Is this the year the BCS implodes?

[3GenClone]

With Boise St. and BYU winning last week and tOSU looking like they may finally beat USC along with Michigan knocking off N.D. - could there be a team from a non-BCS conference that could play for the title this year? If this were to happen, would this be the turn around that college football needs?

 

[alaskaguy]

Its not a given that BYU wins the Mountain West. To do so they will likely have to defeat Utah in November.

 

[HawkFanISUalum]

The title will likely be Florida vs. Texas, as everyone is predicting right now. Boise St. will not be a BCS-buster. They may make a BCS Bowl as an at-large team, but they won't get to the title game...

Just my $.02

 

[3GenClone]

Its not a given that BYU wins the Mountain West. To do so they will likely have to defeat Utah in November.

True, but the toughest game Boise St. has left is @ Fresno St. and if they win that they seem to be the only team other than Florida that's a lock to win-out the rest of the year.

 

[Rogue52]

In a word, no.

 

[alaskaguy]

The title will likely be Florida vs. Texas, as everyone is predicting right now. Boise St. will not be a BCS-buster. They may make a BCS Bowl as an at-large team, but they won't get to the title game...

Just my $.02

So you believe that both Florida and Texas will be undefeated during the regular season and win their conference Championship game?

 

[Rogue52]

True, but the toughest game Boise St. has left is @ Fresno St. and if they win that they seem to be the only team other than Florida that's a lock to win-out the rest of the year.

12-0 Boise State != BCS National Championship selection

 

[Mr Janny]

I think they are safe this year. Florida won't have more than 1 loss, so they'll be in the title game. The pollsters love them. As far as the other team goes, the winner of tonight's USC/Ohio State game has a clear path to the title game. Texas will still be around, unless they lose to Oklahoma, in which case, the Sooners will be in the mix.

Basically what I am saying is that there will be plenty of power conference teams around with 1 loss or less at the end of the season, and they will easily get the nod over Boise St, BYU, Utah, etc.

 

[HawkFanISUalum]

So you believe that both Florida and Texas will be undefeated during the regular season and win their conference Championship game?

I do. The only team I see giving Texas a run for its money is Okie St, but they got beat today as well.

As for Florida, I just feel that when you return all 11 starters from a great defense, your team doesn't get any worse. And I don't see anyone in their conference challenging them for the title. If they do lose one, i still think the voters will put them in the title game over an undefeated BYU/Boise St./Utah. I'm not saying it's right. I'm just saying that's what would likely happen. :smile:

 

[TarHeelHawk]

I think they are safe this year. Florida won't have more than 1 loss, so they'll be in the title game. The pollsters love them. As far as the other team goes, the winner of tonight's USC/Ohio State game has a clear path to the title game. Texas will still be around, unless they lose to Oklahoma, in which case, the Sooners will be in the mix.

Basically what I am saying is that there will be plenty of power conference teams around with 1 loss or less at the end of the season, and they will easily get the nod over Boise St, BYU, Utah, etc.

Maybe. OSU still has some problems, and the PAC 10 is pretty deep this year. If any team has the inside edge, it's probably Texas, as they won't have any challengers if they can beat Oklahoma.

USC will probably lose to some weak team, and OSU has some tough games later in the year.

 

[3GenClone]

I think they are safe this year. Florida won't have more than 1 loss, so they'll be in the title game. The pollsters love them. As far as the other team goes, the winner of tonight's USC/Ohio State game has a clear path to the title game. Texas will still be around, unless they lose to Oklahoma, in which case, the Sooners will be in the mix.

Basically what I am saying is that there will be plenty of power conference teams around with 1 loss or less at the end of the season, and they will easily get the nod over Boise St, BYU, Utah, etc.

But that's the problem - there could be a Non-BCS team that goes undefeated and is left out of the title game while a team with 1 loss could play in their place.

 

[HawkFanISUalum]

But that's the problem - there could be a Non-BCS team that goes undefeated and is left out of the title game while a team with 1 loss could play in their place.

That's because most voters will feel that a 1-loss Florida team is still better than an undefeated BYU/Boise St./Utah.

 

[Spam]

That's because most voters will feel that a 1-loss Florida team is still better than an undefeated BYU/Boise St./Utah.

If the 2nd best BCS team in the country has 2 losses or more, I have no problem with an undefeated BYU/Boise taking the 2nd spot in the championship game.

 

[Mr Janny]

Maybe. OSU still has some problems, and the PAC 10 is pretty deep this year. If any team has the inside edge, it's probably Texas, as they won't have any challengers if they can beat Oklahoma.

USC will probably lose to some weak team, and OSU has some tough games later in the year.

don't get me wrong, it's not a cakewalk by any stretch, but the lack of a conference championship game makes it that much easier for them. That's an additional game against a guaranteed quality opponent. I don't mean that as a slight against the Pac 10 or Big 10, just stating that playing 13 games is harder than playing 12.

 

[Mr Janny]

But that's the problem - there could be a Non-BCS team that goes undefeated and is left out of the title game while a team with 1 loss could play in their place.

that's happened before. Last year, in fact. The BCS didn't implode.

 

[3GenClone]

That's because most voters will feel that a 1-loss Florida team is still better than an undefeated BYU/Boise St./Utah.

Well now USC looks like they might win this game so my dream is crushed. Title game right now looks like Florida and USC or possibly Florida vs. Penn St or tOSU. I think Texas will get kicked around by either OK St or OK, leaving the Big 12 out of the title game.

 

[MontyBurns]

The implosion will be if Penn State runs the table -- it could happen, look how soft their schedule is compared to the other likely BCS title contenders like Texas, Florida, and USC. Here's the worst case scenario: Florida is 13-0. Penn State is 12-0 with zero quality wins. Texas is 12-1 with a loss to a top-five team. Penn State plays Florida for the title and gets blown out, and everyone gets cheated out of a Florida/Texas matchup.

 

[hurdleisu24]

Well BYU plays Florida St. this week good thing for the MWC that FSU came back and won that game Sat. BYU is the one team that isn't a BCs team that I think could make that run as they will be a top 7 team after this weekend and they have the quality win vs Oklahoma as long as OU doesn't get beat by anyone other than Texas. What do you do if you have OU run the table so they are 12-1 and BYU is 12-0 with a win over OU and you have Penn St. or Florida with a perfect record who's in the title game?

 

[isuno1fan]

Florida vs Texas. I agree entirely.

I do think the Mountain West is gaining clout become a BCS conference. If they could score Boise St. into their conference with Utah, TCU, BYU, etc. they should make the cut IMO.

 

[MontyBurns]

What do you do if you have OU run the table so they are 12-1 and BYU is 12-0 with a win over OU and you have Penn St. or Florida with a perfect record who's in the title game?

Whoever is #1 and #2 in the BCS standings, which in your scenario would probably be Florida & Penn State. Even if BYU goes undefeated, it's hard to see them jumping over any other undefeated teams to climb into the 1 or 2 spot. If there's only one undefeated team, one or more of the one-loss teams will get screwed, like Texas last year. But they did lose, so it's not like they didn't control their own destiny. It's when an undefeated team gets left out -- like Utah last year, or possibly BYU this year -- that the BCS "championship" becomes a tough sell.

The real unfortunate thing is that teams that are likely title contenders have an incentive to play lame schedules -- OU didn't, and it cost them. Penn State knows how to work the system.