NBA Mock Drafts 2026

I don’t know how you replace someone like Jefferson and - if you do - it’s going to cost a lot of money but I think we get a stretch 4 out of the portal and that’s a top 25-ish team next year.

May not have said that a few years ago, but TJ seems to always get the most out of his players. It’s probably time I stop asking “if”‘we’re going to be good next year and start asking “how”.

No, you don't really replace Jefferson. IMO JJ is a late 1st/early 2nd round pick just because he's not an above the rim athlete. He has a nice skill set. Good size, decent shot, some point forward skills...the kind of player who is a 10 year backup in the league.

ISU doesn't need to "replace" him. What they need is someone who can rebound and hit a corner 3. Find a stretch 4 that is a poor man's Jefferson and depend on the other guys improving enough to make up for his loss.
 
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They're already at 12 for next year (technically). Yes yes yes I know changes will occur.

But as of now (assuming Milan leaves to pursue his NBA dreams down to 11) then...

Toure
Batemon
Williams (he's 6'5" he can play the "3")
find some transfer wing or PF
Buchanan
---
hopefully two more "hit" freshmen guards with Gray and Wiggins
Pleta

I would probably want one more experienced guard to round that lineup out.

Quite a young team but with good experience and a ton of talent.

It would be "down" from this year but easily good enough to fight for a spot in March.

I could definitely see Pleta playing PF. They'll definitely be looking for a couple of transfers. One ball handler for sure and probably a wing/PF type. Xzavion Mitchell could be interesting too. I doubt he jumps from bench warmer to contributor, but it kinda seems like he might have a bit of that skillset like Joshua Jefferson. A little bit of ball handling and a decent outside shot.
 
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They need to draft a big, they have a ton of guards and wings.
If Indiana get a top 3 pick, you absolutely have to take one of the big three. Boozer, Peterson and Dybantsa are in their own league in this draft. You can always trade wings and guards, especially on relatively cheap deals like the Pacers have.

If they end up out of the top 3, there are several bigs who fit their center need. Wilson, Quaintence, etc.

If Hali can bounce back to himself after the injury (big if honestly) then it's a good spot for the Pacers honestly. They have much of their core locked up and they can add a big time player in this draft.
 
Toure had a great start but he's hitting a bit of a wall right now I think he comes back next year.

Milan is probably gone imo. His value to the NBA is 3 pt shooting and I don't think he is going to be able to up his percentage much higher by staying
 
I love Jefferson, but he's just not a first round pick.
His combination of size, play making ability and rebounding paired with his defensive skills is a rare combo. The fact that he's improved his outside shot enough to be a real threat outside too. He's definitely played himself into the first round conversation.
 
His combination of size, play making ability and rebounding paired with his defensive skills is a rare combo. The fact that he's improved his outside shot enough to be a real threat outside too. He's definitely played himself into the first round conversation.
He's older, has little upside / untapped potential, and is generally a below the rim player. He is a great playmaker, but no NBA team is running offense through a Jefferson type in 2027 and beyond.

His comparison is a Georges Niang type, with a little better D and rebounding and a worse 3 point shot.

I think he will be a long term bench NBA guy, but no team NEEDS to take a guy like this in the first round.

Happy to be wrong.
 
Toure had a great start but he's hitting a bit of a wall right now I think he comes back next year.

Milan is probably gone imo. His value to the NBA is 3 pt shooting and I don't think he is going to be able to up his percentage much higher by staying
I think the wall Killyan is hitting is because of his knees getting sore. He's already admitted that his knees are junk. He sat out the end of last season at Brewster because of a knee injury and if I had to guess, he was just sore and didn't want it to turn into a bigger issue.

The past 2 games he's looked like he hasn't been moving as freely. I took the last buy game as it not being important enough but he moved the same against West Virginia too. I hope he can make it through the season playing up to the standards that I know he wants to.

The question on Milan I keep asking myself, if he is a second round guy this year. Say he comes back next year and is just a 40% 3pt shooter, would that still get him into the second round next year? He came to ISU and TJ to get better. Depending on how the rest of the year shakes out, I see him still wanting to get better because he's seen improvement every year.
 
He's older, has little upside / untapped potential, and is generally a below the rim player. He is a great playmaker, but no NBA team is running offense through a Jefferson type in 2027 and beyond.

His comparison is a Georges Niang type, with a little better D and rebounding and a worse 3 point shot.

I think he will be a long term bench NBA guy, but no team NEEDS to take a guy like this in the first round.

Happy to be wrong.

I don't disagree. I think that he could sneak into the end of the 1st round, but 2nd is more likely. A lot of people confuse the NBA draft with the NFL. In the NFL, a first round pick is an immediate starter. And 2nd round picks start all the time. In the NBA, pretty much only the first few picks start right away. Anything after the lottery is mostly backups. Obviously, there are exceptions. Someone like Jefferson is going to play in the NBA a long time IMO, but he's going to be playing with the second unit for most/all of it.
 
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End of the first round is where playoff teams that are usually tight against the cap need guys that can fill a roster spot. If Jefferson measures 6'8+ (which by all accounts TJ doesn't fudge on listed heights so he should), he's got value to a team as a 10th or so guy that could eventually become more. He's not a supreme athlete but he does everything else well, similar to a Jacquez or Podziemski from years past. He may not go Round 1, but the NBA has found a new need for these guys for teams that need some bodies (rather than a foreign stash player) but don't have money to spend in free agency.
 
He's older, has little upside / untapped potential, and is generally a below the rim player. He is a great playmaker, but no NBA team is running offense through a Jefferson type in 2027 and beyond.

His comparison is a Georges Niang type, with a little better D and rebounding and a worse 3 point shot.

I think he will be a long term bench NBA guy, but no team NEEDS to take a guy like this in the first round.

Happy to be wrong.

Glad you are so happy! :jimlad:
 
He won't be here 3 years
If sharing concerns about Toure, mine isn't losing him to the NBA next year, but rather someone throwing a bag at him to play at another school next year. While losing someone to the NBA after only one year means a loss of talent, it has to make recruiting the next player a bit easier.
 
I could definitely see Pleta playing PF. They'll definitely be looking for a couple of transfers. One ball handler for sure and probably a wing/PF type. Xzavion Mitchell could be interesting too. I doubt he jumps from bench warmer to contributor, but it kinda seems like he might have a bit of that skillset like Joshua Jefferson. A little bit of ball handling and a decent outside shot.
As long as we are sharing our wish list, I miss the uber athletic 6'5"-6'7" wings like Mark Baugh, Elmer Robinson, and Sam Mack (speaking of basketball skills not off the court issues).
 
Same as TJ always seems to do.

Find some dude on the scrap heap from a lower conference the big dogs didn't want (e.g., Gilbert out of the MWC, Jones out of the MAC, Jefferson out of the WCC, etc.) you have a relationship with (recruited Gilbert to UNLV, Jones played at IHCC and wanted to come back to Iowa, TJ knew Jefferson from his days in Las Vegas and Paradise, etc.) and coach them up and hope they'll come back for multiple years because the program enhances their skills, they're going to win, and Iowa St. can offer at least some $$$ even if not the most.

Remember, Jefferson missed the last eight games of his sophomore year at St. Mary's with a meniscus tear. They got him on the cheap because he was coming off a significant knee injury. Taking a shot on guys like that and having it somehow work out is how TJ has navigated the program to such success as it is.

(You could even say the same thing with Tamin. Everybody backed off after the knee injury.)
Otz definitely gets the most out of undervalued players. However, Oscar Cluff and Blake Buchanan were two of the highest rated centers in the portal. Maybe got outbid for Cluff and Buchanan didn't have the same hype from casual fans but I think he was the #2 or at least a top 5 ranked portal center on 247.

Power forward should be top priority, so hopefully that's a caliber they're looking at. Even then the relationship piece is key and it'll be a role player with upside, not an instant All American (unless we somehow get Yaxel money).

Team will be built around Toure, Batemon, Buchanan, Pleta, (probably not Milan but dang that'd be something), and Mason Williams who can all hopefully take leaps. I think offensively they'll play through guards more like last year but with better centers who could pick up more playmaking as well. The 4 needs to play defense and rebound and spacing + 4th or 5th option offensive production would be gravy
 
He's older, has little upside / untapped potential, and is generally a below the rim player. He is a great playmaker, but no NBA team is running offense through a Jefferson type in 2027 and beyond.

His comparison is a Georges Niang type, with a little better D and rebounding and a worse 3 point shot.

I think he will be a long term bench NBA guy, but no team NEEDS to take a guy like this in the first round.

Happy to be wrong.
I don't know if Jefferson will be a first round pick, especially with the much-discussed quality of this year's draft class.

However, keep in mind that NBA teams are looking for very different things in the draft. Sure, a lot of teams are looking for high upside and untapped potential. But the playoff teams that draft later in the first round are also often interested in drafting players who they are more confident could be contributors to an NBA rotation in years 1 & 2. Teams that are over the salary cap need to get production from their draft picks, which makes a high-floor player an intriguing choice.

One interesting thing is that Jefferson's comps on Kenpom for this year include Draymond Green and Toumani Camara. Obviously everyone knows about Draymond, but Camara is in his 3rd year in the NBA and has been a bright spot for an otherwise-struggling Trail Blazers franchise.

(Side note: Describing Jefferson as "a little better" on defense compared to Niang has to be the understatement of the year.)
 
I could definitely see Pleta playing PF. They'll definitely be looking for a couple of transfers. One ball handler for sure and probably a wing/PF type. Xzavion Mitchell could be interesting too. I doubt he jumps from bench warmer to contributor, but it kinda seems like he might have a bit of that skillset like Joshua Jefferson. A little bit of ball handling and a decent outside shot.

Pleta playing PF on offense is intriguing. He hasn't attempted a 3PT as a Cyclone, but he was advertised as having some shooting range coming into the program. A 6'11" guy with long arms and a release that isn't obnoxiously slow is going to be dangerous at the pick 'n' pop or lurking in the corner.

I just don't know how he's going to do defending a mobile "4" on the perimeter. He doesn't have the fluid lateral footspeed of a Buchanan, Ward, or Jones. Unless they find another true big man (could be one of the freshman) and assuming Buchanan and Pleta are both back, I would imagine next year would be the two of them trading off at the "5" with occasional short bursts of playing small without a true center.

Otz definitely gets the most out of undervalued players. However, Oscar Cluff and Blake Buchanan were two of the highest rated centers in the portal. Maybe got outbid for Cluff and Buchanan didn't have the same hype from casual fans but I think he was the #2 or at least a top 5 ranked portal center on 247.

Power forward should be top priority, so hopefully that's a caliber they're looking at. Even then the relationship piece is key and it'll be a role player with upside, not an instant All American (unless we somehow get Yaxel money).

Team will be built around Toure, Batemon, Buchanan, Pleta, (probably not Milan but dang that'd be something), and Mason Williams who can all hopefully take leaps. I think offensively they'll play through guards more like last year but with better centers who could pick up more playmaking as well. The 4 needs to play defense and rebound and spacing + 4th or 5th option offensive production would be gravy

I don't disagree about the market value of Cluff and Buchanan, but oddly enough at the time the UVA people I knew (and I used to work with a ton of them in DC... the senior partner was a UVA guy and liked to hire fellow Cavaliers) didn't seem too sad to see Buchanan depart from Charlottesville.

I'm paraphrasing, but they basically said his hands suck, he "plays dumb" and takes bad shots and turns the ball over way too much, and yeah he's a good defender but that only takes you so far.

I heard all this and a lightbulb went off in my head of "seems like an Otz guy." And boy he was.

And yeah, I think the priorities for rebuilding the roster on the fly for next spring are obvious enough.

1.) All the seniors are obviously gone. Milan is likely going out with them -- go get it in the NBA.

2.) Retain (in rough order of importance) Toure, Buchanan, Batemon, and Pleta. You could argue #1 or #2 (Toure higher ceiling, but P5 big men are just so valuable) in the order, but it's close.

3.) Get a forward who can productively replace a good chunk on the minutes lost with Jefferson and Momcilovic moving on -- not at the same level of two guys playing like All-Americans right now, obviously, but a complimentary piece to Toure, Batemon, and Buchanan stepping up to lead the team.

4.) Get another guard for depth and ballhandling.

5.) Maybe get another Chatfield or Mulder emergency big man type.

...and I think you're rolling into 2026-27 as a competitive team even if not a Final Four favorite.
 
Milan at this pace and shooting percentage, is gone after this year and getting drafted.

I said in another thread but playing for Otz and this defense is the best thing that could have happened to get him ready for the league. I think the shot and offense would have steadily improved anywhere but at a lot of other programs his defense would not be where it has slowly improved to.
 
Do they even really guard wings in the NBA?

Playoff defense is basically every single team plays better defense than ISU and Houston. Some of them at a wildly different level.

82 regular season games...yeah you can hide a guy who is a bad defender if his offense helps you.

Even an All Star like Jalen Brunson can get exposed as a sub par defender with poor length when playoff time arrives.