I get it that the Camping World Bowl has first shot at ND. Just still find it hard to believe they don’t somehow sneak into the NY6 with a 10-2 record. A lot of football still to be played. Would think several Big 10 teams still lose a game or two, which could open the door for ND to slip into the Orange Bowl.
Having only the Cotton with an unrestricted at-large bid hurts their odds. The other two bowls with at large spots are semifinals this year.
Fiesta and Peach are for the playoff. No shot for ND there.
Rose & Sugar are contracted to PAC, B1G, Big 12, and SEC.
Orange Bowl is locked into an ACC team on one of their spots. The other spot is whoever is highest ranked between any remaining Big Ten teams or SEC teams or possibly ND. It’s unlikely ND outranks the other options.
Then the Cotton has ONE at large spot. At #16 they’d need a ton of help.
Then best shot after that is the camping World.