currently on ABC each fall can now be used to televise SEC or Big12 games if the ACC dissolves. The ACC dissolving also opens up 16 ESPN/ESPN2 slots for more SEC or Big12 games.
If I'm ESPN and I could add to the SEC: Clemson, Miami, Florida State and Ga Tech (or just about any other current ACC school), I would prefer that option. A pretty solid 20 team SEC.

Obviously for that plan to work, the Big10 & Big12 have to be able to add ACC teams and keep their current per school payouts. That's why ND would be a big catch for the Big10.

Also an added benefit of this scenario would probably be a relatively static environment for a decade. Possibly more. No one likes uncertainty.
 

Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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Thats fine believe what you want. The issue is you are so far into lala land guessing things that no one in their right mind would agree to.
Definiently one of the better argument points from you so far.
The rest are going by actual contracts and how they work. In most everything.
Speaking of actual contracts, still waiting on that link.
I mean I can guess that Amazon is going to pick up any new adds to the Big 12 for $10 Billion dollars a year too.

I've heard Amazon won't be a player this go around. Although that was on a recent Pac-12 podcast, so who knows how true that is. If they aren't too keen of the Pac-12 they likely won't care about the Big 12.
And then anyone that disagrees because that is just insane, I can tell them to bring links and receipts too. And say Im just as right for guessing that as anyone else, because they cant prove me wrong with links.
Whatever you feel you need to do is fine by me. :)
Dude you are so far off in space and your argument that others bring proof is just insane. You are the one that should be bringing links and receipts. Here I will give you a start. www.google.com There is your link, because none of what you are guessing is based in reality.

giphy.gif
 
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QBEagles

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He had a chart. I believe it showed media rights $ from media rights consulting company Navigate. It showed media rights $ for ACC vs. SEC between now and 2036. SEC teams will make $600M more than ACC schools. Similarly, he showed ACC vs. Big12 and ACC schools would make $60M more. It looked like ACC deal is back loaded, more money after 2030.

He mentioned all the data was linked to his vlog on YouTube.

BTW I think the Big12 annual amount is $31.7M for the extension.
If it's this estimate it was done before we signed the new deal (and before the LA schools left). We beat that by a bit, and should be right about in line with the ACC projection. CBS/Dodd reported out payout would be around $47M under the new deal, which is line with the "close to $50M" Pollard said at the time. If you give the Big 12 the same bump for the 12-team playoff as the ACC and PAC (about $13M after their yearly increase is taken out) that would put us at $60M average from 2026-2031, which is what the ACC is at if you project them out another couple of years. Could go a few million either way. I'm not surprised the PAC is struggling to match us given they were only $1-2M ahead of that with the LA schools.
 

WhoISthis

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Tough to prove in court. Also, who would be bringing the suit if the ACC dissolves?

tortious interference is long a skill of the networks.

Perhaps speedy means avoiding airing of such past dirty laundry is why ESPN will work to meet the wishes of those seeking to go to P2 while keeping leftovers whole, without damages (thanks to payment from P2 schools, Fox, and conference network growth)

Like the leftovers in the Big 12, schools tend to not go scorched earth against the single most powerful entity in sports if offered anything close to a fair deal.
 
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2speedy1

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Frank the tank? Why not post a link from Mhver3 while you are at it. :D
Read the information dude. It quotes the actual contracts.

You laugh at frank the tank, but Mhver3 makes more sense than you on this stuff.

Hell you want links and I have given you 3 now, where are your receipts that any of what you say has any change in hell.
 

Gorm

With any luck we will be there by Tuesday.
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Read the information dude. It quotes the actual contracts.
Frank the Tank is at the level of Mhver3. I want links to the contract, not some commentary.
You laugh at frank the tank, but Mhver3 makes more sense than you on this stuff.
LMAO
Hell you want links and I have given you 3 now, where are your receipts that any of what you say has any change in hell.
What statement did you want a receipt on? I already said without the actual contract that its all guess work. Which, btw, is the same thing you are doing. ;)
 
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2speedy1

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Huh. Not sure how exactly the Big 12's bylaws explain the ESPN and SEC relationship, but I'll give it a look.
Like i said looking at other contracts gives you an idea how these things are written. And many are written very similar, if not almost carbon copies. But I guess we could go with your purple unicorn scenarios that you can not produce a single relevant link or contract that would allow for or even dream up such things.

You just say oh those links dont make sense, those would be hard to prove in court.

No one would have a claim. Like BC would not have a claim if they are left out. Like the other members would not pull the voting rights of the members leaving immediately just like the b12 did for OuT.

Waiting for your links....
 
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isucy86

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The ACC bylaws almost certainly bar schools with a conflict of interest from voting on a matter. If a school has negotiated a landing spot or a payoff from someone to vote a certain way, that's likely a conflict of interest.

Option 1 would be to find 8 schools willing to blindly leap without a guaranteed spot. Sure, FSU, Clemson, UNC, Miami would likely find a P2 home as long as the networks are willing to put up the cash for it. Are they? We don't know for certain. The B12 would take on ~4 schools if the networks oblige, but which ones? NC State, Louisville, Pitt, Va Tech, GA Tech, Syracuse, Duke? Somebody's getting left out.

Option 2 would be to get everyone on board with dissolving. If everyone agrees to a deal, there's no one to object. Downside is 1 school could stop it cold, and I'm thinking 3-4 might be on the outside of the power conference structure forever with the move. Yes, those same schools would likely end up there in 2036, but that's a ways down a road they're in no hurry to rush down.

Still, why is everyone bending over backwards to accommodate FSU, UNC, etc? They're the only ones that really come out ahead. Everyone else will get there eventually, and for a lot less money in over the next 13 years.
Under the ACC dissolution strategy he laid out, every ACC school would economically win out being in their new conference vs. the ACC. At least through 2036 when the GOR expires.
  • The 6-8 ACC schools going to the Big10 or SEC stand to make $600M more between now and 2036. Plus you have Notre Dame likely going to Big10 if ACC dissolves.
  • The ACC schools going to the Big12 could make more than they currently make in the ACC. Big12 schools will make and average of $31.7 and the ACC deal is below that.
  • ACC schools that join a G5 conference will make less than their current ACC deal, but...
Why wouldn't Clemson, FSU, UNC, etc. each take $600M more over the next 12 years from the SEC/Big10 and turnaround and each give $200M (or whatever the amount is) to make ACC schools left out whole plus a kicker vs. their current ACC deal?

If all 14 ACC schools can be richer than the current ACC TV deal between now & 2036- why not do the deal? Basically, the same logic as the Pac12. Why delay the inevitable and in this case the schools not being invited to the Big10/SEC hold great cards.
 
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